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Quick Briefs from last week

Economic PolicyEducation PolicyEuropean GovernanceInside EuropeAffordable HousingCorruptionGen ZLack of JobsMilitary ServiceSchool ConditionsStudent ProtestsYouth Protests

Gen Z Takes to Europe’s Streets

Since early October, young people across Europe have mobilised over underfunded schools, unaffordable housing and corruption.
France, Belgium and Italy: School protests began in France in September, with students in Belgium and Italy also demanding better school conditions
Spain and Portugal: Protesters set up camps in Madrid, Lisbon and Porto to demand affordable housing
Germany and Denmark: German rallies called for better schools and opposed conscription, while Danish students protested proposed cuts to study grants
Serbia and Albania: Serbia’s student-backed list won a parliamentary majority on 25 October, while Albanian students protested over corruption and a lack of jobs
Sources: Reuters, Le Monde, Danish High School Students’ Association
Transparency Note: AI-assisted. Reviewed by the Briefing Team.
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European GovernanceMiddle East RelationsBritainEuropean UnionIrelandIsraelSanctionsSettlersWest Bank

The EU and Sanctions on Violent Israeli Settlers

Amid rising settler violence in the West Bank, the European Union has begun taking limited action against extremist Israeli settlers while internal divisions still constrain tougher measures.
Updates
News: Israeli settler violence threatens Palestinian children’s access to education in the occupied West Bank (DIE ZEIT⁠, The Guardian⁠, UN OCHA⁠)
News: European Parliament trade committee chair Bernd Lange criticises the European Commission for invoking EU voting rules to avoid banning imports from Israeli settlements (EUObserver)
Update (22.10.2026): News: Israeli settlers steal Palestinian olive harvests as attacks on farmers grow increasingly violent in the West Bank (Reuters)
Update (18.10.2026): News: France urges Israel to arrest attackers of EU diplomats (POLITICO⁠)
Update (18.10.2026): News: European diplomats attacked by Israeli settlers in West Bank (BBC News⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: Israeli settlers injure Palestinians and US journalist during West Bank harvest attack (BBC News⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: EU funding raises concerns over Israeli firms developing surveillance technology (EUobserver⁠)
Update (11.10.2026): Commentary: EU leaders accused of remaining silent on Israel despite renewed attention to Gaza genocide allegations (EUobserver⁠)
Update 08.09.2026: Britain’s east Jerusalem consulate is downgraded (AP)
Update (23.09.2026): News: Israeli bond sales halted across EU in de facto €2.2bn sanction (EUobserver⁠)
Update (14.09.2026): News: Israeli rights group B'Tselem accuses Israel of dismantling Palestinian existence in West Bank (RFI⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): Analysis: Britons back Israeli settlement trade ban by more than two to one (ECFR⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): News: Israel closes British consulate in East Jerusalem over settlement trade ban (Reuters⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): News: Eleven European countries and Canada sanction Israeli settlement products (Le Monde⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): News: France and Canada join UK sanctions on Israeli settlements (POLITICO⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): News: UK plans trade restrictions on West Bank settlements (BBC News⁠)
Update (30.08.2026): Interview: Irish MEP says trade is EU’s only leverage over Israel (EUobserver)
Update (28.08.2026): Commentary: EU favours reforms over pressure on Israel (EUobserver)
Update (July 09, 2026): EU pitches trade ban with Israeli settlements (Euractiv)
Update (July 08, 2026): Ireland passes bill banning goods from Israeli settlements (Euractiv)
Update (June 18, 2026): Israel cuts ‘all contact’ with Kaja Kallas over apartheid comments (Euractiv)
Update (June 16, 2026): Kallas' plan to punish Israel rejected by the Commission (Euractiv)
Update (June 15, 2026): Kallas said she will ask the European Commission to propose further restrictive measures on trade against illegal Israeli settlements (Euractiv)
May 11, 2026:
Sanctions reflect rising settlement violence and humanitarian crises in the Palestinian territories
Hungary’s new government ended the veto blocking them
Stronger trade sanctions were not agreed upon
Critics say the measures remain limited despite rising West Bank violence
Source: The Guardian
Here is a commentary by ECFR on the topic
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National PoliticsAfDFirewallSaxony-AnhaltState Elections

AfD Wins Historic State Victory

The AfD has won a historic victory in Saxony-Anhalt, dramatically shifting the political balance in eastern Germany while falling short of the majority needed to govern alone.
Updates
Interview: TU Braunschweig President Angela Ittel warns of AfD plans to dismantle university equality programmes and calls for a “science NATO” to protect academic freedom through solidarity between German states (DIE ZEIT)
Update (07.10.2026): News: AfD’s Tobias Rausch elected Saxony-Anhalt parliament president with four additional votes beyond AfD and BSW, raising suspicions of CDU support and fuelling concerns over a possible split within the CDU parliamentary group (Tagesschau⁠, Reuters⁠)
Update (06.10.2026): News: Germany’s governing SPD stages protest march to Berlin’s Bebelplatz, site of the 1933 Nazi book burnings, after AfD’s election victory in Saxony-Anhalt; Defence Minister Pistorius leads singing of national anthem (SPD)
Update (06.10.2026): News: AfD seeks Saxony-Anhalt parliament presidency as BSW support could secure majority (Euronews⁠)
Update (10.09.2026): Commentary: Saxony-Anhalt election strengthens Russia and East German nostalgia (Euractiv⁠)
Update (10.09.2026): Commentary: AfD victory could amplify Euroscepticism in France (Le Monde⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): News: Merz goes on offensive against AfD after Saxony-Anhalt defeat (Euractiv⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): News: Merz calls AfD’s anti-migration policy “ethnic cleansing” (Reuters⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): Analysis: SPD rebels against Merz after far-right rout (POLITICO⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): Analysis: Merz’s political crisis threatens Germany’s leadership in Europe (ECFR⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): Analysis: AfD victory raises concerns in Poland over German military rearming (POLITICO⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): Analysis: Germany debates whether to ban the AfD (EUobserver⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): Analysis: Merz appears to have no plan against AfD (POLITICO⁠)
Update (07.09.2026): Interview: Roma rights defender warns AfD victory normalises hatred of minorities (EUobserver⁠)
Update (07.09.2026): Analysis: AfD explores paths to govern Saxony-Anhalt (Deutsche Welle⁠)
Update (07.09.2026): Commentary: AfD landslide reshapes German politics (La Vanguardia⁠)
Update (06.09.2026): Analysis: AfD victory sends a warning to Europe (Svenska Dagbladet⁠)
Update (06.09.2026): Commentary: AfD rule could put Germany’s economy to the test (Deutsche Welle⁠)
Update (06.09.2026): Analysis: Will AfD remain this radical after its victory? (Ilta-Sanomat⁠)
Update (06.09.2026): Analysis: AfD victory raises doubts over Merz as chancellor (DER SPIEGEL⁠)
Update (06.09.2026): Analysis: Saxony-Anhalt could end Germany’s firewall against AfD (G4Media⁠)
Update (06.09.2026): Commentary: AfD surge is a victory for Russia (The Telegraph⁠)
Quick Brief:
The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) won 43.8%, its strongest result in any German state election and more than double its 2021 share
Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s CDU fell to 17.2%, losing more than half its previous support after governing Saxony-Anhalt since 2002
Despite its victory, the AfD secured 39 of 83 seats, three short of an absolute majority. Other established parties have ruled out governing with it
The result puts Germany’s political “firewall” against cooperation with the AfD under new pressure, as the remaining parties face a difficult path to forming a government without it
Sources: Euractiv⁠, Reuters⁠, ZDF⁠
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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Middle East RelationsIran WarMiddle East

Middle East Weekly Update

Iran–US tensions intensify as diplomatic efforts continue amid renewed strikes and disruption in the Strait of Hormuz.
The US conducted limited strikes against Iranian targets on 2 and 6 November, while Tehran warned of a wider response to further attacks
Tanker attacks, reported mine explosions, and vessel seizures have heightened maritime security concerns. The waterway remains a major obstacle to negotiations
Iran has submitted a nuclear proposal through Qatar and intensified discussions with Russia and Gulf countries. Qatar continues to mediate between Washington and Tehran
Türkiye's ratification of the trilateral defence agreement with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan signals closer defence coordination amid regional instability
President Trump's announcement regarding the proposed termination of annual military assistance to Israel introduces uncertainty into the long-standing bilateral security relationship
Sources:
US strikes near the Strait of Hormuz –AP
Trump announces plans to phase out financial assistance to Israel – Al Jazeera
Iran responds to US midterm election results – Al Jazeera
Türkiye ratifies joint defence agreement – Al Jazeera
Iran submits nuclear proposal – Reuters
Iranian diplomatic engagement with Russia –Al Jazeera
US-Iran mediation efforts continue – Reuters
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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RussiaUkraineWar in UkraineRussiaUkraine

Russia – Ukraine Weekly Update

Russian strikes intensify ahead of Abu Dhabi peace talks as Ukraine’s energy infrastructure comes under renewed pressure.
Russian missile and drone attacks have intensified, damaging power plants, substations and transport infrastructure across Ukraine as winter approaches
The bombing of a humanitarian aid distribution centre in Komyshuvakha resulted in significant civilian casualties, highlighting the continued risks to frontline communities
Kyiv continued targeting Russian infrastructure, including oil-refining and logistics facilities, while Russian authorities reported extensive drone interceptions and casualties in border regions
Türkiye has explored further engagement between Moscow and Kyiv, while Trump has expressed optimism about a possible agreement. US-brokered trilateral talks are scheduled in Abu Dhabi for 10–11 November
Germany and other European partners have called for a meaningful role in negotiations, particularly regarding Ukraine’s future security guarantees and the wider European security framework
Sources
Russian attacks in Zaporizhzhia - Reuters
Erdogan seeks talks with Putin - Reuters
Russia-Ukraine strikes target critical infrastructure - Al Jazeera
President Trump meets Russian Envoy - NBC News
Russian attacks on Kyiv’s energy infrastructure - Reuters
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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Inside EuropeFar-Right IdeologyKrakówPolandPoliceShootingSix People KilledTerrorism

Poland Investigates Deadly Kraków Shooting

Polish prosecutors are investigating the 7 November shooting that killed six people in Kraków’s Main Market Square as a terrorist offence. The motive remains under investigation.
The attack: A gunman drove into the square and opened fire, wounding 15 people in addition to those killed. Police shot and wounded the 24-year-old suspect
Possible motive: Interior Minister Marcin Kierwiński said evidence pointed to the suspect’s interest in far-right ideology. As of 9 November, investigators had yet to question him because of his medical condition
Wider investigation: Police found the bodies of the suspect’s parents and sister at the family home in Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski. Prosecutors are also investigating their deaths
National mourning: Poland declared two days of national mourning on 8 and 9 November. A British man and an Austrian woman were among the six people killed in Kraków
Sources: Polish Government, AP, The Guardian
Transparency Note: AI-assisted. Reviewed by the Briefing Team.
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EU EnlargementGeopoliticsInside EuropeWestern BalkansAccession TreatyEU membershipEU StatesEuropean CommissionEuropean ParliamentEuropean UnionMontenegro

Montenegro Advances in EU Accession Talks

Montenegro and the EU provisionally closed two more negotiating chapters in Brussels on 6 November, leaving ten open as Montenegro aims to join the bloc in 2028.
What changed: The two chapters cover the free movement of goods and rules on food safety, animal health and plant health
Where talks stand: Montenegro has provisionally closed 23 of 33 chapters. The EU will continue to monitor how Montenegro applies its rules and can reopen chapters if needed
What remains: The remaining chapters include key rule-of-law reforms. The European Commission says talks could conclude by the end of 2026 if Montenegro sustains reforms and EU member states agree
Path to membership: The Commission’s roadmap points to June 2027 as a possible date for signing the accession treaty. The European Parliament must give its consent, and Montenegro and all EU member states must ratify the treaty before accession
Sources: Council of the EU⁠, Vijesti⁠
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Economic PolicyMonetary PolicySecurity & DefenceBudgetCouncil of the EUEU BorrowingEuropean CommissionGeneral Affairs CouncilMultiannual Financial Framework

Frugals vs. Friends of Cohesion: EU Budget Battle Intensifies

Six fiscally conservative EU countries are demanding major cuts to Brussels’ proposed €2 trillion budget for 2028–2034, setting up a difficult fight over Europe’s future spending priorities. The 27 member states want to have a decision by the end of the year.
Updates
Interview: EU’s real deadline for reaching an agreement on its next long-term budget comes into focus (Rapporteur)
News: EU budget disputes stall key Brussels priorities, including AI chips, Arctic policy and agriculture (POLITICO)
News: Finland warns that EU financial support for Ukraine must not depend on negotiations over the bloc’s long-term budget (Rapporteur)
News: Firefighters from 19 countries protest proposed EU disaster response budget cuts in Brussels (EUObserver)
Update (02.11.2026): News: European cultural organisations warn of severe consequences as proposed EU budget cuts threaten to reduce cultural funding by 30% (EUObserver)
Update (30.10.2026): News: EU tobacco tax revenue forecasts fall sharply amid negotiations over the bloc’s next long-term budget (Rapporteur)
Update (27.10.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s €70 billion funding shortfall threatens to complicate negotiations over the EU’s next long-term budget (Euronews)
Update (26.10.2026): News: Austria threatens to veto the EU budget (Rapporteur)
Update (26.10.2026): News: EU foreign aid chief says little is changing in Africa despite development efforts (Rapporteur)
Update (26.10.2026): News: Rising debt costs and fraud allegations increase pressure on the EU budget (Rapporteur)
Update (23.10.2026): Interview: António Costa targets November agreement on EU budget (Rapporteur)
Update (22.10.2026): News: MEPs seek €7 billion more for Erasmus despite opposition from budget-conscious EU governments (EUobserver)
Update (21.10.2026): Analysis: Who will stand up for Global Europe? (PubAffairs Bruxelles⁠)
Update (20.10.2026): News: EU budget negotiations raise questions over costs and funding (Rapporteur)
Update (19.10.2026): Analysis: EU faces a perfect political storm amid mounting challenges (POLITICO⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): Interview: Irish minister says EU budget deal still possible by Christmas (YouTube⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): Interview: Cyprus president proposes shortening EU budget to three or four years (POLITICO⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): News: Costa targets November EU budget showdown (POLITICO⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): News: Costa proposes new EU taxes to break budget deadlock (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): Podcast: Europe faces a new battle over the EU budget (ECFR⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: 17 European leaders issue joint statement on EU cohesion funding (Italian Government⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: EU leaders consider deep budget cuts as joint borrowing expands (EUobserver⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: EU capitals weaken budget deal deadline (POLITICO⁠)
Update (13.10.2026): News: France sets EU budget red lines on tech taxes and Buy European (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (13.10.2026): Interview: Austrian EU Affairs Minister Claudia Bauer rejects artificial budget deadline (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (13.10.2026): News: Spain hosts Friends of Cohesion meeting on next EU budget (Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): Opinion: Will MEPs challenge €141bn in EU budget cuts? (EUobserver⁠)
Update (11.10.2026): News: MEPs warn Irish EU budget plan risks historic failure as €141 billion in cuts spare agriculture and cohesion funds (EUobserver⁠)
Update (11.10.2026): News: European Commission warns that EU budget cuts could undermine funding for crisis response (POLITICO⁠)
Update (10.10.2026): EU's Irish presidency wants 8% cut to proposed 2028-2034 budget plan (Reuters)
Update (08.10.2026): Opinion: Cut the EU budget and we all lose (EUobserver)
Update (08.10.2026): News: EU countries brace for €100B-€200B smaller budget (Politico)
Update (08.10.2026): Analysis: EU’s 2028-2034 budget proposal creates new conflicts over spending priorities and financial burden-sharing (SWP⁠)
Update (08.10.2026): News: EU auditors warn of major budget shortfall unless the EU introduces new sources of revenue (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (07.10.2026): News: Iran war shock expected to shrink next EU budget (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (06.10.2026): News: Von der Leyen rebukes EU budget frugals over demands for deeper spending cuts (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): News: EU governments brace for €100 billion cut to long-term budget proposal (POLITICO⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): News: EU cuts funding for women’s rights groups amid wider budget reductions (EUobserver⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): News: MEPs back €47 billion in new Erasmus funding as frugal states seek EU budget cuts (EUobserver⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): Commentary: EU budget cuts risk hurting member states’ own regions (EUobserver⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): News: EU leaders battle over budget as Parliament prepares resistance (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (25.09.2026): News: 12 countries oppose French push for EU defence preference (Euractiv⁠)
Update (23.09.2026): News: EU governments consider cutting development aid by up to 40 percent (EUobserver⁠) 
Update (23.09.2026): News: Greece proposes EU-wide telecoms levy to fund budget and high-tech investment (Euractiv⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): News: France opposes cuts to foreign aid in next EU budget (POLITICO⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): News: Results of the General Affairs Council (Irish EU Presidency⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): News: France opposes cuts to foreign aid in next EU budget (POLITICO⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): News: Germany rejects Costa’s push for new EU budget taxes (POLITICO⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): News: EU ministers meet in Brussels for General Affairs Council (Council of the EU⁠) 
Update (21.09.2026): Analysis: EU budget could strengthen rule of law safeguards but member states may blunt reforms (CER⁠)
Update (21.09.2026): News: Costa says EU budget needs new taxes governments are not already raising (POLITICO⁠)
Update (18.09.2026): News: Germany and Spain go head-to-head in EU budget fight (POLITICO⁠)
Update (17.09.2026): News: MEPs deadlocked over CAP’s place in next EU budget (Euractiv⁠)
Update (15.09.2026): News: Metsola urges Europe’s political centre to hold against extremes (Euractiv⁠)
Update (14.09.2026): News: EU plans cuts to staff and salaries in next long-term budget (POLITICO⁠)
Update (14.09.2026): News: EU countries split over scale of long-term budget cuts (Euractiv⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): News: Germany calls for hundreds of billions in EU budget cuts (Reuters⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): News: Costa says new EU taxes would reduce national contributions (POLITICO⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): News: France backs business tax to fund EU budget (Euractiv⁠)
Update (07.09.2026): News: Le Pen backs tobacco retailers against EU tax hikes (Euractiv⁠)
Update (07.09.2026): News: Ireland secures EU tax deal on carbon imports and e-waste (POLITICO⁠)
Update (04.09.2026): News: Spain urges EU climate adaptation fund and binding targets (Reuters⁠)
Update (04.09.2026): Commentary: EU budget could loosen China’s grip on critical raw materials (Euronews)
Update (03.09.2026): News: EU budget negotiators criticise frugal states over cuts (EUobserver)
Update (03.09.2026): Interview: Lithuania says eastern flank needs must shape EU budget (Euractiv)
Update (02.09.2026): News: Spain worried by EU budget debate (Euractiv)
Update (02.09.2026): News: EU budget camps remain deadlocked (EUobserver)
Update (31.08.2026): News: Ireland seeks to break EU budget deadlock (POLITICO)
Update (27.08.2026): Europe’s defence promise meets budget reality (ECFR)
Quick Brief:
Germany, Denmark, the Netherlands, Austria, Finland and Sweden want cuts of several hundred billion euros
The European Commission has proposed a nearly €2 trillion seven-year budget for 2028–2034
The six still want priority spending on defence, competitiveness, migration and European sovereignty
They reject new joint EU borrowing and demand cuts across spending areas as national budgets face consolidation
Sources: Euractiv, Reuters, Council of the EU
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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Climate PolicyEnergy PolicyEnvironmental PolicyUnited NationsAustraliaClean ElectricityCOP31Council of the EUEuropean UnionFossil FuelsUNEP

Fossil Fuels and Climate Finance Top COP31 Agenda

Governments meet in Antalya from 9 to 20 November to discuss how to move away from fossil fuels and close the funding gap for countries adapting to climate change.
Updates
Analysis: Six key issues to watch at COP31 climate talks, including emissions reductions, climate finance and international cooperation (Rapporteur)
News: Turkish villagers urge COP31 leaders to witness the environmental devastation caused by coal mining and energy production (Reuters)
The summit: Turkey hosts COP31, while Australia leads the negotiations. Heads of state and government meet on 11 and 12 November
Fossil fuels: Brazil’s outgoing COP presidency published a voluntary roadmap on 3 November. It calls for fossil fuel production and demand to fall as clean energy expands
Adaptation finance: Developing countries received $28.2–31.7 billion in international public adaptation finance in 2024. The UN Environment Programme estimates they will need around $305 billion annually by 2035
EU position: The EU will press governments to implement their national climate plans, accelerate the shift away from fossil fuels and expand the use of clean electricity
Sources: Council of the EU, COP30 Presidency, UNEP, UNFCCC
Transparency Note: AI-assisted. Reviewed by the Briefing Team.
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Inside EuropeConservativesÉdouard PhilippeEuropean UnionFranceFrançois HollandeJean-Luc MélenchonMarine Le PenPresidential Elections 2027Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists

France’s Spring 2027 Election: Can the Pro-EU Centre Recover? France Between Identity and Economic Politics.

Glucksmann’s nomination boosts France’s centre-left, but moderate candidates remain divided as Le Pen and Mélenchon lead a recent presidential poll.
Updates
Analysis: Jean-Luc Mélenchon mobilises his supporters for a potential presidential run-off against Marine Le Pen in France’s 2027 election (Rapporteur)
Analysis: Jean-Luc Mélenchon urges young supporters to persuade their parents ahead of France’s 2027 presidential election (Rapporteur)
Analysis: French President Emmanuel Macron explores ways to prevent a Marine Le Pen versus Jean-Luc Mélenchon run-off in the 2027 presidential election (Les Echos)
News: Jean-Luc Mélenchon rejects Édouard Philippe’s invitation to debate immigration and integration ahead of France’s 2027 presidential election (AFP)
Analysis: Le Pen seeks to attract wealthy conservative voters on the French Riviera ahead of the 2027 presidential election (Rapporteur)
Update (30.10.2026): Analysis: Divisions among French centrists increase the likelihood of a Le Pen-Mélenchon presidential run-off (Reuters)
Update (27.10.2026): Joint Statement: 44 French journalists’ associations condemn reported assaults on Mediapart and Politis reporters at the far-right National Rally’s congress in Orléans (Mediapart, Le Monde)
Update (26.10.2026): News: French presidential candidate Édouard Philippe loses support in new opinion poll ahead of 2027 election (POLITICO)
Update (25.10.2026): Analysis: France faces mounting political and economic challenges amid concerns over its role in Europe (POLITICO)
Update (25.10.2026): News: Marine Le Pen’s presidential campaign messaging overshadowed by Rassemblement National’s confrontational approach (Rapporteur)
Update (25.10.2026): News: Marine Le Pen launches 2027 presidential campaign, promising French national renewal and challenging EU authority (RFI)
Update (24.10.2026): News: Jordan Bardella re-elected president of France’s Rassemblement National with 98.98% of the vote (LCP)
Update (23.10.2026): Analysis: Mélenchon proposes cancelling France’s public debt, raising questions about historical precedents (Le Monde)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Mélenchon’s vision of a “New France” sparks identity clash with Le Pen (Rapporteur)
Update (20.10.2026): Analysis: French riots expose political risks and opportunities ahead of 2027 presidential election (POLITICO⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): Polling: Mélenchon overtakes Philippe in French presidential poll (Public Sénat⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: Mélenchon courts France’s isolated voters (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): Analysis: Édouard Philippe’s allies increasingly doubt his chances of defeating Marine Le Pen in France’s 2027 presidential election (POLITICO⁠)
Quick Brief:
Raphaël Glucksmann, a pro-European MEP and Place Publique leader, won the centre-left primary on 11 October with 66%
Édouard Philippe, prime minister from 2017 to 2020 and Horizons leader, seeks to unite centre-right and centrist voters
François Hollande, Socialist president from 2012 to 2017, is considering another bid, potentially further splitting the centre-left
An early-October poll puts far-right Le Pen at 35-37%, with radical-left Mélenchon reaching the runoff in every tested scenario. The race remains open
Sources: Reuters, Le Monde, DLF - Europa heute
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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National PoliticsRussiaSecurity & DefenceDisposable AgentsDonaustahlEuropean DefenseGermanyStefan ThumannUkraine

How Russia is using “Disposable Agents” against Europe

Russia is using ‘Disposable Agents’ to weaken and threaten Europe.
Updates
Analysis: Russia increasingly relies on low-level operatives to conduct hybrid warfare and sabotage operations across Europe (POLITICO)
Update (16.09.2026): News: US charges five over alleged Russia-backed sabotage plots (DW⁠)
Update (14.09.2026): News: Cuban dance teacher allegedly directed EU sabotage attacks from Russia (DW⁠)
Quick Brief, 10 August:
Stefan Thumann, CEO of defence company Donaustahl, was allegedly surveilled by suspected Russian operatives
German intelligence reportedly treats the case internally as a suspected assassination plot
Russia increasingly recruits so-called “disposable agents” online for espionage and sabotage, often using inexperienced individuals for relatively small payments. German authorities say this model makes operations harder to trace back to intelligence structures
Donaustahl supplies military technology to Ukraine, placing the case within wider concerns over Russian hybrid operations targeting European support for Kyiv
Sources: Die ZEIT, German Bundestag, Donaustahl
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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Media and JournalismRussiaWar in Ukraine“Foreign Agents”“Undesirable Organisation”Novaya Gazeta

Novaya Gazeta Forced to Close on 9 November

Russia’s Novaya Gazeta has announced its closure after mounting state pressure, further restricting independent journalism amid Russia’s war against Ukraine.
Updates
News: Russia’s independent newspaper Novaya Gazeta shuts down its Moscow operations after 33 years amid mounting pressure from Russian authorities, while its European exile edition continues publishing (Reuters)
Closure announced: The Moscow newsroom announced on 30 October that it will shut down its servers and leave its premises on 9 November
State pressure: Editors say authorities blocked its website, revoked its licence, targeted journalists and cut off reader donations, leaving the outlet unable to operate
Wartime censorship: Laws punishing reporting deemed to “discredit” Russia’s military have sharply restricted independent coverage of the war against Ukraine
Exile publication continues: The separate Latvia-based Novaya Gazeta Europe will continue operating, although Russia has designated it an “undesirable organisation”
Sources: Novaya Gazeta, Reuters, The Moscow Times
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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Worth Revisiting

Quick Briefs from previous weeks

BalticsForeign PolicyAnne ApplebaumEuropean UnionNATOPolandProfileRadosław SikorskiRussia HawkSecurityUkraine

Radosław Sikorski: Poland’s Pro-European Russia Hawk

Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski is one of Europe’s most outspoken critics of Russia, a staunch supporter of Ukraine and a prominent advocate of European unity.
Political heavyweight: A leading figure in Donald Tusk’s pro-European Civic Coalition, Sikorski opposes the nationalist PiS, despite having previously served in a PiS-led government
Russia hawk: At the UN Security Council, Sikorski warned Moscow against violating NATO airspace, reinforcing his reputation as a fierce critic of Russian aggression
European advocate: A strong supporter of Ukraine, NATO and European integration, Sikorski helped establish the EU’s Eastern Partnership in 2009
International influence: A former war correspondent and Oxford graduate, Sikorski is married to Pulitzer Prize-winning historian Anne Applebaum, a prominent critic of authoritarianism
Sources: Polish MFA | PAP
AI-assisted. Reviewed by the Briefing Team.
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African RelationsCaribbeanHuman RightsInternational RightUnited NationsBritainCrime against HumanityEuropean UnionGhanaGlobal SouthTransatlantic TraffickingUN resolution

Ghana’s Slavery Resolution And Global South Challenge Europe

Ghana’s UN success on slavery reparations has exposed European resistance, while Britain’s openness to an apology creates space for dialogue with African and Caribbean partners.
Updates
News: King Charles calls the slave trade a “shameful chapter” in Commonwealth address, while Prime Minister Burnham signals openness to a formal apology (BBC)
Ghana’s success: On 25 March, 123 states backed Ghana’s nonbinding UN resolution declaring the transatlantic trafficking and enslavement of Africans “the gravest crime against humanity”. It calls for apologies, restitution and compensation
European resistance: EU members and Britain abstained. The EU condemned slavery but opposed ranking atrocities and applying international law retrospectively, including to reparations claims
British opening: During Charles III’s Caribbean visit, Prime Minister Andy Burnham expressed openness to discussing a formal apology. He ruled out financial reparations; a royal apology has not been announced.
Scope and partnerships: Defining responsible institutions, eligible beneficiaries and remedies remains contested. Dialogue could build trust between Europe and African and Caribbean partners through restitution, education and debt cooperation, although closer political alignment is not guaranteed
Sources: UN, EEAS, Reuters
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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Inside EuropeMedia and JournalismAndrej BabišCzechiaEditorial IndependenceEuropean UnionState-Budget Financing

Prague Protests Public Broadcasting Overhaul

Thousands protested in Prague on 25 October against plans to replace broadcasting licence fees with state funding, amid concerns over editorial independence
Updates
News: Czech public broadcasters stage historic strike after government votes to abolish licence fees (EUObserver)
News: Czech government advances plans to abolish public broadcasting licence fees, triggering protests over media independence (EUObserver)
Prime Minister Andrej Babiš’s coalition advanced the bill in an overnight vote on 24 October. Further parliamentary approval is required
The proposal would move Czech Television and Czech Radio to state-budget financing and cut their combined funding by roughly 15%
Critics warn of political pressure and reduced services. The government says the changes would lower household costs without undermining independence
European media organisations demand stronger safeguards, citing EU requirements for adequate, predictable funding that protects editorial independence
Sources: Reuters, European Broadcasting Union, European Commission
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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National PoliticsAleksandr VučićSerbia

Serbia’s student-led movement wins parliamentary elections Following Nationwide Protests

Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić announced his resignation and early elections after months of anti-government protests that have become the biggest challenge to his 12 years in power.
Updates
Analysis: Serbia’s student-led political movement faces the challenge of forming a stable anti-corruption government (EUObserver)
Update (29.10.2026): News: Head of Serbia’s public broadcaster RTS resigns following student-backed election victory (Reuters)
Update (28.10.2026): Analysis: Vučić’s departure after 14 years offers the EU a second chance to rebuild relations with Serbia (CEPS)
Update (28.10.2026): Interview: International Crisis Group analyst Marko Prelec says Serbia’s election winners seek closer EU relations (Euronews)
Update (28.10.2026): Profile: Reuters introduces Serbia’s potential new leaders, including a banker, former basketball star, cardiologist and chemist, following the student-backed election victory (Reuters)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Serbia’s student-backed election victory opens path to media reforms as press freedom groups demand independent oversight (N1 Serbia)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Serbian broadcaster apologises for biased reporting following student-backed election victory (National Herald)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Serbia’s student-backed election victory raises hopes for the country’s European future (Rapporteur)
Update (26.10.2026): News: OSCE Reports Unequal Campaign Conditions and Voter Intimidation in Serbia’s Parliamentary Elections (OSCE/ODIHR).
Update (26.10.2026): News: Serbia’s student-backed electoral list secures a decisive victory (Radar)
Update (26.10.2026): Interview: University of Belgrade political scientist Bojan Vranić calls Vučić’s electoral defeat a historic moment for Serbian democracy (Euronews)
Update (26.10.2026): News: Serbia awaits student-backed leaders’ governing plans following Vučić’s electoral defeat (Reuters)
Update (25.10.2026): News: Serbia’s student-led movement wins parliamentary elections, marking a major political shift (Rapporteur)
Update (25.10.2026): News: Serbia’s President Aleksandar Vučić concedes defeat following tense parliamentary elections (POLITICO)
Update (24.10.2026): News: OSCE/ODIHR monitors Serbia’s elections (OSCE/ODIHR)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Serbia’s student protests challenge President Vučić’s grip on power ahead of elections (POLITICO)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Hundreds of thousands gather for student-led rally in Serbia (Rapporteur)
Update (22.10.2026): Analysis: Serbian election observers warn of voter influence through Vučić’s “helicopter money” payments (CRTA)
Update (22.10.2026): Analysis: Can Serbia’s student-led movement challenge Vučić’s political system in the elections? (EUobserver)
Update (20.10.2026): Analysis: Five post-election scenarios for Serbia’s political future under Vučić (ECFR⁠)
Update (20.10.2026): News: Council of Europe sends election observers to Serbia ahead of parliamentary vote (Council of Europe⁠)
Update (20.10.2026): News: Serbia accuses EU election observers of political bias (Rapporteur)
Update (16.10.2026): News: International observers warn of electoral irregularities ahead of Serbia’s parliamentary elections (Associated Press⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: OSCE deploys international observers for Serbia’s parliamentary elections on 25 October (OSCE Parliamentary Assembly⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): Video: Serbian volunteers prepare to closely monitor elections (DW⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): News: European Parliament sends seven observers to monitor Serbia’s elections (Srpske⁠)
Update (28.09.2026): News: Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić announces resignation and plans to become prime minister (Le Monde⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): News: Vučić calls snap election after dissolving Serbian parliament (POLITICO⁠)
Quick Brief:
Aleksandr Vučić announced that he will resign in the coming weeks following 18-months of anti-government protests
He announced his intention to campaign for the ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) in the upcoming parliamentary elections
His electoral list is going to be called "United Serbia" reminiscent of Putin's "United Russia"
Vučić's second term as president would end at the end of May next year.
Source: EURACTIV
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European GovernanceInside EuropeChristine LagardeEuropean Central Bank

President of the European Central Bank to Step Down

Christine Lagarde steps down as ECB's president to be able to express her opinion freely on important things happening in the world.
Updates
News: EU member states face Friday deadline to submit nominations for the next European Central Bank president (Rapporteur)
Quick Brief:
The president of the ECB, Christine Lagarde, to step down on 7 February 2027
She has informed the EU Governing Council as well as EU Council President of her decision on 29 October
Lagarde wants to leave office to gain the ability to freely express her opinion on world matters
Her successor will be appointed according to Article 283 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union
Source։ European Central Bank, Reuters
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International RightNational PoliticsSecurity & DefenceUkraineWar in Ukraine24 February 2022DiplomacyHard WinterRussiaUSA

Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine: Putin targets Ukraine’s economy and infrastructure, the EU Searches for New Money, and the USA Seems to Be on the Aggressor’s side

More than four years after Russia launched its full-scale invasion, Ukraine continues to resist as the war has evolved from Moscow’s failed attempt at a rapid victory into a prolonged conflict with no political settlement in sight.
Updates
Official Announcement: European Commission takes a key step towards securing EU financial support for Ukraine in 2027 (European Commission)
News: Ukrainian arms manufacturer Fire Point says its weapons systems can complete missions autonomously (Reuters)
Update (30.10.2026): News: US approves proposed $2.1 billion sale of 500 Patriot interceptors to Ukraine, financed by European and Canadian partners, amid concerns over delayed deliveries (Reuters)
Update (29.10.2026): Analysis: Russian daytime drone strikes across Ukraine kill at least 19 people and injure 82 (ISW)
Update (29.10.2026): Analysis: ISW warns Russia may exploit the Oleshky humanitarian ceasefire to forcibly transfer Ukrainian evacuees into Russian-controlled territory or Russia (ISW)
Update (28.10.2026): News: Netherlands pledges to provide Ukraine with all available air defence supplies (Rapporteur)
Update (28.10.2026): Analysis: Russia and Ukraine maintain limited Kherson ceasefire, but concerns remain over civilians’ freedom to evacuate to Ukrainian-controlled territory (ISW)
Update (28.10.2026): Report: Ukraine’s trains continue operating despite persistent threats from Russian drone attacks (Reuters)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Denmark expresses strong scepticism over proposals for renewed dialogue with Russian President Vladimir Putin (Rapporteur)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Finnish President Alexander Stubb and Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre discuss dialogue with Russian President Vladimir Putin (POLITICO)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Russia and Ukraine begin localised ceasefire in Oleshky to enable humanitarian aid deliveries and civilian evacuations (Reuters)
Update (26.10.2026): Analysis: Russia leverages relationships across the Global South to counter Western influence amid its war against Ukraine (EUObserver)
Update (24.10.2026): News: Ukraine says Starlink and Starshield now operate at speeds up to 400 km/h after a week of restrictions (Reuters)
Update (23.10.2026): Analysis: ISW says Putin’s historical claims signal territorial ambitions in Ukraine beyond Donetsk Oblast (Institute for the Study of War)
Update (23.10.2026): Analysis: Ukrainian officials report continued Starlink and Starshield speed restrictions affecting military operations (ISW)
Update (23.10.2026): Analysis: ISW challenges the narrative of inevitable Russian victory in Ukraine (Institute for the Study of War)
Update (23.10.2026): News: EU plans to cover two-thirds of new €70 billion funding package for Ukraine (Rapporteur)
Update (22.10.2026): News: Brussels considers new funding agreement to support Ukraine (Rapporteur)
Update (22.10.2026): Analysis: ISW says Kremlin seeks US economic concessions to sustain Ukraine war (Institute for the Study of War)
Update (22.10.2026): News: Russian missiles strike Kyiv as Ukrainian drones target Russia (Reuters)
Update (22.10.2026): News: EU seeks UK, Canadian and Japanese support to close Ukraine’s €70 billion funding gap for 2027 (EUobserver)
Update (21.10.2026): News: Heavy Russian casualties emerge from fighting near Dobropillia in Ukraine (EUobserver)
Update (21.10.2026): News: Bulgaria refuses to help close Ukraine’s funding gap (Rapporteur)
Update (20.10.2026): News: Zelenskyy says US resumed intelligence sharing after talks with Rubio in Oslo (Newscord⁠)
Update (20.10.2026): News: Kallas accuses US of pushing Ukraine towards surrender (Rapporteur)
Update (20.10.2026): Analysis: Starlink speed restrictions continue and limit Ukraine’s ability to intercept Russian strike drones (ISW)
Update (20.10.2026): Analysis: Ukraine needs another €70 billion as EU faces funding challenge (Euronews⁠)
Update (20.10.2026): News: Ukrainian President Zelenskyy to visit Norway (Norwegian Government⁠)
Update (19.10.2026): Analysis: Ukrainian officials report continued disruptions to US assistance (ISW⁠)
Update (19.10.2026): News: Zelensky speaks to US envoys as Trump accuses him of not wanting to end the war (Le Monde⁠)
Update (19.10.2026): News: Putin seeks Ukraine summit with Trump and Xi but refuses talks with Zelenskyy (Euronews⁠)
Update (19.10.2026): Analysis: How dependent is Ukraine on US-controlled Starlink? (DW⁠)
Update (18.10.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s ability to intercept Russian drones using Starlink and Starshield remains unclear (ISW⁠)
Update (18.10.2026): News: Rubio says Trump may take 60 days to decide on Russia sanctions (Reuters⁠)
Update (18.10.2026): Analysis: Putin targets Ukraine’s economy through intensified airstrikes (DIE ZEIT⁠)
Update (17.10.2026): News: Zelenskyy urges neighbours to allow Ukrainian grain transit (Reuters⁠)
Update (17.10.2026): Analysis: Trump-Zelenskyy rift threatens vital US support for Ukraine (Reuters⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): Commentary: ECFR argues Europe should increase support for Ukraine in response to Putin’s escalating attacks (ECFR)
Update (16.10.2026): News: Zelenskyy warns US-Russia diesel deal could weaken sanctions (EUobserver⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): News: Zelenskyy rallies European allies as relations with Trump deteriorate (Le Monde⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): Analysis: ISW reports continued Russian deportations of Crimean Tatars and alleged forced transfers of Ukrainian civilians and children (ISW⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): News: White House reportedly ordered Starshield restrictions in Ukraine (Reuters⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: Zelenskyy urges EU unity, more funding and Russia sanctions (EUobserver⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): Analysis: Ukraine reportedly regains unrestricted SpaceX Starshield access (ISW⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: Zelenskyy says Ukraine will resume strikes on Russian oil refineries (Reuters⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): Analysis: Ukrainian strikes expose Russian digital infrastructure vulnerabilities (POLITICO⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): Interview: Zelenskyy says Ukraine is losing the US as a strong partner (Reuters⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: Black Sea becomes new front in Russia-Ukraine grain export war (EUobserver⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): Analysis: SpaceX’s Starshield restrictions threaten Ukrainian drone operations (ISW⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: UK to accelerate missile deliveries to Ukraine (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: Andy Burnham backs Ukraine during Zelenskyy’s UK visit (POLITICO⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: Russian strikes hit 30 Ukrainian energy facilities despite reported ceasefire agreement (Reuters⁠)
Update (13.10.2026): News: Ukraine reports record Russian casualties as Moscow seeks recruits (EUobserver⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): News: US hopes diesel deal will ease Moscow peace talks (Reuters⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): Analysis: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment (ISW⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): News: EU adopts nearly 1,600 new sanctions listings targeting Russia (Reuters⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): News: European leaders criticise Trump’s plan to buy Russian diesel, warning it undermines support for Ukraine (POLITICO⁠)
Update (11.10.2026): News: European leaders rally behind Zelenskyy after Trump calls for a new Ukrainian leader (POLITICO⁠)
Update (10.10.2026): Analysis: Putin falsely blames Ukraine for stalled peace talks despite Russia’s refusal to make concessions (ISW⁠)
Update (09.10.2026): Analysis: Trump and Putin agree to waive sanctions on Russian diesel, potentially funding Russia’s war in Ukraine (ISW⁠)
Update (09.10.2026): Analysis: Civilians in Russian-occupied Oleshky reportedly forced to eat dogs to survive amid severe humanitarian crisis (EUobserver⁠)
Update (08.10.2026): Analysis: Europe’s far-right surge threatens NATO defence spending commitments and continued military aid to Ukraine (POLITICO⁠)
Update (07.10.2026): Analysis: Russian mass drone and missile strikes across Ukraine kill or injure at least 135 civilians, including four children (ISW)
Update (06.10.2026): Analysis: Ukraine deploys AI-controlled machine-gun turrets against Russian jet-powered drones over Kyiv (EUobserver⁠)
Update (05.10.2026): Analysis: Russian drone strike injures Moldovan citizen for the first time at Ukraine-Moldova border crossing (ISW⁠)
Update (04.10.2026): News: Kyiv bridge hit during German Chancellor’s snap visit (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (04.10.2026): Interview: EU envoy in Kyiv urges stronger air defences and hybrid war response, saying Putin ‘understands only strength’ (EUobserver⁠)
Update (03.10.2026): Analysis: Russia strikes Kyiv bridge to disrupt transport, economy and civilian life (ISW⁠)
Update (02.10.2026): Analysis: Ukraine deploys domestically produced FP-7 ballistic missile for first time (EUobserver⁠)
Update (02.10.2026): Analysis: Putin portrays European responses to Russian threats as aggression (ISW⁠)
Update (02.10.2026): Analysis: Russia governs occupied Oleshky through humanitarian decline (ISW⁠)
Update (30.09.2026): Analysis: Russia begins winter campaign targeting Ukraine’s energy security (ISW⁠)
Update (30.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s war chest is running low at a critical moment (POLITICO⁠)
Update (30.09.2026): News: Russian air strikes kill three and injure seven in and around Kyiv (Reuters, MarketScreener⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): Analysis: Russian drone strikes Kyiv research institute and explodes near EU embassy (EUobserver⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): News: Zelenskyy says North Korea prepares to deploy another 10,000 troops to Russia (Reuters⁠)
Update (28.09.2026): News: Ukraine regains territory and captures POWs in frontline push (POLITICO⁠)
Update (28.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi uses deception to liberate five settlements north of Lyman (ISW⁠)
Update (28.09.2026): News: Kremlin says Ukraine is ‘paying the price’ for attacks on Russia (Reuters⁠)
Update (26.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s new counteroffensive tactics could help break positional warfare and restore tactical manoeuvre (ISW⁠) 
Update (25.09.2026): Analysis: Russia intensifies strikes on Ukraine’s data centres and telecommunications infrastructure (ISW⁠)
Update (24.09.2026): News: Russian missile attack on Kyiv kills civilians and damages residential areas (Reuters⁠)
Update (23.09.2026): Analysis: Russian tank survives 40 drone strikes, suggesting mechanised warfare could make comeback (EUobserver⁠)
Update (23.09.2026): Analysis: Kremlin rejects proposed energy ceasefire and reiterates maximalist war demands (ISW⁠) 
Update (23.09.2026): Analysis: Kremlin uses sham elections to manufacture legitimacy in occupied Ukraine (ISW⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): News: Ukraine races to counter new jet-powered Russian drones (BBC⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): Analysis: Russian Ministry of Defence falsely claims encirclement of Dobropillya as part of cognitive warfare campaign (ISW⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): Analysis: Western tech helps funnel foreign recruits into Russia’s war (POLITICO⁠)
Update (21.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s largest Moscow air raid overwhelms defences and hits key oil refinery (EUobserver⁠)
Update (20.09.2026): Analysis: Russia secretly plans to expand kamikaze drone production (POLITICO⁠) massively
Update (20.09.2026): News: Ukrainian drones hit Moscow oil refinery, killing two (Reuters⁠)
Update (19.09.2026): Analysis: Russian Ministry of Defence exaggerates battlefield gains ahead of UN General Assembly (ISW⁠)
Update (18.09.2026): Analysis: Tusk reveals classified estimates of Ukrainian battlefield casualties (EUobserver⁠)
Update (18.09.2026): Analysis: Kremlin denies post-election mobilisation amid fears of public backlash (ISW⁠)
Update (18.09.2026): Podcast: Ukraine faces mounting pressure ahead of wartime winter (ECFR⁠) 
Update (17.09.2026): Analysis: Russia pushes to capture Dobropillia before autumn conditions worsen (EUobserver⁠)
Update (17.09.2026): Analysis: Russia continues deporting Ukrainian female political prisoners to distant penal colonies (ISW⁠)
Update (17.09.2026): News: Russia targets passenger trains to undermine Ukraine’s economy and morale (POLITICO⁠)
Update (16.09.2026): Analysis: Ukrainian forces reportedly advance beyond Zherebets River (EUobserver⁠)
Update (16.09.2026): Analysis: Putin frames Duma elections as referendum on Ukraine war (ISW⁠)
Update (15.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine hits record number of Russian refineries as Trump pushes energy ceasefire (EUobserver⁠)
Update (15.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi disrupts Russia’s Fortress Belt encirclement (ISW⁠) 
Update (14.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine races to counter Russia’s jet-powered drones (POLITICO⁠)
Update (14.09.2026): Analysis: Zelensky reiterates readiness for mutual energy strikes moratorium (ISW⁠)
Update (13.09.2026): Analysis: Russian strikes near Polish border signal growing escalation (ISW⁠) 
Update (12.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine disrupts Russia’s Donbas offensive plans (ISW⁠)
Update (13.09.2026): Analysis: Anthropic AI joins Ukraine war after Russian exploitation (EUobserver⁠)
Update (11.09.2026): Analysis: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment (ISW⁠)
Update (10.09.2026): Analysis: Russia spent over €110bn on the war so far in 2026 (EUobserver⁠)
Update (10.09.2026): Analysis: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment (ISW⁠)
Update (10.09.2026): Analysis: Russian Occupation Update (ISW⁠)
Update (10.09.2026): Analysis: Zelenskyy gambles on pressure to force Putin into peace talks (POLITICO⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): Analysis: Russia’s claimed Kharkiv encirclement lacks evidence (EUobserver⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): News: Zelenskyy’s plane nearly hit by drone en route to Oslo (Euronews⁠)
Quick Brief:
Russia launched its full-scale invasion on 24 February 2022, expecting rapid military gains, but its attempt to seize Kyiv failed as Ukrainian forces resisted
The failed initial offensive developed into a long war of attrition, with Russia occupying Ukrainian territory while Ukraine continues to defend itself and strike Russian military and economic targets
Winter has repeatedly intensified pressure on civilians: Russia has systematically targeted Ukraine’s electricity and heating infrastructure, causing widespread outages and disruption
Diplomacy has not ended the war: renewed US-led efforts have so far failed to bridge fundamental differences between Moscow and Kyiv, while Russian military operations continue
Sources: UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine⁠, Reuters⁠, Associated Press⁠
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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African RelationsEurope in the worldForeign PolicyGeopoliticsHuman RightsInternational RightMigrationSecurity & DefenceAl-BurhanChadDagaloEgyptEuropean UnionGoldIranLibyaRed SeaRefugeesRussiaSAFUAEUnited Nations

Sudan’s War and Europe’s UAE Ties

Sudan’s civil war is sustained by foreign support, gold revenues and competition for Red Sea influence, while Europe faces scrutiny over its UAE ties.
Update (02.11.2026): News: Sudan accuses Ethiopia of enabling RSF drone attacks from its territory and files complaints with the United Nations (Al Jazeera)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Sudanese army drone strike on Nyala market kills at least 36 people and injures over 150, MSF reports (MSF)
Update (23.10.2026): Commentary: Süddeutsche Zeitung criticises international inaction as Sudan’s civil war continues to claim civilian lives (SZ)
Update (23.10.2026): News: BBC reports allegations that Sudan’s RSF fighters deliberately targeted hospitals (BBC News)
Update (21.10.2026): News: UN-led Sudan peace talks in Geneva end without breakthrough (United Nations)
Update (10.2026): Policy Brief: Women’s Refugee Commission examines the humanitarian crisis in Sudan and its impact on women and girls (Women’s Refugee Commission)
Update (09.2026): Feature: Sudanese women support one another and their communities amid the ongoing civil war (UN Women)
Quick Brief:
War and displacement: Since April 2023, al-Burhan’s Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have fought Dagalo’s paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF). At least 59,000 deaths have been recorded, likely an undercount. Over 14 million people have fled their homes, including more than four million abroad
Foreign backing: Egypt, Turkey and Iran support the SAF. The UAE allegedly backs the RSF, though it denies it. UN investigators identified RSF supply networks involving actors in Chad, Libya and Somalia
Gold and ports: Gold finances the war. Russia has cultivated ties across the conflict through gold and military interests while pursuing a Red Sea naval base at Port Sudan
EU pressure: The EU provides aid and bans imports of Sudanese gold. Human Rights Watch criticises Brussels for insufficiently confronting the UAE and underusing its trade leverage over alleged RSF support
Sources: AP⁠, Reuters⁠, UK Government⁠, ISPI⁠, EU Council⁠, Human Rights Watch⁠
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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Europe in the worldGeopoliticsLatin AmericaBrazilBRICSEuropean UnionFlávio BolsonaroJair BolsonaroLuiz Inácio Lula da SilvaPresidential electionsStrategic AutonomyUSA

Brazil Presidential Election: Lula Wins Second Round, Bolsonaro Junior Refuses Result

Brazil voted on 25 October in the second round of a presidential election between competing political and foreign-policy visions, with implications for the country’s relations with Europe, the United States, China and BRICS.
Update (29.10.2026): Analysis: Reuters examines how Brazil’s election could reshape global trade in soybeans, rare earths and fuels (Reuters)
Update (28.10.2026): News: Flávio Bolsonaro declares himself Brazil’s rightful president, alleges election fraud without evidence, then softens his claim (EFE, AFP)
Update (28.10.2026): Timeline: Reuters traces Flávio Bolsonaro’s controversial journey to the United States following Brazil’s presidential election (Reuters)
Update (28.10.2026): News: Flávio Bolsonaro reportedly travels to the US following Lula’s re-election amid legal scrutiny and passport restrictions in Brazil (AP News)
Update (27.10.2026): Analysis: Lula’s re-election preserves a key EU partner on climate policy, trade and democratic cooperation (EUObserver)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Flávio Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party recognises Lula’s election victory despite its candidate’s refusal to concede (Reuters)
Update (26.10.2026): Analysis: Lula Faces Difficult Fourth Term with Right-Wing Dominated Congress (Reuters).
Update (26.10.2026): News: Investors anticipate market reversals following Lula’s re-election in Brazil (Reuters)
Update (26.10.2026): News: Flávio Bolsonaro refuses to recognise Lula’s re-election victory in Brazil (Reuters)
Update (26.10.2026): News: Lula wins re-election in historic Brazilian presidential run-off, setting stage for political confrontation (POLITICO)
Update (24.10.2026): Investigation: Meta faces allegations of favouring Flávio Bolsonaro through algorithmic recommendations while restricting Lula’s accounts during Brazil’s presidential election campaign (Folha de S.Paulo, 16.10.2026, Folha de S.Paulo, 24.10.2026)
Update (24.10.2026): News: Bolsonaro and Lula clash over living costs and corruption in final Brazilian presidential election debate (Reuters)
Update (24.10.2026): Analysis: How Brazil’s changing working class is reshaping the presidential race (BBC News)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Datafolha poll shows Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula nearly tied ahead of Brazil’s presidential runoff (Reuters)
Update (22.10.2026): News: Bolsonaro unlikely to derail EU-Mercosur trade deal, but Brussels could (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (19.10.2026): News: Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro clash in heated presidential debate (Euronews⁠)
Update (05.10.2026): Analysis: Bolsonaro Jr.’s advance against Lula raises EU concerns over Brazil-Mercosur alliance (EUobserver⁠)
Update (04.10.2026): News: Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula as Brazil heads to a runoff (POLITICO⁠)
Update (03.10.2026): Analysis: Brazil’s cliffhanger election could cost EU a key Latin American ally (EUobserver⁠)
Quick Brief:
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva faces Flávio Bolsonaro, son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, as the two leading candidates in a field of 12. A runoff will follow on 25 October if no candidate wins a majority
Lula has pursued strategic autonomy, maintaining relations with Europe and China while strengthening Brazil’s role in BRICS and the Global South
Bolsonaro represents a different direction, with his campaign associated with closer political alignment with Donald Trump’s United States and the wider conservative movement
For Europe, the election could shape relations with Latin America’s largest economy, including cooperation on trade, climate and the EU-Mercosur partnership, as Brazil navigates competition between Washington and Beijing
Sources: Brazilian Electoral Court (TSE)⁠, Reuters⁠, POLITICO Europe⁠
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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Europe in the worldInside EuropeCouncil of EuropeStrasbourgWorld Forum for Democracy

World Forum for Democracy Kick-starts in Strasbourg

The Council of Europe is hosting its annual World Forum for Democracy in Strasbourg, Palais de l՛Europe.
The World Forum for Democracy will take place from 2nd to 3rd of November in Strasbourg, France
It is an international platform to discuss challenges of democracies worldwide and debate solutions
It is hosted by the Council of Europe and take place every year at the Palais de l'Europe
The 2026 Forum will culminate the consultative phase of the New Democratic Pact for Europe 
Source: World Forum for Democracy
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African RelationsHealth PolicyDemocratic Republic of CongoEbolaEpidemicUgandaWHO

Ebola Epidemic: DRC’s deadliest ever, Conflicts make situation worse

The World Health Organisation declared the Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Uganda a global public health emergency.
Update (30.10.2026): New numbers, new infections (CDC)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Woman diagnosed with Ebola in Nigeria identified as wife of Swiss diplomat (BBC News)
Update (20.10.2026): News: Nigeria confirms first Ebola case amid regional outbreak (WHO)
Update (15.10.2026): Reportage: Bunia fights to protect families from DR Congo’s deadliest Ebola outbreak (RFI⁠)
Update (01.10.2026): News: Thousands flee Ebola-hit Congo camp, raising fears of wider disease spread (Reuters⁠)
Update (24.09.2026): News: WHO says Congo’s Ebola outbreak remains out of control amid health worker shortage (PBS NewsHour⁠)
Update (20.09.2026): News: Congo prioritizes Ebola health care workers for Ervebo vaccine effective against different virus strain (AP⁠)
Update (26.08.2023): Conflict drives DRC cholera outbreak (RFI)
Update (20.08.2026): Ebola vaccines allocated to Congo (WHO)
Update (13.08.2026): WHO chief warns of deadliest Ebola outbreak (BBC News)
Update (10.08.2026): Interview with expert: How missing international aid increasingly exacerbates the crisis (ZDFheute)
Update (05.08.2026): Expert speaks about potential future Ebola vaccine (FAZ)
Update (July 24, 2026): First person gets new experimental vaccine for Ebola (BBC)
Update (July 13, 2026): Ebola vaccine made in UK now ready for trials (BBC)
Update (July 09, 2026): Ebola rumours fuel attacks on health workers (BBC)
Update (July 03, 2026): Ebola treatments trial begins in DR Congo (BBC)
Update (June 15, 2026): Recovery of Ebola patients offers rare moments of joy (BBC)
Update (June 02, 2026): Protests against US Ebola quarantine centre plan in Kenya, two deaths (BBC)
Update (June 01, 2026): Three Ebola vaccines in development (BBC)
Update (May 31, 2026): How Ebola spreads and why it is so dangerous (BBC)
Update (May 31, 2026): Medical charity Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) has warned about Ebola in DRC: "Deeply alarming" situation (BBC)
Update (May 25, 2026): Many African countries want to cooperate to prevent the virus from further spreading (BBC); the EU and UNICEF mobilise over 100 metric tonnes of emergency supplies to DRC (UNICEF)
Update (May 24, 2026): African Centres for Disease Control warns of 10 other countries being at risk (BBC)
Update (May 22, 2026): Drastic missing information and education about the danger of Ebola within the population. Regional conflicts affect the situation. The population has high levels of mistrust of the government, corruption, and institutions like hospitals (BBC). WHO warned of very high national and regional spread, a potential epidemic and healthcare risks, but low global influence (BBC)
May 21, 2026:
WHO and the African Union declared a public health emergency over the Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak, which started in Eastern Congo (Ituri)
Bundibugyo Ebola is a rare Ebola strain with no approved specific vaccine or treatment yet; a vaccine could take 9 months
WHO reported approximately 600 suspected cases and 139 suspected deaths, but the situation is highly fluid
Sources: WHO, BBC
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Inside Europe“Gen Z regelt”Alexander DobrindtFrankfurtGermanyPeaceful ProtestsViolenceYouth Protests

Frankfurt Violence Overshadows Youth Protests in Germany

Violence following largely peaceful youth protests in Frankfurt has prompted calls for tough penalties, amid wider European demonstrations over education and living costs.
Youth demands: Tens of thousands joined demonstrations across Germany on 31 October, organised by “Gen Z regelt”, demanding better education and affordable living
Frankfurt unrest: Authorities reported more than 100 injured police officers, 54 arrests and five looted shops. Organisers distanced themselves from the violence
Political response: Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt demanded severe penalties and blamed left-wing extremists and people from immigrant communities, without presenting evidence for that attribution
European context: The demonstrations follow youth protests elsewhere in Europe, including France. Most German participants protested peacefully; the identities and motives of those responsible for violence remain under investigation
Sources: Reuters, Tagesschau, Hessenschau
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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Environmental PolicyNational PoliticsAlbaniaEdi RamaEU membershipFlamingo-RevolutionJared KushnerProtests

Albania Suspends Kushner Resort Amid EU Pressure, “Flamingo Revolution” Stays Firm and Rama Struggles

Albania has reportedly suspended the controversial Kushner-backed luxury resort project on Sazan Island while environmental and anti-corruption investigations proceed.
Update (31.10.2026): News: Fresh anti-government protests erupt in Albania’s capital Tirana amid continuing political unrest (France 24)
Update (28.10.2026): News: Albania’s Rama unveils tax relief and tougher protest penalties amid student unrest (Euronews Albania, Albanian Government)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama renews dialogue offer with student protesters as demonstrators continue demanding his resignation (BalkanWeb)
Update (25.10.2026): News: Albania’s Prime Minister Edi Rama proposes tougher penalties for violent protesters, parental liability for minors and restrictions on public gatherings (AFP, Euronews Albania)
Update (24.10.2026): News: Albanian police fire tear gas as anti-government student protests turn violent in Tirana (Reuters)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Tens of thousands rally in Serbia ahead of elections (DW)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Albanian opposition and ruling-party lawmakers scuffle in parliament over student protests (Euronews)
Update (18.10.2026): News: Albanian PM warns mass protests threaten EU membership, not government (Reuters⁠)
Update (17.10.2026): News: Albanian anti-government protesters clash with police in Tirana (Reuters⁠)
Update (17.10.2026): News: Young Albanian lawmaker demands change amid nationwide protests (Reuters⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: Albanian PM condemns chaos amid violent protests (RFI⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: Albanian PM Rama refuses to resign amid protests (Reuters⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: Violent anti-government protests erupt in Albania’s capital (Le Monde⁠)
Update (02.10.2026): News: Albania’s PM to US Democrats: Don’t use us to get revenge on Trump (POLITICO⁠)
Update (07.09.2026): Commentary: Flamingo protests test Albania’s European future (BirdLife International⁠)
Update (01.09.2026): News: Albania’s anti-government protests turn confrontational (Albanian Daily News⁠)
Update (July 24, 2026): Albanian police clash with protesters over resort construction, protests continue (BNN)Update (July 13, 2026): Jared Kushner-Backed Resort Project Hits New Speed Bump As Forged-Deed Claims Emerge (Zerohedge)
Update (July 05, 2026): Protesters calling for the resignation of Prime Minister Edi Rama (AP)
Update (July 01, 2026): Greens/EFA mission to Albania 29.06.-01.07.2026 (Greens)
Update (June 28, 2026): “Flamingo Revolution” spreads further, threatening government of PM Edi Rama (DW)Update (June 15, 2026): Protests escalate further about the Kushner resort (The Independent)
June 09, 2026:
Project suspended pending an environmental impact assessment
EU pressure increased, warning Albania to comply with environmental rules tied to EU membership
An anti-corruption investigation is underway into the project's land ownership and legal status
Mass protests continue, with demonstrators demanding that the project be cancelled entirely
Prime Minister Edi Rama insists environmental protections will be respected and that the investment will benefit Albania's economy
IntelliNews, Euronews
Interested in the topic? Check for more here: Politico
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From Digital Readiness to Economic Results in Hungary

Policy Paper

This analysis discovers Hungary’s digital ecosystem, revealing its strengths and weaknesses. By connecting quantitative data about the country’s digital economy sectors with the broader geopolitical context, the analysis describes how a well-strategized improvement in Hungary’s digital economy could lead to geopolitical leverage, not only in the Danube region but also in the European Union. By connecting Western capital with the Eastern growth market, the state could overcome the main challenge most countries face in the case of the digital economy and evolve from an agenda-taker to an agenda-setter actor, with increased leverage within the European Union.

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Venezuela: The country at the intersection of the Monroe Doctrine and energy dominance

Policy Paper

The United States’ action in Venezuela in early January sparked lively debate around the world, focusing primarily on the country’s oil reserves and their future. Our analysis also fits into this narrative, examining the events in Venezuela and the possible chain reactions of US intervention in light of Washington’s pursuit of energy dominance. We hypothesize that, for Washington, Venezuela’s oil reserves could bring more than just influence over the global price of crude oil. At the regional level, the US could increase its influence over Cuba, while also appearing to defuse the territorial conflict between Venezuela and Guyana, which has become increasingly heated in recent years. At the global level, bringing Venezuela’s oil wealth under US control could be part of a strategy to strengthen the US position vis-à-vis both OPEC and China, the world’s largest oil importer. Moreover, developments could even have an impact on Russia. America’s push for energy dominance of this kind, as well as the occurrence and impact of its possible chain reactions, depends on several factors, starting with the resolution of security, economic, and oil sector issues in Venezuela, as well as the level of control America may be able to gain over other OPEC members, such as Iraq or Iran.

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No Autonomy Without Access: Europe’s Maritime Dependence and the Limits of Strategic Autonomy

Policy Paper

Strategic autonomy has become the EU’s shorthand for greater agency, but at sea autonomy depends first on access. Europe’s economy and security rely on sea-borne trade, maritime chokepoints, and seabed infrastructure that carries energy and data; these arteries can be disrupted cheaply and ambiguously below the threshold of open conflict. The paper asks to what extent EU maritime strategic autonomy relies on security provisions outside EU control and what institutional and operational steps can reduce this vulnerability. It develops a conceptual framework linking strategic autonomy to sea-power thinking and weaponized interdependence, treating chokepoints and seabed systems as leverage sites where disruption quickly generates economic risk and political urgency. The analysis finds that EU maritime governance tools and mission-based operations can mitigate crises but does not yet provide a durable, multi-theatre access guarantee. High-end enablers (ISR, logistics, command integration, surge) remain largely U.S.-enabled through NATO. The paper proposes recalibrating autonomy as layered access management: Sense (domain awareness and attribution), Shield (resilience, redundancy, rapid repair and legal clarity), and Surge (readiness and pre-agreed force packages), increasing Europe’s contribution while staying NATO-compatible. Key words: strategic autonomy; maritime security; seabed infrastructure, interdependence

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The (im)possible mission of holding Frontex accountable – An analysis of the different direct fundamental rights accountability mechanisms.

Bachelor's Thesis

Border protection and control is a human rights sensitive field and Frontex, the European Border and Coast Guard Agency, is working in it. Thus, there is a need to give a possibility to hold Frontex accountability if it breaches fundamental rights. After all, as stated by Article 47 of the Charter, “[everyone] whose rights and freedoms guaranteed by the law of the Union are violated has the right to an effective remedy before a tribunal”. Although the importance of accountability is undisputable, holding Frontex accountable is easier said than done. This is due to the Agency only coordinating and organising with Member States and supporting them. Besides the option to hold the Agency directly accountable before the Court of Justice, there is only one internal mechanism allowing victims to complain directly to the Agency, but all of these possibilities have one thing in common, namely that their effectiveness is disputed. This includes criticisms on the access to the mechanisms, them not considering the vulnerable position of the refugees and their impartiality, which makes it relevant to raise the question: How can the external and internal direct accountability mechanisms of the European Border and Coast Guard Agency be evaluated in light of the way they operate and the challenges they face in ensuring accountability for fundamental rights violations? In order to answer this question, the essay will first have a closer look at the external accountability through CJEU Actions and then discuss internal accountability through the Individual Complaint Mechanism. In their respective chapters, the accountability mechanisms will be described, analysed and tested against the research question. The analysis will make it possible to conclude on the question posed and to offer recommendations for the improvement of the mechanisms.

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Die Konstruktion von Öffentlichkeit in der digitalen EU-Bürgerbeteiligungsplattform

Term Paper

Wie verändert sich Öffentlichkeit, wenn politische Diskussionen auf staatlich geschaffene digitale Plattformen verlagert werden? Am Beispiel der EU-Bürgerbeteiligungsplattform analysiert diese Arbeit, ob hier tatsächlich neue Räume für öffentliche Aushandlung entstehen – oder ob die Vorgaben und Moderation eher eine gelenkte Form von Öffentlichkeit schaffen. Im Fokus stehen die Chancen, Grenzen und der konkrete Nutzen solcher Plattformen für die politische Teilhabe. Ziel ist es, neue Perspektiven für die Analyse und Gestaltung digitaler Öffentlichkeiten zu eröffnen. How does the concept of the public sphere change when political discussions are shifted to state-created digital platforms? Using the example of the EU citizen participation platform, this paper analyses whether truly new spaces for public deliberation are emerging, – or whether official guidelines and moderation are instead creating a steered form of publicness. The focus is on opportunities, limitations, and tangible benefits of such platforms for political participation. The aim is to open up new perspectives for analyzing and shaping digital public spheres

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Krieg in Europa: Russlands „Militärische Spezialoperation“

Bachelor's Thesis

The Russian attack on Ukraine on 24 February 2022 marks a serious turning point in the European security order and raises fundamental questions about the causes of international conflicts. This thesis examines the motives behind Russia’s so-called ‘special military operation’ on the basis of two central theories of international relations: neorealism and constructivism. With the help of a theory-led congruence analysis, the extent to which these theories can contribute to explaining Russia’s behaviour is analysed. (German Original) Der russische Angriff auf die Ukraine am 24. Februar 2022 markiert eine gravierende Zäsur in der europäischen Sicherheitsordnung und wirft fundamentale Fragen über die Ursachen internationaler Konflikte auf. Diese Arbeit untersucht die Beweggründe für die sogenannte „militärische Spezialoperation“ Russlands auf Grundlage zweier zentraler Theorien der Internationalen Beziehungen: dem Neorealismus und dem Konstruktivismus. Mithilfe einer theoriegeleiteten Kongruenzanalyse wird analysiert, inwiefern diese Theorien zur Erklärung des russischen Verhaltens beitragen können.

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The Colonized Connection and International Irishness

Master's Thesis

Throughout the summer of 2023, Ireland’s citizens and political leaders alike were largely in agreement on the issue of Israel and Palestine, and specifically, that Ireland needed to do more to assist in reaching a solution to the conflict. As a traditionally isolationist, neutral state on Europe’s periphery, Ireland has traditionally not concerned itself with the actions of other states so far away from its borders – fearful of appearing partial. Yet upon closer inspection, this recent round of debate (on this occasion sparked by Israel’s incursion into Jenin Refugee Camp in July) represents simply the latest development of Ireland’s historic sympathies and moral support with the people of Palestine. What makes this occasion unique, however, is that Ireland’s political leaders are in agreement that the Emerald Isle must do more. As other European neutrals abandon their neutrality for NATO membership, Ireland’s leaders may be correct. The current thesis aimed to explore how the Republic of Ireland’s national identity is undergoing a transformation through foreign policy discourses. It is believed that Ireland’s political leadership are utilising the Israel- Palestine conflict, one with which Ireland can identify with, to change its national identity away from a passive neutral state on Europe’s periphery to an international moral superpower – that can truly demonstrate the power of active neutrality. The current thesis adopts a historicist-social constructivist lens and utilises Ruth Wodak’s DHA variant of CDA to analyse the discourse of Ireland’s top politicians surrounding two case study events roughly two decades apart. These events were the 2002 ‘Battle for Jenin’ and the 2023 ‘Jenin Incursion.’ It was believed that by examining the discourse surrounding these two events, one may understand how Ireland’s political leadership is changing Ireland’s neutral foreign policy, and thus national identity, from passive to active – and from isolated to moral superpower. To examine the extent that Ireland may be positioning itself to be the EU’s moral superpower, a brief illustrative case study comparison with Austria is adopted. The adoption of this case study provided the author with the opportunity to discuss how Ireland’s political leadership is contributing to this transformation. Though Ireland may be some time away from fully realising this identity, a difference was observed in the discourse of both sets of Irish politicians, twenty years apart. Ireland now realises its ability to influence the world on such matters, and has confidence in its ability to lead on foreign policy issues.

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Viability & Implementation of European Strategic Autonomy in Defence

Policy Paper

Recent remarks and long-held positions by former and current US officials have underscored the urgency of European nations meeting their defense spending commitments within NATO . Such statements have reignited debates regarding Europe’s capacity to guarantee its security independently, against the backdrop of the two year anniversary and the decade long struggle for peace in the War in Ukraine, taking place in a political climate of election outcome uncertainty within the Alliance in 2024. European States have committed themselves to boost defense capabilities, increase defense budgets and further cooperation , which has in fact led to a „unprecedented rise“ of 11% in defense spending in 2023 alone. The internal sovereignty of the EU’s member states and their vastly different capabilities and policies on security however, together with the integration of NATO, of most EU Member states, have formed a vague and ambiguous system that guarantees strategic and territorial security within the mutual defense clauses of the NATO Framework, but doesn’t for see or stipulate a joint European force or alternative, despite the long term objectives found in the EUGS . Cooperation in a collective 5 defense strategy still remains contentious and efforts to ensure efficiency and interoperability remain limited. This policy paper examines the viability of establishing a joint EU coordinating force based on existing structures to integrate member states’ militaries more effectively. While advocating for this approach as the primary recommendation, alternative policy options will also be explored.

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