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The Brief

Quick Briefs from last week

European GovernanceInside EuropeSecurity & DefenceAviation SecurityBorder SecurityCybersecurityDIsinformationHybrid ThreatsPolandSupermarket Refrigeration SystemsWeekly Briefing

European Security Faces Multiple Hybrid Threats

Aviation bomb threats, suspected cyberattacks and security concerns along NATO’s eastern border have exposed vulnerabilities across Europe, although no coordinated campaign has been established.
Updates
News: At least 300 schools across Italy evacuated following emailed bomb threats (Reuters)
News: European Commission plans security talks after a wave of bomb hoaxes disrupted 20 airports and dozens of flights across Europe (EUObserver)
News: France blames Iran for cyberattacks targeting supermarket refrigeration systems (POLITICO)
News: Bomb threats accompanied by the warning “The clock is ticking” disrupt television broadcasters across Europe, raising concerns over coordinated intimidation (Reuters)
News: More European flights face bomb threats, raising concerns over aviation security (POLITICO)
Aviation Security: Bomb threats disrupted flights across Europe, prompting diversions and heightened security measures. The European Commission strengthened information-sharing, while investigations continue into possible coordination behind the incidents
Border Security: Poland reported suspicious movements near its border with Russia’s Kaliningrad region. Prime Minister Donald Tusk warned of possible provocations, but the intentions behind the activity remain unclear
Cybersecurity: Suspected cyberattacks disrupted supermarket refrigeration systems in several European countries, exposing vulnerabilities in civilian infrastructure. Russian involvement has been suggested but remains unconfirmed
Disinformation and Preparedness: Reports of Russian disinformation affecting NATO support in Montenegro and Albania highlight security challenges in the Western Balkans. Separately, European military exercises in Poland underline efforts to strengthen defence cooperation
Sources: Rapporteur, POLITICO Europe, Reuters, France 24, POLITICO Europe, POLITICO Europe, EUobserver
AI Transparency Note
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Agricultural PolicyInside EuropeCAPCopa-CogecaEU FundingEuropean CommissionEuropean UnionFarmersFood Security

Farmers Plan Dublin Rally Over EU Funding

The Irish Farmers’ Association plans a rally in Dublin on 13 November, as EU leaders meet in the city, to oppose proposed changes to farm funding after 2027.
The protest: Organisers plan to plough “No CAP Cuts” into a field beside Dublin Airport so arriving leaders can see it
European backing: EU farm lobby Copa-Cogeca will use the rally to launch a campaign linking farm support to Europe’s food security
The proposal: The European Commission would set aside at least €300 billion for farm income and crisis support in 2028-2034. Member states could fund other agricultural and rural programmes through broader national plans
The dispute: Farm groups want dedicated funding for the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) protected. The Commission says its proposal gives member states more flexibility to meet local needs
Sources: Irish Farmers’ Association, Rapporteur, European Commission
Transparency Note: AI-assisted. Reviewed by the Briefing Team.
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Inside EuropeFar-Right IdeologyKrakówPolandPoliceShootingSix People KilledTerrorism

Poland Investigates Deadly Kraków Shooting

Polish prosecutors are investigating the 7 November shooting that killed six people in Kraków’s Main Market Square as a terrorist offence. The motive remains under investigation.
Updates
Analysis: The deadly Krakow shooting exposes Poland’s political divisions and risks creating opportunities for Russian interference (EUObserver)
News: Poland faces mounting political tensions after a deadly shooting deepens divisions across the country (France 24)
News: Suspect in Krakow mass shooting dies in hospital, Polish police confirm (Reuters)
The attack: A gunman drove into the square and opened fire, wounding 15 people in addition to those killed. Police shot and wounded the 24-year-old suspect
Possible motive: Interior Minister Marcin Kierwiński said evidence pointed to the suspect’s interest in far-right ideology. As of 9 November, investigators had yet to question him because of his medical condition
Wider investigation: Police found the bodies of the suspect’s parents and sister at the family home in Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski. Prosecutors are also investigating their deaths
National mourning: Poland declared two days of national mourning on 8 and 9 November. A British man and an Austrian woman were among the six people killed in Kraków
Sources: Polish Government, AP, The Guardian
Transparency Note: AI-assisted. Reviewed by the Briefing Team.
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Climate PolicyEnergy PolicyEnvironmental PolicyUnited NationsAustraliaClean ElectricityCOP31Council of the EUEuropean UnionFossil FuelsUNEP

Fossil Fuels and Climate Finance Top COP31 Agenda

Governments meet in Antalya from 9 to 20 November to discuss how to move away from fossil fuels and close the funding gap for countries adapting to climate change.
Updates
Official Announcement: EU signs Global Geothermal Pledge at COP31, reaffirming its commitment to expanding geothermal energy as part of the clean energy transition (European Commission)
Official Announcement: EU and Organisation of African, Caribbean and Pacific States reaffirm climate commitments at COP31, focusing on translating shared priorities into concrete action (Council of the EU)
Analysis: Six key issues to watch at COP31 climate talks, including emissions reductions, climate finance and international cooperation (Rapporteur)
News: Turkish villagers urge COP31 leaders to witness the environmental devastation caused by coal mining and energy production (Reuters)
The summit: Turkey hosts COP31, while Australia leads the negotiations. Heads of state and government meet on 11 and 12 November
Fossil fuels: Brazil’s outgoing COP presidency published a voluntary roadmap on 3 November. It calls for fossil fuel production and demand to fall as clean energy expands
Adaptation finance: Developing countries received $28.2–31.7 billion in international public adaptation finance in 2024. The UN Environment Programme estimates they will need around $305 billion annually by 2035
EU position: The EU will press governments to implement their national climate plans, accelerate the shift away from fossil fuels and expand the use of clean electricity
Sources: Council of the EU, COP30 Presidency, UNEP, UNFCCC
Transparency Note: AI-assisted. Reviewed by the Briefing Team.
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Eastern EuropeRussiaBulgariaDrone StrikeEuropean DefenseRussian Threat

Bulgaria Summons Russia’s Envoy After Drone Attack; Attacks Continue in Black Sea

Following the drone attacks off the coast of Bulgaria on October 13, Russia's Ambassador to Bulgaria was summoned as 11 of the sailors from the sunken ship remain missing.
Updates
News: EU announces €50 million for a Black Sea maritime security hub in Romania and Bulgaria to strengthen regional security (Euronews)
News: EU offers financial support to strengthen the Black Sea region’s response to attacks (POLITICO)
News: European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen plans visit to the Black Sea region amid a wave of deadly drone attacks (POLITICO)
Update (03.11.2026): Analysis: Expanding Black Sea conflict tests NATO’s red lines and regional security commitments (Reuters)
Update (28.10.2026): News: Bulgaria strengthens Black Sea defences after drones strike another vessel (Rapporteur)
Update (24.10.2026): Parliamentary Vote: European Parliament votes on escalating Russian strikes affecting the EU, particularly the Black Sea region (EP Votes)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Drone strikes another ship in the Black Sea near Romania, killing at least one sailor (POLITICO)
Update (20.10.2026): News: NATO to deploy aircraft and drones over Black Sea following attacks on shipping (Reuters⁠)
Update (17.10.2026): News: Romania scrambles F-16 jets after detecting aerial targets near Snake Island (Romanian Ministry of Defence⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: Seven missing after tanker fire off Romanian coast (POLITICO⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: Romania proposes joint NATO Black Sea command with Bulgaria (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (13.10.2026): Commentary from Bulgaria: Time to stop deceiving ourselves - Russia poses a security threat to Bulgaria (Webcafe Bulgaria⁠)
Quick Brief:
Eleven sailors are still missing after a drone attack off the coast of Bulgaria
Two cargo ships were hit by drones during the night of October 13th according to Bulgarian officials
In response to the incident Bulgaria summoned Russia's Ambassador
Bulgaria does not explicitly accuse Russia of the attacks but its Prime Minister said this "benefits" Russia
Source: Reuters
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Economic PolicyMonetary PolicySecurity & DefenceBudgetCouncil of the EUEU BorrowingEuropean CommissionGeneral Affairs CouncilMultiannual Financial Framework

Frugals vs. Friends of Cohesion: EU Budget Battle Intensifies

Six fiscally conservative EU countries are demanding major cuts to Brussels’ proposed €2 trillion budget for 2028–2034, setting up a difficult fight over Europe’s future spending priorities. The 27 member states want to have a decision by the end of the year.
Updates
News: German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Hungarian Prime Minister Péter Magyar clash over EU financial support for Ukraine and the bloc’s next long-term budget (Rapporteur)
Interview: Estonia rejects Germany’s calls for cuts to the EU’s next long-term budget (Rapporteur)
News: German Chancellor Friedrich Merz warns that failure to agree on EU aid for Ukraine could block negotiations on the bloc’s next long-term budget (Euronews)
Interview: EU’s real deadline for reaching an agreement on its next long-term budget comes into focus (Rapporteur)
News: EU budget disputes stall key Brussels priorities, including AI chips, Arctic policy and agriculture (POLITICO)
News: Finland warns that EU financial support for Ukraine must not depend on negotiations over the bloc’s long-term budget (Rapporteur)
News: Firefighters from 19 countries protest proposed EU disaster response budget cuts in Brussels (EUObserver)
Update (02.11.2026): News: European cultural organisations warn of severe consequences as proposed EU budget cuts threaten to reduce cultural funding by 30% (EUObserver)
Update (30.10.2026): News: EU tobacco tax revenue forecasts fall sharply amid negotiations over the bloc’s next long-term budget (Rapporteur)
Update (27.10.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s €70 billion funding shortfall threatens to complicate negotiations over the EU’s next long-term budget (Euronews)
Update (26.10.2026): News: Austria threatens to veto the EU budget (Rapporteur)
Update (26.10.2026): News: EU foreign aid chief says little is changing in Africa despite development efforts (Rapporteur)
Update (26.10.2026): News: Rising debt costs and fraud allegations increase pressure on the EU budget (Rapporteur)
Update (23.10.2026): Interview: António Costa targets November agreement on EU budget (Rapporteur)
Update (22.10.2026): News: MEPs seek €7 billion more for Erasmus despite opposition from budget-conscious EU governments (EUobserver)
Update (21.10.2026): Analysis: Who will stand up for Global Europe? (PubAffairs Bruxelles⁠)
Update (20.10.2026): News: EU budget negotiations raise questions over costs and funding (Rapporteur)
Update (19.10.2026): Analysis: EU faces a perfect political storm amid mounting challenges (POLITICO⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): Interview: Irish minister says EU budget deal still possible by Christmas (YouTube⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): Interview: Cyprus president proposes shortening EU budget to three or four years (POLITICO⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): News: Costa targets November EU budget showdown (POLITICO⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): News: Costa proposes new EU taxes to break budget deadlock (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): Podcast: Europe faces a new battle over the EU budget (ECFR⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: 17 European leaders issue joint statement on EU cohesion funding (Italian Government⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: EU leaders consider deep budget cuts as joint borrowing expands (EUobserver⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: EU capitals weaken budget deal deadline (POLITICO⁠)
Update (13.10.2026): News: France sets EU budget red lines on tech taxes and Buy European (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (13.10.2026): Interview: Austrian EU Affairs Minister Claudia Bauer rejects artificial budget deadline (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (13.10.2026): News: Spain hosts Friends of Cohesion meeting on next EU budget (Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): Opinion: Will MEPs challenge €141bn in EU budget cuts? (EUobserver⁠)
Update (11.10.2026): News: MEPs warn Irish EU budget plan risks historic failure as €141 billion in cuts spare agriculture and cohesion funds (EUobserver⁠)
Update (11.10.2026): News: European Commission warns that EU budget cuts could undermine funding for crisis response (POLITICO⁠)
Update (10.10.2026): EU's Irish presidency wants 8% cut to proposed 2028-2034 budget plan (Reuters)
Update (08.10.2026): Opinion: Cut the EU budget and we all lose (EUobserver)
Update (08.10.2026): News: EU countries brace for €100B-€200B smaller budget (Politico)
Update (08.10.2026): Analysis: EU’s 2028-2034 budget proposal creates new conflicts over spending priorities and financial burden-sharing (SWP⁠)
Update (08.10.2026): News: EU auditors warn of major budget shortfall unless the EU introduces new sources of revenue (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (07.10.2026): News: Iran war shock expected to shrink next EU budget (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (06.10.2026): News: Von der Leyen rebukes EU budget frugals over demands for deeper spending cuts (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): News: EU governments brace for €100 billion cut to long-term budget proposal (POLITICO⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): News: EU cuts funding for women’s rights groups amid wider budget reductions (EUobserver⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): News: MEPs back €47 billion in new Erasmus funding as frugal states seek EU budget cuts (EUobserver⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): Commentary: EU budget cuts risk hurting member states’ own regions (EUobserver⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): News: EU leaders battle over budget as Parliament prepares resistance (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (25.09.2026): News: 12 countries oppose French push for EU defence preference (Euractiv⁠)
Update (23.09.2026): News: EU governments consider cutting development aid by up to 40 percent (EUobserver⁠) 
Update (23.09.2026): News: Greece proposes EU-wide telecoms levy to fund budget and high-tech investment (Euractiv⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): News: France opposes cuts to foreign aid in next EU budget (POLITICO⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): News: Results of the General Affairs Council (Irish EU Presidency⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): News: France opposes cuts to foreign aid in next EU budget (POLITICO⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): News: Germany rejects Costa’s push for new EU budget taxes (POLITICO⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): News: EU ministers meet in Brussels for General Affairs Council (Council of the EU⁠) 
Update (21.09.2026): Analysis: EU budget could strengthen rule of law safeguards but member states may blunt reforms (CER⁠)
Update (21.09.2026): News: Costa says EU budget needs new taxes governments are not already raising (POLITICO⁠)
Update (18.09.2026): News: Germany and Spain go head-to-head in EU budget fight (POLITICO⁠)
Update (17.09.2026): News: MEPs deadlocked over CAP’s place in next EU budget (Euractiv⁠)
Update (15.09.2026): News: Metsola urges Europe’s political centre to hold against extremes (Euractiv⁠)
Update (14.09.2026): News: EU plans cuts to staff and salaries in next long-term budget (POLITICO⁠)
Update (14.09.2026): News: EU countries split over scale of long-term budget cuts (Euractiv⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): News: Germany calls for hundreds of billions in EU budget cuts (Reuters⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): News: Costa says new EU taxes would reduce national contributions (POLITICO⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): News: France backs business tax to fund EU budget (Euractiv⁠)
Update (07.09.2026): News: Le Pen backs tobacco retailers against EU tax hikes (Euractiv⁠)
Update (07.09.2026): News: Ireland secures EU tax deal on carbon imports and e-waste (POLITICO⁠)
Update (04.09.2026): News: Spain urges EU climate adaptation fund and binding targets (Reuters⁠)
Update (04.09.2026): Commentary: EU budget could loosen China’s grip on critical raw materials (Euronews)
Update (03.09.2026): News: EU budget negotiators criticise frugal states over cuts (EUobserver)
Update (03.09.2026): Interview: Lithuania says eastern flank needs must shape EU budget (Euractiv)
Update (02.09.2026): News: Spain worried by EU budget debate (Euractiv)
Update (02.09.2026): News: EU budget camps remain deadlocked (EUobserver)
Update (31.08.2026): News: Ireland seeks to break EU budget deadlock (POLITICO)
Update (27.08.2026): Europe’s defence promise meets budget reality (ECFR)
Quick Brief:
Germany, Denmark, the Netherlands, Austria, Finland and Sweden want cuts of several hundred billion euros
The European Commission has proposed a nearly €2 trillion seven-year budget for 2028–2034
The six still want priority spending on defence, competitiveness, migration and European sovereignty
They reject new joint EU borrowing and demand cuts across spending areas as national budgets face consolidation
Sources: Euractiv, Reuters, Council of the EU
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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National PoliticsAfDFirewallSaxony-AnhaltState Elections

AfD Wins Historic State Victory

The AfD has won a historic victory in Saxony-Anhalt, dramatically shifting the political balance in eastern Germany while falling short of the majority needed to govern alone.
Updates
Analysis: The rise of Germany’s far-right AfD raises questions about the future of European integration, EU cohesion and Germany’s role in Europe (ECFR)
Interview: TU Braunschweig President Angela Ittel warns of AfD plans to dismantle university equality programmes and calls for a “science NATO” to protect academic freedom through solidarity between German states (DIE ZEIT)
Update (07.10.2026): News: AfD’s Tobias Rausch elected Saxony-Anhalt parliament president with four additional votes beyond AfD and BSW, raising suspicions of CDU support and fuelling concerns over a possible split within the CDU parliamentary group (Tagesschau⁠, Reuters⁠)
Update (06.10.2026): News: Germany’s governing SPD stages protest march to Berlin’s Bebelplatz, site of the 1933 Nazi book burnings, after AfD’s election victory in Saxony-Anhalt; Defence Minister Pistorius leads singing of national anthem (SPD)
Update (06.10.2026): News: AfD seeks Saxony-Anhalt parliament presidency as BSW support could secure majority (Euronews⁠)
Update (10.09.2026): Commentary: Saxony-Anhalt election strengthens Russia and East German nostalgia (Euractiv⁠)
Update (10.09.2026): Commentary: AfD victory could amplify Euroscepticism in France (Le Monde⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): News: Merz goes on offensive against AfD after Saxony-Anhalt defeat (Euractiv⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): News: Merz calls AfD’s anti-migration policy “ethnic cleansing” (Reuters⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): Analysis: SPD rebels against Merz after far-right rout (POLITICO⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): Analysis: Merz’s political crisis threatens Germany’s leadership in Europe (ECFR⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): Analysis: AfD victory raises concerns in Poland over German military rearming (POLITICO⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): Analysis: Germany debates whether to ban the AfD (EUobserver⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): Analysis: Merz appears to have no plan against AfD (POLITICO⁠)
Update (07.09.2026): Interview: Roma rights defender warns AfD victory normalises hatred of minorities (EUobserver⁠)
Update (07.09.2026): Analysis: AfD explores paths to govern Saxony-Anhalt (Deutsche Welle⁠)
Update (07.09.2026): Commentary: AfD landslide reshapes German politics (La Vanguardia⁠)
Update (06.09.2026): Analysis: AfD victory sends a warning to Europe (Svenska Dagbladet⁠)
Update (06.09.2026): Commentary: AfD rule could put Germany’s economy to the test (Deutsche Welle⁠)
Update (06.09.2026): Analysis: Will AfD remain this radical after its victory? (Ilta-Sanomat⁠)
Update (06.09.2026): Analysis: AfD victory raises doubts over Merz as chancellor (DER SPIEGEL⁠)
Update (06.09.2026): Analysis: Saxony-Anhalt could end Germany’s firewall against AfD (G4Media⁠)
Update (06.09.2026): Commentary: AfD surge is a victory for Russia (The Telegraph⁠)
Quick Brief:
The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) won 43.8%, its strongest result in any German state election and more than double its 2021 share
Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s CDU fell to 17.2%, losing more than half its previous support after governing Saxony-Anhalt since 2002
Despite its victory, the AfD secured 39 of 83 seats, three short of an absolute majority. Other established parties have ruled out governing with it
The result puts Germany’s political “firewall” against cooperation with the AfD under new pressure, as the remaining parties face a difficult path to forming a government without it
Sources: Euractiv⁠, Reuters⁠, ZDF⁠
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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Inside EuropeConservativesÉdouard PhilippeEuropean UnionFranceFrançois HollandeJean-Luc MélenchonMarine Le PenPresidential Elections 2027Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists

France’s Spring 2027 Election: Can the Pro-EU Centre Recover? France Between Identity and Economic Politics.

Glucksmann’s nomination boosts France’s centre-left, but moderate candidates remain divided as Le Pen and Mélenchon lead a recent presidential poll.
Updates
Analysis: France’s political landscape remains deeply fragmented ahead of the 2027 presidential election, with uncertainty extending beyond Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon (Le Monde)
News: French Olympic judo champion Teddy Riner announces presidential bid ahead of France’s 2027 election (POLITICO)
Analysis: Jean-Luc Mélenchon mobilises his supporters for a potential presidential run-off against Marine Le Pen in France’s 2027 election (Rapporteur)
Analysis: Jean-Luc Mélenchon urges young supporters to persuade their parents ahead of France’s 2027 presidential election (Rapporteur)
Analysis: French President Emmanuel Macron explores ways to prevent a Marine Le Pen versus Jean-Luc Mélenchon run-off in the 2027 presidential election (Les Echos)
News: Jean-Luc Mélenchon rejects Édouard Philippe’s invitation to debate immigration and integration ahead of France’s 2027 presidential election (AFP)
Analysis: Le Pen seeks to attract wealthy conservative voters on the French Riviera ahead of the 2027 presidential election (Rapporteur)
Update (30.10.2026): Analysis: Divisions among French centrists increase the likelihood of a Le Pen-Mélenchon presidential run-off (Reuters)
Update (27.10.2026): Joint Statement: 44 French journalists’ associations condemn reported assaults on Mediapart and Politis reporters at the far-right National Rally’s congress in Orléans (Mediapart, Le Monde)
Update (26.10.2026): News: French presidential candidate Édouard Philippe loses support in new opinion poll ahead of 2027 election (POLITICO)
Update (25.10.2026): Analysis: France faces mounting political and economic challenges amid concerns over its role in Europe (POLITICO)
Update (25.10.2026): News: Marine Le Pen’s presidential campaign messaging overshadowed by Rassemblement National’s confrontational approach (Rapporteur)
Update (25.10.2026): News: Marine Le Pen launches 2027 presidential campaign, promising French national renewal and challenging EU authority (RFI)
Update (24.10.2026): News: Jordan Bardella re-elected president of France’s Rassemblement National with 98.98% of the vote (LCP)
Update (23.10.2026): Analysis: Mélenchon proposes cancelling France’s public debt, raising questions about historical precedents (Le Monde)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Mélenchon’s vision of a “New France” sparks identity clash with Le Pen (Rapporteur)
Update (20.10.2026): Analysis: French riots expose political risks and opportunities ahead of 2027 presidential election (POLITICO⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): Polling: Mélenchon overtakes Philippe in French presidential poll (Public Sénat⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: Mélenchon courts France’s isolated voters (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): Analysis: Édouard Philippe’s allies increasingly doubt his chances of defeating Marine Le Pen in France’s 2027 presidential election (POLITICO⁠)
Quick Brief:
Raphaël Glucksmann, a pro-European MEP and Place Publique leader, won the centre-left primary on 11 October with 66%
Édouard Philippe, prime minister from 2017 to 2020 and Horizons leader, seeks to unite centre-right and centrist voters
François Hollande, Socialist president from 2012 to 2017, is considering another bid, potentially further splitting the centre-left
An early-October poll puts far-right Le Pen at 35-37%, with radical-left Mélenchon reaching the runoff in every tested scenario. The race remains open
Sources: Reuters, Le Monde, DLF - Europa heute
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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European GovernanceInside EuropeChristine LagardeEuropean Central Bank

Who Will Be the New President of the European Central Bank?

Christine Lagarde steps down as ECB's president to be able to express her opinion freely on important things happening in the world.
Updates
News: France may back Pablo Hernández de Cos over Klaas Knot for the European Central Bank presidency (Le Monde)
News: EU member states face Friday deadline to submit nominations for the next European Central Bank president (Rapporteur)
Quick Brief:
The president of the ECB, Christine Lagarde, to step down on 7 February 2027
She has informed the EU Governing Council as well as EU Council President of her decision on 29 October
Lagarde wants to leave office to gain the ability to freely express her opinion on world matters
Her successor will be appointed according to Article 283 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union
Source։ European Central Bank, Reuters
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African RelationsHealth PolicyDemocratic Republic of CongoEbolaEpidemicUgandaWHO

Ebola Epidemic: DRC’s deadliest ever, Conflicts make situation worse

The World Health Organisation declared the Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Uganda a global public health emergency.
Updates
Update (30.10.2026): New numbers, new infections (CDC)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Woman diagnosed with Ebola in Nigeria identified as wife of Swiss diplomat (BBC News)
Update (20.10.2026): News: Nigeria confirms first Ebola case amid regional outbreak (WHO)
Update (15.10.2026): Reportage: Bunia fights to protect families from DR Congo’s deadliest Ebola outbreak (RFI⁠)
Update (01.10.2026): News: Thousands flee Ebola-hit Congo camp, raising fears of wider disease spread (Reuters⁠)
Update (24.09.2026): News: WHO says Congo’s Ebola outbreak remains out of control amid health worker shortage (PBS NewsHour⁠)
Update (20.09.2026): News: Congo prioritizes Ebola health care workers for Ervebo vaccine effective against different virus strain (AP⁠)
Update (26.08.2023): Conflict drives DRC cholera outbreak (RFI)
Update (20.08.2026): Ebola vaccines allocated to Congo (WHO)
Update (13.08.2026): WHO chief warns of deadliest Ebola outbreak (BBC News)
Update (10.08.2026): Interview with expert: How missing international aid increasingly exacerbates the crisis (ZDFheute)
Update (05.08.2026): Expert speaks about potential future Ebola vaccine (FAZ)
Update (July 24, 2026): First person gets new experimental vaccine for Ebola (BBC)
Update (July 13, 2026): Ebola vaccine made in UK now ready for trials (BBC)
Update (July 09, 2026): Ebola rumours fuel attacks on health workers (BBC)
Update (July 03, 2026): Ebola treatments trial begins in DR Congo (BBC)
Update (June 15, 2026): Recovery of Ebola patients offers rare moments of joy (BBC)
Update (June 02, 2026): Protests against US Ebola quarantine centre plan in Kenya, two deaths (BBC)
Update (June 01, 2026): Three Ebola vaccines in development (BBC)
Update (May 31, 2026): How Ebola spreads and why it is so dangerous (BBC)
Update (May 31, 2026): Medical charity Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) has warned about Ebola in DRC: "Deeply alarming" situation (BBC)
Update (May 25, 2026): Many African countries want to cooperate to prevent the virus from further spreading (BBC); the EU and UNICEF mobilise over 100 metric tonnes of emergency supplies to DRC (UNICEF)
Update (May 24, 2026): African Centres for Disease Control warns of 10 other countries being at risk (BBC)
Update (May 22, 2026): Drastic missing information and education about the danger of Ebola within the population. Regional conflicts affect the situation. The population has high levels of mistrust of the government, corruption, and institutions like hospitals (BBC). WHO warned of very high national and regional spread, a potential epidemic and healthcare risks, but low global influence (BBC)
May 21, 2026:
WHO and the African Union declared a public health emergency over the Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak, which started in Eastern Congo (Ituri)
Bundibugyo Ebola is a rare Ebola strain with no approved specific vaccine or treatment yet; a vaccine could take 9 months
WHO reported approximately 600 suspected cases and 139 suspected deaths, but the situation is highly fluid
Sources: WHO, BBC
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Europe in the world

European Council Agrees on Strengthening Action to Global Challenges

The Council of Europe and Representative bodies have agreed on joint conclusions to highlight EU's commitment to humanitarian law and principles amid global challenges.
The European Council has agreed on EU’s commitment to remaining a reliable humanitarian donor amid global challenges
The conclusions highlight EU’s commitment to international humanitarian law and humanitarian principles
The Council called for a more coordinated Team Europe humanitarian diplomacy
It also welcomed the establishment of the “protect aid workers” mechanism
Source: European Council
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EU EnlargementGeopoliticsInside EuropeWestern BalkansAccession TreatyEU membershipEU StatesEuropean CommissionEuropean ParliamentEuropean UnionMontenegro

Montenegro Advances in EU Accession Talks

Montenegro and the EU provisionally closed two more negotiating chapters in Brussels on 6 November, leaving ten open as Montenegro aims to join the bloc in 2028.
What changed: The two chapters cover the free movement of goods and rules on food safety, animal health and plant health
Where talks stand: Montenegro has provisionally closed 23 of 33 chapters. The EU will continue to monitor how Montenegro applies its rules and can reopen chapters if needed
What remains: The remaining chapters include key rule-of-law reforms. The European Commission says talks could conclude by the end of 2026 if Montenegro sustains reforms and EU member states agree
Path to membership: The Commission’s roadmap points to June 2027 as a possible date for signing the accession treaty. The European Parliament must give its consent, and Montenegro and all EU member states must ratify the treaty before accession
Sources: Council of the EU⁠, Vijesti⁠
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Worth Revisiting

Quick Briefs from previous weeks

Inside EuropeJustice Policy and European LawRule of LawConstitutional CourtCourt of Justice of the European UnionDonald TuskEuropean UnionKarol NawrockiPISPolandTribunal

Poland’s Constitutional Court Crisis Escalates

Poland’s long-running dispute over judicial independence has escalated into a confrontation between Donald Tusk’s government and President Karol Nawrocki at the Constitutional Tribunal.
Updates
News: Poland’s government signals openness to EU mediation in its escalating Constitutional Tribunal crisis, according to the justice minister (EUObserver)
News: Polish Deputy Prime Minister Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz proposes constitutional amendments to replace all Constitutional Tribunal judges, while parliamentary speaker Włodzimierz Czarzasty doubts sufficient support can be secured (Polskie Radio)
Commentary: Donald Tusk’s efforts to reclaim Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal are justified, but his methods raise concerns about the rule of law (EUObserver)
News: Poland’s PiS files criminal complaint against eight Constitutional Tribunal judges as parliamentary leader Mariusz Błaszczak accuses them of acting as an organised criminal group (Polskie Radio)
News: Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk proposes talks with President Karol Nawrocki to ease Constitutional Tribunal crisis (Euronews)
News: Eight Polish Constitutional Tribunal judges claim quorum and approve 2027 budget amid deepening leadership crisis (Notes from Poland)
Analysis: Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal crisis deepens political divisions ahead of the 2027 election (POLITICO)
News: Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal faces crucial test amid escalating political power struggle (Rapporteur)
Explainer: Poland’s political right turns Constitutional Tribunal dispute into an electoral battleground, drawing the EU into the conflict (EUObserver)
Analysis: Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal crisis raises questions about how to restore the court’s public legitimacy and trust in the rule of law (ECFR)
Update (02.11.2026): Explainer: Reuters examines the causes of Poland’s constitutional crisis and the political struggle over its highest court (Reuters)
Update (02.11.2026): News: European Commission backs Donald Tusk’s government amid Poland’s escalating Constitutional Tribunal crisis (Rapporteur)
Update (01.11.2026): News: Polish president holds crisis talks following dramatic confrontation at the Constitutional Tribunal (Le Monde)
Update (01.11.2026): Analysis: Poland’s Kaczyński stages constitutional court confrontation and raises prospect of Polexit as he launches his 2027 political comeback bid (EUObserver)
Leadership disputed: Judge Anna Korwin-Piotrowska announced the suspension of Tribunal president Bogdan Święczkowski on 30 October and assumed its leadership. The move’s legality is contested
Long-running conflict: The crisis began under PiS in 2015. Since replacing its government in December 2023, Tusk’s coalition has sought to reverse judicial changes criticised for politicising the courts
Political confrontation: Nawrocki, backed by PiS, calls the latest intervention a forcible takeover. Tusk says it restores the rule of law, following blocked appointments of parliament-elected judges
European stakes: In December 2025, the EU’s highest court found that appointment irregularities undermined the Tribunal’s independence and that its rulings breached fundamental EU-law principles
Sources: Euronews, Reuters, Court of Justice of the EU
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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EU Public PolicyEU KIDS ActEuropean CommissionKIDS ActSocial Media

EU KIDS Act Propose Age-Dependent Restrictions on Social Media Use

The European Commission proposes an age-dependent use of social media for kids and teenagers in the EU.
Updates
News: European Commission’s freeze on national social media bans sparks tensions among EU member states (Rapporteur)
Update (29.10.2026): News: European Commission freezes decisions on national social media bans (Rapporteur)
Update (27.10.2026): News: European capitals push back against Brussels over national social media bans (POLITICO)
Update (22.10.2026): News: EU considers banning beauty filters and social media likes for children (Rapporteur)
Update (12.10.2026): Commentary: EU social media ban proposal should not be dismissed despite concerns over its implementation (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (21.09.2026): Analysis: Can the EU protect children from social media harms? (Euronews⁠)
Quick Brief:
The European Commission introduces a new KIDS Act to shape an age-dependent approach to social media use for children in the EU
Under 13: children will not be able to access social media services. They can still use child-friendly video-sharing services through an account managed by a parent or guardian.
Age 13 to under 15: children can use social media through a mini account managed by a parent or guardian, with limited features and a time restriction of 1 hour per day.
From age 15 onwards: children will be able to open and manage their own social media account.
Source: European Commission, EUObserver
Further Sources:
13.07.2026 - Analysis: EU expert panel recommends banning social media access for children under 13 (European Commission⁠)
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Foreign PolicyInside EuropeLatin AmericaAndorraAntónio CostaEuropean UnionIbero-American SummitJavier MileiKing Felipe VIMadridPortugalSpain

Madrid Hosts the Ibero-American Summit

Spain hosts the 30th Ibero-American Summit on 4 and 5 November, with European Council President António Costa attending and the presidents of Brazil and Mexico sending their foreign ministers instead.
Updates
News: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy makes surprise visit to Madrid for talks with Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez and Latin American leaders (Euronews)
The summit: Spain hosts the 22-country forum in Madrid, with King Felipe VI chairing the leaders’ plenary on 5 November. Argentina’s Javier Milei is attending, while Brazil’s Lula da Silva and Mexico’s Claudia Sheinbaum are absent
European participation: Portugal and Andorra are full members alongside Spain. President António José Seguro and Prime Minister Luís Montenegro represent Portugal, and Prime Minister Xavier Espot represents Andorra. Germany, France and Italy are among the countries with observer status. Costa attends as European Council president
The agenda: Spain is pushing for cooperation on artificial intelligence, disaster response, care policy and mutual recognition of academic qualifications
What’s at stake: The summit gives the EU a forum for dialogue with Latin American partners. Spain is seeking agreement on a Madrid Declaration after the 2024 summit ended without a joint declaration
Sources: RTVE⁠, European Council⁠, La Moncloa⁠
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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EU EnlargementEU AccessionEU EnlargementEuropean CommissionMarta KosMoldovaReforms

Moldova Deemed EU Enlargement Front-Runner

EU Commissioner Marta Kos refers to Moldova as currently the best-performing candidate in the EU Accession pathway.
Moldova is the best performing candidate in the EU Accession reforms according to Commissioner Marta Kos
Moldova, Montenegro and Albania are all on the track to join the EU by 2030
Moldova's progress unfolds amid Russian hybrid threats such as drone incursions and cyberattacks
Nevertheless the country shows "strong determination" to implement reforms
Source: European Commission
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Energy PolicyInside EuropeMedia and JournalismSecurity & DefenceWar in UkraineAndrey GyurovBlack SeaBulgariaDefenceEuropean UnionIliana YotovaInflationNATOPresidential electionsRumen RadevRussia

Bulgaria Presidential Elections: Pro-Russian-Leaning President Iliana Yotova Wins

Bulgaria elected its president on 1 November in a second round amid divisions over Ukraine, relations with Russia, and Black Sea security.
Updates
News: Reports of Roma voter intimidation emerge in Bulgaria’s presidential election as Iliana Iotova’s victory raises concerns over press freedom (EUObserver)
Update (02.11.2026): News: Bulgaria’s pro-Russian-leaning President Iliana Yotova wins presidential run-off election, according to exit polls (Rapporteur)
Update (01.11.2026): News: Bulgaria’s presidential run-off pits Yotova against Gyurov amid divisions over Russia, Ukraine and Prime Minister Radev (AP News)
Update (29.10.2026): Analysis: Bulgaria’s presidential election raises questions over the next president’s independence from Prime Minister Rumen Radev (EUObserver)
Update (26.10.2026): News: Bulgarian Prime Minister Rumen Radev frames presidential run-off as a choice “between peace and war” amid growing Black Sea security concerns (BNT)
Update (25.10.2026): News: Bulgaria’s presidential rivals Yotova and Gyurov outline competing visions ahead of 1 November run-off, with Gyurov calling for a televised debate (The Sofia Globe, BTA)
Update (25.10.2026): News: Bulgaria heads for closely contested presidential run-off on 1. November following record-low voter turnout (Rapporteur)
Update (24.10.2026): Analysis: Bulgaria’s presidential election tests Rumen Radev’s political influence (EUObserver)
Quick Brief:
The vote: Campaigning has ended ahead of Sunday’s election, with 27 presidential tickets competing. A runoff is scheduled for 1 November if required
Main contenders: President Iliana Yotova, backed by Prime Minister Rumen Radev’s Progressive Bulgaria, faces former caretaker prime minister Andrey Gyurov, supported by pro-European opposition parties
European stakes: Russia’s war against Ukraine and Black Sea security dominate the campaign, alongside energy prices and inflation in the EU and NATO member states
Presidential influence: Most executive power rests with the government, but the president represents Bulgaria internationally, commands the armed forces and can veto legislation
Sources: BTA, AP, Bulgarian Parliament
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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Climate PolicyEnergy PolicyEnvironmental PolicyEuropean GovernanceInside EuropeCO2 emissionsCombustion-CarsFranceGermanyWeakening of 2035 Rules

Europe’s Combustion-Car Ban: The End?

Germany and France have agreed to seek weaker EU car-emissions rules for 2035, allowing some new combustion-engine cars beyond that date while promoting European production.
Updates
News: European lawmakers push to weaken EU car CO2 emissions targets amid pressure from the automotive industry (Reuters)
Update (20.10.2026): News: EU lawmakers reach agreement to weaken car CO2 targets (Reuters⁠)
Update (19.10.2026): Commentary: Franco-German car deal protects combustion engines, not European jobs (EUobserver⁠)
Quick Brief:
On 16 October, both governments backed a joint position to soften the 2035 rules. This is not yet an EU agreement or a change in law
They propose a 90% reduction in new-car fleet CO₂ emissions against 2021 levels, rather than 100%, without requiring compensation for the remaining emissions
The compromise links Germany’s demand for greater technological flexibility with France’s push to favour European-made components in publicly supported vehicles
Both governments cite competitiveness and jobs. Environmental critics warn that electric-vehicle investment incentives will be weaker. EU governments and Parliament must still agree on legislation
Sources: Élysée, Reuters, Tagesschau
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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RussiaSports and PoliticsWar in UkraineCourt of Arbitration for SportCzechiaDenmarkEuropean BoycottEuropean CommissionFinlandGermanyIce HockeyIIHFLatviaNorwaySweden

Russia’s Ice Hockey Return Faces European Boycott

Six European countries refuse to face Russia following a court ruling allowing its national teams to return, creating uncertainty for the 2027 World Championship in Germany.
Court ruling: On 30 October, the Court of Arbitration for Sport overturned Russia’s exclusion from five IIHF championships in 2027, covering men’s, women’s and youth national teams
European opposition: Finland, Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Czechia and Latvia refuse to play Russia. Finland links its position to Russia’s continuing war against Ukraine
Federation response: The IIHF will comply but disputes the ruling, citing security, visa and logistical concerns. Implementation remains unresolved
European stakes: Germany warns of consequences for hosting the 2027 tournament. The European Commission stresses that sporting decisions must comply with EU sanctions and restrictions
Sources: IIHF, Reuters, Euronews
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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Inside EuropeBudgetMichal ŠimečkaParliamentary MajorityRobert FicoSlovakia

Fico Loses Reliable Majority in Slovakia

Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico’s coalition can now count on only 75 of 150 MPs after another defection, prompting the opposition to call for early elections.
Updates
News: Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico rules out early elections despite losing his parliamentary majority, blaming coalition partners SNS and Hlas (TASR)
Latest defection: On 3 November, MP Roman Malatinec left the Rural Party and joined a group led by former environment minister Tomáš Taraba. The coalition postponed parliamentary votes for a week
Coalition rift: Taraba returned to parliament after the Slovak National Party (SNS), a junior coalition partner, voted with the opposition to remove him in September. His group says it will assess bills individually
What’s next: Opposition leader Michal Šimečka called for a snap election. The loss of reliable backing does not automatically bring down the government. The next regular election is due in September 2027
European stakes: The split makes it harder for Fico’s government to pass its 2027 budget, a key test of whether the coalition can still govern without a dependable majority
Sources: Rapporteur, iROZHLAS, Reuters
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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Security & DefenceTransatlantic RelationsArcticGreenland

An Agreement about Greenland: Hope for US-EU Diplomacy?

Trump, Denmark and Greenland signed deal aimed at ending Arctic standoff.
Updates
News: Greenland’s parliament ratifies security deal with US President Donald Trump, paving the way for expanded American military presence (Reuters)
Update (29.09.2026): Commentary: Greenland’s choice of industrial and financial partners now subject to Washington’s approval (Le Monde⁠)
Update (25.09.2026): News: Arctic outpost likely to host US troops under new Greenland deal (Reuters⁠)
Update (23.09.2026): Analysis: Greenland Agreement reshapes US-Danish Arctic security ties (POLITICO⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): News: Trump, Denmark and Greenland sign deal aimed at ending Arctic standoff (Reuters⁠)
Update (20.09.2026): Commentary: Greenland deal offers hope for US-EU diplomacy (EUobserver⁠) 
Update (19.09.2026): News: Denmark and Greenland say US deal will not compromise sovereignty (Reuters⁠)
Update (18.09.2026): News: US and Denmark reach Greenland security agreement after Trump annexation threats (BBC⁠)
Update (18.09.2026): News: Trump-linked US investors buy property for former Greenland minister (Euractiv⁠) 
Quick Brief, 22 May:
Around 1,000 protesters chanted “Greenland belongs to Greenlanders.”
Activists rejected US influence and Trump’s Arctic ambitions
Several Greenlandic leaders boycotted the opening ceremony
The event exposed tensions over growing US geopolitical interest in Greenland
Source: Euractiv
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Human RightsUkraineWar in UkraineFamineFood crisisHumanitarian CrisisOleshkyRussia

Humanitarian Operation in Occupied Kherson Oblast Succesful

Civilians in Russian-occupied Oleshky faced an escalating humanitarian crisis as food shortages, mines and drone attacks leave residents increasingly isolated and make evacuation extremely difficult.
Updates
Analysis: ISW argues Oleshky ceasefire demonstrates Russia’s ability, but lack of political will, to end civilian suffering in Ukraine (ISW)
Update (31.10.2026): Report: Ukrainian civilians describe years of hardship under Russian occupation after escaping a front-line city and returning to Ukrainian-controlled territory (BBC)
Update (31.10.2026): Analysis: Russia and Ukraine complete a humanitarian operation in occupied Kherson Oblast, enabling Ukrainian civilians to return to Ukrainian-controlled territory (ISW)
Update (29.10.2026): News: Russia and Ukraine report completed demining around Russian-held Oleshky, paving the way for humanitarian aid deliveries and civilian evacuations (Reuters)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Russia-Ukraine ceasefire expands beyond Oleshky into parts of Kherson region to secure humanitarian aid corridors (Reuters)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Russia and Ukraine begin localised ceasefire in Oleshky to enable humanitarian aid deliveries and civilian evacuations (Reuters)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Russia and Ukraine reportedly agree to a limited ceasefire in Russian-occupied Oleshky, Kherson Oblast (ISW)
Update (22.10.2026): News: Italian MEP launches hunger strike over humanitarian crisis in Russian-occupied Oleshky (EUobserver)
Update (20.10.2026): News: Kremlin pledges humanitarian assistance amid worsening food crisis in Russian-occupied Oleshky (Reuters⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): News: Pope contacts Putin over reported famine in Russian-occupied Oleshky (Vatican News⁠)
Quick Brief:
Around 2,000 people are estimated to remain in Oleshky, down from about 24,000 before the full-scale invasion
Regular food deliveries have been cut off since 26 May, leaving basic products increasingly unavailable
Drones, mines and ongoing fighting make supply routes and evacuations extremely dangerous, while residents also struggle to access medical care
Ukraine says it is ready to evacuate civilians with international support, but Ukrainian officials accuse Russia of blocking humanitarian access and evacuation efforts
Sources: DW⁠, UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine⁠, Kyiv Independent⁠
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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EU EnlargementAlbaniaAntónio CostaEUEU CouncilEU EnlargementEuronews Enlargement Summit 2026European UnionMoldovaMontenegroUkraine

António Costa’s Statement at the Euronews Enlargement Summit

António Costa has reaffirmed the EU enlargement plans with Montenegro, Albania, Ukraine and Moldova at the Euronews Enlargement Summit 2026 stating that the countries have all made further progress in negotiations.
Costa reaffirmed EU enlargement as an essential part of Europe's peace and security plans
He stressed that the enlargement strengthens the EU economically
Montenegro, Albania, Ukraine and Moldova have made progress in negotiations
Costa hopes that Montenegro will become the EU's 28th member by 2028
Source: European Council
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BalticsForeign PolicyAnne ApplebaumEuropean UnionNATOPolandProfileRadosław SikorskiRussia HawkSecurityUkraine

Radosław Sikorski: Poland’s Pro-European Russia Hawk

Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski is one of Europe’s most outspoken critics of Russia, a staunch supporter of Ukraine and a prominent advocate of European unity.
Political heavyweight: A leading figure in Donald Tusk’s pro-European Civic Coalition, Sikorski opposes the nationalist PiS, despite having previously served in a PiS-led government
Russia hawk: At the UN Security Council, Sikorski warned Moscow against violating NATO airspace, reinforcing his reputation as a fierce critic of Russian aggression
European advocate: A strong supporter of Ukraine, NATO and European integration, Sikorski helped establish the EU’s Eastern Partnership in 2009
International influence: A former war correspondent and Oxford graduate, Sikorski is married to Pulitzer Prize-winning historian Anne Applebaum, a prominent critic of authoritarianism
Sources: Polish MFA | PAP
AI-assisted. Reviewed by the Briefing Team.
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From Digital Readiness to Economic Results in Hungary

Policy Paper

This analysis discovers Hungary’s digital ecosystem, revealing its strengths and weaknesses. By connecting quantitative data about the country’s digital economy sectors with the broader geopolitical context, the analysis describes how a well-strategized improvement in Hungary’s digital economy could lead to geopolitical leverage, not only in the Danube region but also in the European Union. By connecting Western capital with the Eastern growth market, the state could overcome the main challenge most countries face in the case of the digital economy and evolve from an agenda-taker to an agenda-setter actor, with increased leverage within the European Union.

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Venezuela: The country at the intersection of the Monroe Doctrine and energy dominance

Policy Paper

The United States’ action in Venezuela in early January sparked lively debate around the world, focusing primarily on the country’s oil reserves and their future. Our analysis also fits into this narrative, examining the events in Venezuela and the possible chain reactions of US intervention in light of Washington’s pursuit of energy dominance. We hypothesize that, for Washington, Venezuela’s oil reserves could bring more than just influence over the global price of crude oil. At the regional level, the US could increase its influence over Cuba, while also appearing to defuse the territorial conflict between Venezuela and Guyana, which has become increasingly heated in recent years. At the global level, bringing Venezuela’s oil wealth under US control could be part of a strategy to strengthen the US position vis-à-vis both OPEC and China, the world’s largest oil importer. Moreover, developments could even have an impact on Russia. America’s push for energy dominance of this kind, as well as the occurrence and impact of its possible chain reactions, depends on several factors, starting with the resolution of security, economic, and oil sector issues in Venezuela, as well as the level of control America may be able to gain over other OPEC members, such as Iraq or Iran.

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No Autonomy Without Access: Europe’s Maritime Dependence and the Limits of Strategic Autonomy

Policy Paper

Strategic autonomy has become the EU’s shorthand for greater agency, but at sea autonomy depends first on access. Europe’s economy and security rely on sea-borne trade, maritime chokepoints, and seabed infrastructure that carries energy and data; these arteries can be disrupted cheaply and ambiguously below the threshold of open conflict. The paper asks to what extent EU maritime strategic autonomy relies on security provisions outside EU control and what institutional and operational steps can reduce this vulnerability. It develops a conceptual framework linking strategic autonomy to sea-power thinking and weaponized interdependence, treating chokepoints and seabed systems as leverage sites where disruption quickly generates economic risk and political urgency. The analysis finds that EU maritime governance tools and mission-based operations can mitigate crises but does not yet provide a durable, multi-theatre access guarantee. High-end enablers (ISR, logistics, command integration, surge) remain largely U.S.-enabled through NATO. The paper proposes recalibrating autonomy as layered access management: Sense (domain awareness and attribution), Shield (resilience, redundancy, rapid repair and legal clarity), and Surge (readiness and pre-agreed force packages), increasing Europe’s contribution while staying NATO-compatible. Key words: strategic autonomy; maritime security; seabed infrastructure, interdependence

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The (im)possible mission of holding Frontex accountable – An analysis of the different direct fundamental rights accountability mechanisms.

Bachelor's Thesis

Border protection and control is a human rights sensitive field and Frontex, the European Border and Coast Guard Agency, is working in it. Thus, there is a need to give a possibility to hold Frontex accountability if it breaches fundamental rights. After all, as stated by Article 47 of the Charter, “[everyone] whose rights and freedoms guaranteed by the law of the Union are violated has the right to an effective remedy before a tribunal”. Although the importance of accountability is undisputable, holding Frontex accountable is easier said than done. This is due to the Agency only coordinating and organising with Member States and supporting them. Besides the option to hold the Agency directly accountable before the Court of Justice, there is only one internal mechanism allowing victims to complain directly to the Agency, but all of these possibilities have one thing in common, namely that their effectiveness is disputed. This includes criticisms on the access to the mechanisms, them not considering the vulnerable position of the refugees and their impartiality, which makes it relevant to raise the question: How can the external and internal direct accountability mechanisms of the European Border and Coast Guard Agency be evaluated in light of the way they operate and the challenges they face in ensuring accountability for fundamental rights violations? In order to answer this question, the essay will first have a closer look at the external accountability through CJEU Actions and then discuss internal accountability through the Individual Complaint Mechanism. In their respective chapters, the accountability mechanisms will be described, analysed and tested against the research question. The analysis will make it possible to conclude on the question posed and to offer recommendations for the improvement of the mechanisms.

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Die Konstruktion von Öffentlichkeit in der digitalen EU-Bürgerbeteiligungsplattform

Term Paper

Wie verändert sich Öffentlichkeit, wenn politische Diskussionen auf staatlich geschaffene digitale Plattformen verlagert werden? Am Beispiel der EU-Bürgerbeteiligungsplattform analysiert diese Arbeit, ob hier tatsächlich neue Räume für öffentliche Aushandlung entstehen – oder ob die Vorgaben und Moderation eher eine gelenkte Form von Öffentlichkeit schaffen. Im Fokus stehen die Chancen, Grenzen und der konkrete Nutzen solcher Plattformen für die politische Teilhabe. Ziel ist es, neue Perspektiven für die Analyse und Gestaltung digitaler Öffentlichkeiten zu eröffnen. How does the concept of the public sphere change when political discussions are shifted to state-created digital platforms? Using the example of the EU citizen participation platform, this paper analyses whether truly new spaces for public deliberation are emerging, – or whether official guidelines and moderation are instead creating a steered form of publicness. The focus is on opportunities, limitations, and tangible benefits of such platforms for political participation. The aim is to open up new perspectives for analyzing and shaping digital public spheres

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Krieg in Europa: Russlands „Militärische Spezialoperation“

Bachelor's Thesis

The Russian attack on Ukraine on 24 February 2022 marks a serious turning point in the European security order and raises fundamental questions about the causes of international conflicts. This thesis examines the motives behind Russia’s so-called ‘special military operation’ on the basis of two central theories of international relations: neorealism and constructivism. With the help of a theory-led congruence analysis, the extent to which these theories can contribute to explaining Russia’s behaviour is analysed. (German Original) Der russische Angriff auf die Ukraine am 24. Februar 2022 markiert eine gravierende Zäsur in der europäischen Sicherheitsordnung und wirft fundamentale Fragen über die Ursachen internationaler Konflikte auf. Diese Arbeit untersucht die Beweggründe für die sogenannte „militärische Spezialoperation“ Russlands auf Grundlage zweier zentraler Theorien der Internationalen Beziehungen: dem Neorealismus und dem Konstruktivismus. Mithilfe einer theoriegeleiteten Kongruenzanalyse wird analysiert, inwiefern diese Theorien zur Erklärung des russischen Verhaltens beitragen können.

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The Colonized Connection and International Irishness

Master's Thesis

Throughout the summer of 2023, Ireland’s citizens and political leaders alike were largely in agreement on the issue of Israel and Palestine, and specifically, that Ireland needed to do more to assist in reaching a solution to the conflict. As a traditionally isolationist, neutral state on Europe’s periphery, Ireland has traditionally not concerned itself with the actions of other states so far away from its borders – fearful of appearing partial. Yet upon closer inspection, this recent round of debate (on this occasion sparked by Israel’s incursion into Jenin Refugee Camp in July) represents simply the latest development of Ireland’s historic sympathies and moral support with the people of Palestine. What makes this occasion unique, however, is that Ireland’s political leaders are in agreement that the Emerald Isle must do more. As other European neutrals abandon their neutrality for NATO membership, Ireland’s leaders may be correct. The current thesis aimed to explore how the Republic of Ireland’s national identity is undergoing a transformation through foreign policy discourses. It is believed that Ireland’s political leadership are utilising the Israel- Palestine conflict, one with which Ireland can identify with, to change its national identity away from a passive neutral state on Europe’s periphery to an international moral superpower – that can truly demonstrate the power of active neutrality. The current thesis adopts a historicist-social constructivist lens and utilises Ruth Wodak’s DHA variant of CDA to analyse the discourse of Ireland’s top politicians surrounding two case study events roughly two decades apart. These events were the 2002 ‘Battle for Jenin’ and the 2023 ‘Jenin Incursion.’ It was believed that by examining the discourse surrounding these two events, one may understand how Ireland’s political leadership is changing Ireland’s neutral foreign policy, and thus national identity, from passive to active – and from isolated to moral superpower. To examine the extent that Ireland may be positioning itself to be the EU’s moral superpower, a brief illustrative case study comparison with Austria is adopted. The adoption of this case study provided the author with the opportunity to discuss how Ireland’s political leadership is contributing to this transformation. Though Ireland may be some time away from fully realising this identity, a difference was observed in the discourse of both sets of Irish politicians, twenty years apart. Ireland now realises its ability to influence the world on such matters, and has confidence in its ability to lead on foreign policy issues.

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Viability & Implementation of European Strategic Autonomy in Defence

Policy Paper

Recent remarks and long-held positions by former and current US officials have underscored the urgency of European nations meeting their defense spending commitments within NATO . Such statements have reignited debates regarding Europe’s capacity to guarantee its security independently, against the backdrop of the two year anniversary and the decade long struggle for peace in the War in Ukraine, taking place in a political climate of election outcome uncertainty within the Alliance in 2024. European States have committed themselves to boost defense capabilities, increase defense budgets and further cooperation , which has in fact led to a „unprecedented rise“ of 11% in defense spending in 2023 alone. The internal sovereignty of the EU’s member states and their vastly different capabilities and policies on security however, together with the integration of NATO, of most EU Member states, have formed a vague and ambiguous system that guarantees strategic and territorial security within the mutual defense clauses of the NATO Framework, but doesn’t for see or stipulate a joint European force or alternative, despite the long term objectives found in the EUGS . Cooperation in a collective 5 defense strategy still remains contentious and efforts to ensure efficiency and interoperability remain limited. This policy paper examines the viability of establishing a joint EU coordinating force based on existing structures to integrate member states’ militaries more effectively. While advocating for this approach as the primary recommendation, alternative policy options will also be explored.

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