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Quick Briefs from last week

International RightNational PoliticsSecurity & DefenceUkraineWar in Ukraine24 February 2022DiplomacyHard WinterRussiaUSA

Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine: Putin targets Ukraine’s economy and infrastructure, the EU Searches for New Money, and the USA Seems to Be on the Aggressor’s side

More than four years after Russia launched its full-scale invasion, Ukraine continues to resist as the war has evolved from Moscow’s failed attempt at a rapid victory into a prolonged conflict with no political settlement in sight.
Updates
Official Announcement: European Commission takes a key step towards securing EU financial support for Ukraine in 2027 (European Commission)
News: Ukrainian arms manufacturer Fire Point says its weapons systems can complete missions autonomously (Reuters)
Update (30.10.2026): News: US approves proposed $2.1 billion sale of 500 Patriot interceptors to Ukraine, financed by European and Canadian partners, amid concerns over delayed deliveries (Reuters)
Update (29.10.2026): Analysis: Russian daytime drone strikes across Ukraine kill at least 19 people and injure 82 (ISW)
Update (29.10.2026): Analysis: ISW warns Russia may exploit the Oleshky humanitarian ceasefire to forcibly transfer Ukrainian evacuees into Russian-controlled territory or Russia (ISW)
Update (28.10.2026): News: Netherlands pledges to provide Ukraine with all available air defence supplies (Rapporteur)
Update (28.10.2026): Analysis: Russia and Ukraine maintain limited Kherson ceasefire, but concerns remain over civilians’ freedom to evacuate to Ukrainian-controlled territory (ISW)
Update (28.10.2026): Report: Ukraine’s trains continue operating despite persistent threats from Russian drone attacks (Reuters)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Denmark expresses strong scepticism over proposals for renewed dialogue with Russian President Vladimir Putin (Rapporteur)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Finnish President Alexander Stubb and Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre discuss dialogue with Russian President Vladimir Putin (POLITICO)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Russia and Ukraine begin localised ceasefire in Oleshky to enable humanitarian aid deliveries and civilian evacuations (Reuters)
Update (26.10.2026): Analysis: Russia leverages relationships across the Global South to counter Western influence amid its war against Ukraine (EUObserver)
Update (24.10.2026): News: Ukraine says Starlink and Starshield now operate at speeds up to 400 km/h after a week of restrictions (Reuters)
Update (23.10.2026): Analysis: ISW says Putin’s historical claims signal territorial ambitions in Ukraine beyond Donetsk Oblast (Institute for the Study of War)
Update (23.10.2026): Analysis: Ukrainian officials report continued Starlink and Starshield speed restrictions affecting military operations (ISW)
Update (23.10.2026): Analysis: ISW challenges the narrative of inevitable Russian victory in Ukraine (Institute for the Study of War)
Update (23.10.2026): News: EU plans to cover two-thirds of new €70 billion funding package for Ukraine (Rapporteur)
Update (22.10.2026): News: Brussels considers new funding agreement to support Ukraine (Rapporteur)
Update (22.10.2026): Analysis: ISW says Kremlin seeks US economic concessions to sustain Ukraine war (Institute for the Study of War)
Update (22.10.2026): News: Russian missiles strike Kyiv as Ukrainian drones target Russia (Reuters)
Update (22.10.2026): News: EU seeks UK, Canadian and Japanese support to close Ukraine’s €70 billion funding gap for 2027 (EUobserver)
Update (21.10.2026): News: Heavy Russian casualties emerge from fighting near Dobropillia in Ukraine (EUobserver)
Update (21.10.2026): News: Bulgaria refuses to help close Ukraine’s funding gap (Rapporteur)
Update (20.10.2026): News: Zelenskyy says US resumed intelligence sharing after talks with Rubio in Oslo (Newscord⁠)
Update (20.10.2026): News: Kallas accuses US of pushing Ukraine towards surrender (Rapporteur)
Update (20.10.2026): Analysis: Starlink speed restrictions continue and limit Ukraine’s ability to intercept Russian strike drones (ISW)
Update (20.10.2026): Analysis: Ukraine needs another €70 billion as EU faces funding challenge (Euronews⁠)
Update (20.10.2026): News: Ukrainian President Zelenskyy to visit Norway (Norwegian Government⁠)
Update (19.10.2026): Analysis: Ukrainian officials report continued disruptions to US assistance (ISW⁠)
Update (19.10.2026): News: Zelensky speaks to US envoys as Trump accuses him of not wanting to end the war (Le Monde⁠)
Update (19.10.2026): News: Putin seeks Ukraine summit with Trump and Xi but refuses talks with Zelenskyy (Euronews⁠)
Update (19.10.2026): Analysis: How dependent is Ukraine on US-controlled Starlink? (DW⁠)
Update (18.10.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s ability to intercept Russian drones using Starlink and Starshield remains unclear (ISW⁠)
Update (18.10.2026): News: Rubio says Trump may take 60 days to decide on Russia sanctions (Reuters⁠)
Update (18.10.2026): Analysis: Putin targets Ukraine’s economy through intensified airstrikes (DIE ZEIT⁠)
Update (17.10.2026): News: Zelenskyy urges neighbours to allow Ukrainian grain transit (Reuters⁠)
Update (17.10.2026): Analysis: Trump-Zelenskyy rift threatens vital US support for Ukraine (Reuters⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): Commentary: ECFR argues Europe should increase support for Ukraine in response to Putin’s escalating attacks (ECFR)
Update (16.10.2026): News: Zelenskyy warns US-Russia diesel deal could weaken sanctions (EUobserver⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): News: Zelenskyy rallies European allies as relations with Trump deteriorate (Le Monde⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): Analysis: ISW reports continued Russian deportations of Crimean Tatars and alleged forced transfers of Ukrainian civilians and children (ISW⁠)
Update (16.10.2026): News: White House reportedly ordered Starshield restrictions in Ukraine (Reuters⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: Zelenskyy urges EU unity, more funding and Russia sanctions (EUobserver⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): Analysis: Ukraine reportedly regains unrestricted SpaceX Starshield access (ISW⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: Zelenskyy says Ukraine will resume strikes on Russian oil refineries (Reuters⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): Analysis: Ukrainian strikes expose Russian digital infrastructure vulnerabilities (POLITICO⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): Interview: Zelenskyy says Ukraine is losing the US as a strong partner (Reuters⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: Black Sea becomes new front in Russia-Ukraine grain export war (EUobserver⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): Analysis: SpaceX’s Starshield restrictions threaten Ukrainian drone operations (ISW⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: UK to accelerate missile deliveries to Ukraine (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: Andy Burnham backs Ukraine during Zelenskyy’s UK visit (POLITICO⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: Russian strikes hit 30 Ukrainian energy facilities despite reported ceasefire agreement (Reuters⁠)
Update (13.10.2026): News: Ukraine reports record Russian casualties as Moscow seeks recruits (EUobserver⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): News: US hopes diesel deal will ease Moscow peace talks (Reuters⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): Analysis: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment (ISW⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): News: EU adopts nearly 1,600 new sanctions listings targeting Russia (Reuters⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): News: European leaders criticise Trump’s plan to buy Russian diesel, warning it undermines support for Ukraine (POLITICO⁠)
Update (11.10.2026): News: European leaders rally behind Zelenskyy after Trump calls for a new Ukrainian leader (POLITICO⁠)
Update (10.10.2026): Analysis: Putin falsely blames Ukraine for stalled peace talks despite Russia’s refusal to make concessions (ISW⁠)
Update (09.10.2026): Analysis: Trump and Putin agree to waive sanctions on Russian diesel, potentially funding Russia’s war in Ukraine (ISW⁠)
Update (09.10.2026): Analysis: Civilians in Russian-occupied Oleshky reportedly forced to eat dogs to survive amid severe humanitarian crisis (EUobserver⁠)
Update (08.10.2026): Analysis: Europe’s far-right surge threatens NATO defence spending commitments and continued military aid to Ukraine (POLITICO⁠)
Update (07.10.2026): Analysis: Russian mass drone and missile strikes across Ukraine kill or injure at least 135 civilians, including four children (ISW)
Update (06.10.2026): Analysis: Ukraine deploys AI-controlled machine-gun turrets against Russian jet-powered drones over Kyiv (EUobserver⁠)
Update (05.10.2026): Analysis: Russian drone strike injures Moldovan citizen for the first time at Ukraine-Moldova border crossing (ISW⁠)
Update (04.10.2026): News: Kyiv bridge hit during German Chancellor’s snap visit (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (04.10.2026): Interview: EU envoy in Kyiv urges stronger air defences and hybrid war response, saying Putin ‘understands only strength’ (EUobserver⁠)
Update (03.10.2026): Analysis: Russia strikes Kyiv bridge to disrupt transport, economy and civilian life (ISW⁠)
Update (02.10.2026): Analysis: Ukraine deploys domestically produced FP-7 ballistic missile for first time (EUobserver⁠)
Update (02.10.2026): Analysis: Putin portrays European responses to Russian threats as aggression (ISW⁠)
Update (02.10.2026): Analysis: Russia governs occupied Oleshky through humanitarian decline (ISW⁠)
Update (30.09.2026): Analysis: Russia begins winter campaign targeting Ukraine’s energy security (ISW⁠)
Update (30.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s war chest is running low at a critical moment (POLITICO⁠)
Update (30.09.2026): News: Russian air strikes kill three and injure seven in and around Kyiv (Reuters, MarketScreener⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): Analysis: Russian drone strikes Kyiv research institute and explodes near EU embassy (EUobserver⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): News: Zelenskyy says North Korea prepares to deploy another 10,000 troops to Russia (Reuters⁠)
Update (28.09.2026): News: Ukraine regains territory and captures POWs in frontline push (POLITICO⁠)
Update (28.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi uses deception to liberate five settlements north of Lyman (ISW⁠)
Update (28.09.2026): News: Kremlin says Ukraine is ‘paying the price’ for attacks on Russia (Reuters⁠)
Update (26.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s new counteroffensive tactics could help break positional warfare and restore tactical manoeuvre (ISW⁠) 
Update (25.09.2026): Analysis: Russia intensifies strikes on Ukraine’s data centres and telecommunications infrastructure (ISW⁠)
Update (24.09.2026): News: Russian missile attack on Kyiv kills civilians and damages residential areas (Reuters⁠)
Update (23.09.2026): Analysis: Russian tank survives 40 drone strikes, suggesting mechanised warfare could make comeback (EUobserver⁠)
Update (23.09.2026): Analysis: Kremlin rejects proposed energy ceasefire and reiterates maximalist war demands (ISW⁠) 
Update (23.09.2026): Analysis: Kremlin uses sham elections to manufacture legitimacy in occupied Ukraine (ISW⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): News: Ukraine races to counter new jet-powered Russian drones (BBC⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): Analysis: Russian Ministry of Defence falsely claims encirclement of Dobropillya as part of cognitive warfare campaign (ISW⁠)
Update (22.09.2026): Analysis: Western tech helps funnel foreign recruits into Russia’s war (POLITICO⁠)
Update (21.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s largest Moscow air raid overwhelms defences and hits key oil refinery (EUobserver⁠)
Update (20.09.2026): Analysis: Russia secretly plans to expand kamikaze drone production (POLITICO⁠) massively
Update (20.09.2026): News: Ukrainian drones hit Moscow oil refinery, killing two (Reuters⁠)
Update (19.09.2026): Analysis: Russian Ministry of Defence exaggerates battlefield gains ahead of UN General Assembly (ISW⁠)
Update (18.09.2026): Analysis: Tusk reveals classified estimates of Ukrainian battlefield casualties (EUobserver⁠)
Update (18.09.2026): Analysis: Kremlin denies post-election mobilisation amid fears of public backlash (ISW⁠)
Update (18.09.2026): Podcast: Ukraine faces mounting pressure ahead of wartime winter (ECFR⁠) 
Update (17.09.2026): Analysis: Russia pushes to capture Dobropillia before autumn conditions worsen (EUobserver⁠)
Update (17.09.2026): Analysis: Russia continues deporting Ukrainian female political prisoners to distant penal colonies (ISW⁠)
Update (17.09.2026): News: Russia targets passenger trains to undermine Ukraine’s economy and morale (POLITICO⁠)
Update (16.09.2026): Analysis: Ukrainian forces reportedly advance beyond Zherebets River (EUobserver⁠)
Update (16.09.2026): Analysis: Putin frames Duma elections as referendum on Ukraine war (ISW⁠)
Update (15.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine hits record number of Russian refineries as Trump pushes energy ceasefire (EUobserver⁠)
Update (15.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi disrupts Russia’s Fortress Belt encirclement (ISW⁠) 
Update (14.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine races to counter Russia’s jet-powered drones (POLITICO⁠)
Update (14.09.2026): Analysis: Zelensky reiterates readiness for mutual energy strikes moratorium (ISW⁠)
Update (13.09.2026): Analysis: Russian strikes near Polish border signal growing escalation (ISW⁠) 
Update (12.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine disrupts Russia’s Donbas offensive plans (ISW⁠)
Update (13.09.2026): Analysis: Anthropic AI joins Ukraine war after Russian exploitation (EUobserver⁠)
Update (11.09.2026): Analysis: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment (ISW⁠)
Update (10.09.2026): Analysis: Russia spent over €110bn on the war so far in 2026 (EUobserver⁠)
Update (10.09.2026): Analysis: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment (ISW⁠)
Update (10.09.2026): Analysis: Russian Occupation Update (ISW⁠)
Update (10.09.2026): Analysis: Zelenskyy gambles on pressure to force Putin into peace talks (POLITICO⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): Analysis: Russia’s claimed Kharkiv encirclement lacks evidence (EUobserver⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): News: Zelenskyy’s plane nearly hit by drone en route to Oslo (Euronews⁠)
Quick Brief:
Russia launched its full-scale invasion on 24 February 2022, expecting rapid military gains, but its attempt to seize Kyiv failed as Ukrainian forces resisted
The failed initial offensive developed into a long war of attrition, with Russia occupying Ukrainian territory while Ukraine continues to defend itself and strike Russian military and economic targets
Winter has repeatedly intensified pressure on civilians: Russia has systematically targeted Ukraine’s electricity and heating infrastructure, causing widespread outages and disruption
Diplomacy has not ended the war: renewed US-led efforts have so far failed to bridge fundamental differences between Moscow and Kyiv, while Russian military operations continue
Sources: UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine⁠, Reuters⁠, Associated Press⁠
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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Foreign PolicyGeopoliticsSecurity & DefenceTrade PolicyTransatlantic RelationsWar in UkraineCongressEuropean UnionMidtermsRussiaSenateUSA

US Midterms, Blue Wave?: Europe’s Uncertainty Remains

The US midterms could change congressional majorities, while Europe remains exposed to uncertainty over American security commitments, funding and trade policy.
Updates
Analysis: Why Europe should not celebrate a potential Democratic victory in the US midterm elections (POLITICO)
News: Trump faces crucial midterm election test as control of Congress hangs in the balance (Reuters)
Podcast: Briefed examines what’s at stake for Europe in the US midterm elections (Briefed)
News: Brussels downplays the prospect of a Trump setback in the US midterm elections (Rapporteur)
News: Trump White House prepares strategy to govern without congressional support if Democrats win the US midterm elections (Reuters)
Analysis: NATO allies fear Trump could turn against the alliance following a potential Republican defeat in the US midterm elections (POLITICO)
News: US election campaigns enter their final weekend as Democrats and Republicans battle for control of Congress (Reuters)
Analysis: Democrats hope to overcome decades of electoral defeats in Texas as a potential political breakthrough approaches (Reuters)
Podcast: ECFR explores the future of democratic foreign policy after Trump (ECFR)
Analysis: ECFR examines what US political volatility and a weakened Democratic Party mean for Europe (ECFR)
Commentary: Trump’s proposed deals with Russia raise questions over Europe’s role and Ukraine’s sovereignty (ECFR⁠)
Congressional powers: The 3 November elections determine control of Congress. New majorities could strengthen oversight, while the president retains substantial foreign-policy authority
Ukraine and defence: Delays or withholding of approved US funding complicate European planning for Ukraine, security and development assistance
Trade relations: US tariffs remain a source of transatlantic tension, with Russian energy imports creating additional exposure to American pressure
European preparedness: The report identifies contingency funding, reduced Russian energy dependence and coordinated trade responses as ways to manage continued uncertainty
Sources: ECFR, US Government Accountability Office, USAGov
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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Eastern EuropeRussiaBulgariaDrone StrikeEuropean DefenseRussian Threat

Bulgaria Summons Russia’s Envoy After Drone Attack; Attacks Continue in Black Sea

Following the drone attacks off the coast of Bulgaria on October 13, Russia's Ambassador to Bulgaria was summoned as 11 of the sailors from the sunken ship remain missing.
Update (03.11.2026): Analysis: Expanding Black Sea conflict tests NATO’s red lines and regional security commitments (Reuters)
Update (28.10.2026): News: Bulgaria strengthens Black Sea defences after drones strike another vessel (Rapporteur)
Update (24.10.2026): Parliamentary Vote: European Parliament votes on escalating Russian strikes affecting the EU, particularly the Black Sea region (EP Votes)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Drone strikes another ship in the Black Sea near Romania, killing at least one sailor (POLITICO)
Update (20.10.2026): News: NATO to deploy aircraft and drones over Black Sea following attacks on shipping (Reuters⁠)
Update (17.10.2026): News: Romania scrambles F-16 jets after detecting aerial targets near Snake Island (Romanian Ministry of Defence⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: Seven missing after tanker fire off Romanian coast (POLITICO⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: Romania proposes joint NATO Black Sea command with Bulgaria (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (13.10.2026): Commentary from Bulgaria: Time to stop deceiving ourselves - Russia poses a security threat to Bulgaria (Webcafe Bulgaria⁠)
Quick Brief:
Eleven sailors are still missing after a drone attack off the coast of Bulgaria
Two cargo ships were hit by drones during the night of October 13th according to Bulgarian officials
In response to the incident Bulgaria summoned Russia's Ambassador
Bulgaria does not explicitly accuse Russia of the attacks but its Prime Minister said this "benefits" Russia
Source: Reuters
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African RelationsEurope in the worldForeign PolicyGeopoliticsHuman RightsInternational RightMigrationSecurity & DefenceAl-BurhanChadDagaloEgyptEuropean UnionGoldIranLibyaRed SeaRefugeesRussiaSAFUAEUnited Nations

Sudan’s War and Europe’s UAE Ties

Sudan’s civil war is sustained by foreign support, gold revenues and competition for Red Sea influence, while Europe faces scrutiny over its UAE ties.
Update (02.11.2026): News: Sudan accuses Ethiopia of enabling RSF drone attacks from its territory and files complaints with the United Nations (Al Jazeera)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Sudanese army drone strike on Nyala market kills at least 36 people and injures over 150, MSF reports (MSF)
Update (23.10.2026): Commentary: Süddeutsche Zeitung criticises international inaction as Sudan’s civil war continues to claim civilian lives (SZ)
Update (23.10.2026): News: BBC reports allegations that Sudan’s RSF fighters deliberately targeted hospitals (BBC News)
Update (21.10.2026): News: UN-led Sudan peace talks in Geneva end without breakthrough (United Nations)
Update (10.2026): Policy Brief: Women’s Refugee Commission examines the humanitarian crisis in Sudan and its impact on women and girls (Women’s Refugee Commission)
Update (09.2026): Feature: Sudanese women support one another and their communities amid the ongoing civil war (UN Women)
Quick Brief:
War and displacement: Since April 2023, al-Burhan’s Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have fought Dagalo’s paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF). At least 59,000 deaths have been recorded, likely an undercount. Over 14 million people have fled their homes, including more than four million abroad
Foreign backing: Egypt, Turkey and Iran support the SAF. The UAE allegedly backs the RSF, though it denies it. UN investigators identified RSF supply networks involving actors in Chad, Libya and Somalia
Gold and ports: Gold finances the war. Russia has cultivated ties across the conflict through gold and military interests while pursuing a Red Sea naval base at Port Sudan
EU pressure: The EU provides aid and bans imports of Sudanese gold. Human Rights Watch criticises Brussels for insufficiently confronting the UAE and underusing its trade leverage over alleged RSF support
Sources: AP⁠, Reuters⁠, UK Government⁠, ISPI⁠, EU Council⁠, Human Rights Watch⁠
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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Inside EuropeJustice Policy and European LawRule of LawConstitutional CourtCourt of Justice of the European UnionDonald TuskEuropean UnionKarol NawrockiPISPolandTribunal

Poland’s Constitutional Court Crisis Escalates

Poland’s long-running dispute over judicial independence has escalated into a confrontation between Donald Tusk’s government and President Karol Nawrocki at the Constitutional Tribunal.
Update (03.11.2026): Analysis: Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal crisis deepens political divisions ahead of the 2027 election (POLITICO)
Update (03.11.2026): News: Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal faces crucial test amid escalating political power struggle (Rapporteur)
Update (02.11.2026): Explainer: Poland’s political right turns Constitutional Tribunal dispute into an electoral battleground, drawing the EU into the conflict (EUObserver)
Update (02.11.2026): Explainer: Reuters examines the causes of Poland’s constitutional crisis and the political struggle over its highest court (Reuters)
Update (02.11.2026): News: European Commission backs Donald Tusk’s government amid Poland’s escalating Constitutional Tribunal crisis (Rapporteur)
Update (01.11.2026): News: Polish president holds crisis talks following dramatic confrontation at the Constitutional Tribunal (Le Monde)
Update (01.11.2026): Analysis: Poland’s Kaczyński stages constitutional court confrontation and raises prospect of Polexit as he launches his 2027 political comeback bid (EUObserver)
Quick Brief:
Leadership disputed: Judge Anna Korwin-Piotrowska announced the suspension of Tribunal president Bogdan Święczkowski on 30 October and assumed its leadership. The move’s legality is contested
Long-running conflict: The crisis began under PiS in 2015. Since replacing its government in December 2023, Tusk’s coalition has sought to reverse judicial changes criticised for politicising the courts
Political confrontation: Nawrocki, backed by PiS, calls the latest intervention a forcible takeover. Tusk says it restores the rule of law, following blocked appointments of parliament-elected judges
European stakes: In December 2025, the EU’s highest court found that appointment irregularities undermined the Tribunal’s independence and that its rulings breached fundamental EU-law principles
Sources: Euronews, Reuters, Court of Justice of the EU
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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Inside EuropeCDUFederal ConventionFriedrich MerzGermanyGreensIlse AignerPresidencySPD

German Conservatives Split Over Presidency

Germany’s CDU and CSU remain divided over a presidential nominee as Ilse Aigner attracts support beyond the conservative alliance.
Update (02.11.2026): News: German Chancellor Friedrich Merz backs electing a woman as Germany’s next federal president (Tagesspiegel/dpa)
Update (28.10.2026): News: Germany’s CDU and CSU clash over their preferred candidate for the country’s next federal president (Rapporteur)
Quick Brief:
Succession: The Federal Convention elects Germany’s next president on 30 January 2027. Frank-Walter Steinmeier cannot serve a third consecutive term
Conservative divisions: The CSU backs Bavaria’s parliamentary president, Ilse Aigner. The CDU remains undecided, and Chancellor Friedrich Merz has not endorsed her
Broader backing: Leading SPD politicians support Aigner, while Greens including Cem Özdemir and Katharina Schulze have welcomed her potential candidacy. She could become Germany’s first female president
European role: The president represents Germany internationally and supports diplomatic relations, while the federal government directs foreign policy
Sources: Reuters, BR24, Südkurier
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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Europe in the worldGeopoliticsLatin AmericaBrazilBRICSEuropean UnionFlávio BolsonaroJair BolsonaroLuiz Inácio Lula da SilvaPresidential electionsStrategic AutonomyUSA

Brazil Presidential Election: Lula Wins Second Round, Bolsonaro Junior Refuses Result

Brazil voted on 25 October in the second round of a presidential election between competing political and foreign-policy visions, with implications for the country’s relations with Europe, the United States, China and BRICS.
Update (29.10.2026): Analysis: Reuters examines how Brazil’s election could reshape global trade in soybeans, rare earths and fuels (Reuters)
Update (28.10.2026): News: Flávio Bolsonaro declares himself Brazil’s rightful president, alleges election fraud without evidence, then softens his claim (EFE, AFP)
Update (28.10.2026): Timeline: Reuters traces Flávio Bolsonaro’s controversial journey to the United States following Brazil’s presidential election (Reuters)
Update (28.10.2026): News: Flávio Bolsonaro reportedly travels to the US following Lula’s re-election amid legal scrutiny and passport restrictions in Brazil (AP News)
Update (27.10.2026): Analysis: Lula’s re-election preserves a key EU partner on climate policy, trade and democratic cooperation (EUObserver)
Update (27.10.2026): News: Flávio Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party recognises Lula’s election victory despite its candidate’s refusal to concede (Reuters)
Update (26.10.2026): Analysis: Lula Faces Difficult Fourth Term with Right-Wing Dominated Congress (Reuters).
Update (26.10.2026): News: Investors anticipate market reversals following Lula’s re-election in Brazil (Reuters)
Update (26.10.2026): News: Flávio Bolsonaro refuses to recognise Lula’s re-election victory in Brazil (Reuters)
Update (26.10.2026): News: Lula wins re-election in historic Brazilian presidential run-off, setting stage for political confrontation (POLITICO)
Update (24.10.2026): Investigation: Meta faces allegations of favouring Flávio Bolsonaro through algorithmic recommendations while restricting Lula’s accounts during Brazil’s presidential election campaign (Folha de S.Paulo, 16.10.2026, Folha de S.Paulo, 24.10.2026)
Update (24.10.2026): News: Bolsonaro and Lula clash over living costs and corruption in final Brazilian presidential election debate (Reuters)
Update (24.10.2026): Analysis: How Brazil’s changing working class is reshaping the presidential race (BBC News)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Datafolha poll shows Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula nearly tied ahead of Brazil’s presidential runoff (Reuters)
Update (22.10.2026): News: Bolsonaro unlikely to derail EU-Mercosur trade deal, but Brussels could (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (19.10.2026): News: Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro clash in heated presidential debate (Euronews⁠)
Update (05.10.2026): Analysis: Bolsonaro Jr.’s advance against Lula raises EU concerns over Brazil-Mercosur alliance (EUobserver⁠)
Update (04.10.2026): News: Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula as Brazil heads to a runoff (POLITICO⁠)
Update (03.10.2026): Analysis: Brazil’s cliffhanger election could cost EU a key Latin American ally (EUobserver⁠)
Quick Brief:
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva faces Flávio Bolsonaro, son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, as the two leading candidates in a field of 12. A runoff will follow on 25 October if no candidate wins a majority
Lula has pursued strategic autonomy, maintaining relations with Europe and China while strengthening Brazil’s role in BRICS and the Global South
Bolsonaro represents a different direction, with his campaign associated with closer political alignment with Donald Trump’s United States and the wider conservative movement
For Europe, the election could shape relations with Latin America’s largest economy, including cooperation on trade, climate and the EU-Mercosur partnership, as Brazil navigates competition between Washington and Beijing
Sources: Brazilian Electoral Court (TSE)⁠, Reuters⁠, POLITICO Europe⁠
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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Economic PolicyInside EuropeHousing CrisisMaricarmen AbascalMatridPedro SánchezProtestsSpain

Snap Elections on 29 November in Spain: Between Housing Crisis and Deadly Train Crash

The eviction of an elderly pensioner in Madrid has sparked wider debate over Spain’s housing crisis, while a deadly train crash, growing concerns over public safety and political disputes ahead of the upcoming election have intensified pressure on the government.
Update (02.11.2026): News: Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez pledges to restore public trust in railway safety following deadly train crash (Rapporteur)
Update (29.10.2026): News: Deadly rail disaster reignites Spain’s political crisis ahead of national elections (Rapporteur)
Update (28.10.2026): News: Growing support for the radical right among young Spaniards signals shifting political attitudes (Rapporteur)
Update (27.10.2026): Commentary: Spain’s deepening political divisions put public trust in democracy to the test (The Brussels Times)
Update (26.10.2026): News: Spain’s conservative People’s Party (PP) and far-right Vox agree to coordinate Senate candidates in 23 constituencies ahead of November elections (EFE, PP)
Update (25.10.2026): News: French-inspired youth protests turn violent in Barcelona, with 128 arrested, including 72 minors (Euronews, EFE)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Alberto Núñez Feijóo pledges sweeping conservative reforms if he wins Spain’s November 29 election (POLITICO)
Update (21.10.2026): News: Spain’s Vox rallies international allies ahead of elections (Rapporteur)
Update (20.10.2026): News: Spain grants amnesty to Catalan separatist leaders ahead of November election (Catalan News)
Update (20.10.2026): News: Spain’s conservatives hold coalition talks with far-right Vox (POLITICO⁠)
Update (19.10.2026): Commentary: Why Spain’s left failed to unite ahead of November’s snap election (EUobserver⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): News: Spain’s ruling Socialists lead state-run poll amid snap election speculation (Reuters⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): Polling: Spain’s latest voting intention trends (POLITICO⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): Interview: Spanish Socialist MEP sees no alternative to Sánchez as housing and immigration dominate snap election (EUobserver⁠)
Update (09.10.2026): Podcast: Sánchez’s snap election gamble raises questions about Spain’s political future and its implications for Europe (ECFR)
Update (08.10.2026): News: Maricarmen, the 87-year-old woman whose eviction sparked major protests in Spain, dies in hospital (Euronews)
Update (08.10.2026): News: Spain’s far-right Vox, led by Santiago Abascal, gains ground in election polls (POLITICO⁠)
Update (07.10.2026): News: Spanish unions call general strike for November 11, weeks before snap parliamentary election (Reuters⁠)
Update (06.10.2026): Analysis: Spanish election threatens political balance in Brussels as Sánchez’s Socialists face potential losses (POLITICO⁠)
Update (05.10.2026): Analysis: Sánchez bets on housing agenda to keep far right out of government in Spain’s snap election (EUobserver⁠)
Update (05.10.2026): News: Sánchez calls snap Spanish election for November 29 (POLITICO⁠)
Update (03.10.2026): News: Tens of thousands protest across Spain over deepening housing crisis (The Guardian⁠) 
Update (02.10.2026): News: Sánchez loses key housing crisis vote after eviction of 87-year-old woman (BBC⁠)
Update (30.09.2026): Podcast: Did Spain’s government address protesters’ demands on housing? (EUobserver⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): News: Spain moves to stem housing protests (Rapporteur⁠)
Quick Brief:
Maricarmen Abascal was evicted on 23 September from the Madrid apartment where she had lived for more than 70 years, turning her case into a symbol of Spain’s housing crisis
The eviction prompted protests in Madrid, amid wider concerns over rising rents and access to affordable housing
The property owner has agreed to let Abascal return under a new eight-year rental contract, with rent capped at 30% of her net income. She still has to approve the agreement formally
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez explicitly referred to Maricarmen’s case while calling for parliamentary support for new housing measures aimed at strengthening tenant protection and addressing Spain’s housing crisis
Sources: BBC⁠, Reuters⁠, El País⁠
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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Europe in the worldInside EuropeCouncil of EuropeStrasbourgWorld Forum for Democracy

World Forum for Democracy Kick-starts in Strasbourg

The Council of Europe is hosting its annual World Forum for Democracy in Strasbourg, Palais de l՛Europe.
The World Forum for Democracy will take place from 2nd to 3rd of November in Strasbourg, France
It is an international platform to discuss challenges of democracies worldwide and debate solutions
It is hosted by the Council of Europe and take place every year at the Palais de l'Europe
The 2026 Forum will culminate the consultative phase of the New Democratic Pact for Europe 
Source: World Forum for Democracy
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European GovernanceInside EuropeUncategorizedChristine LagardeEuropean Central Bank

President of the European Central Bank to Step Down

Christine Lagarde steps down as ECB's president to be able to express her opinion freely on important things happening in the world.
The president of the ECB, Christine Lagarde, to step down on 7 February 2027
She has informed the EU Governing Council as well as EU Council President of her decision on 29 October
Lagarde wants to leave office to gain the ability to freely express her opinion on world matters
Her successor will be appointed according to Article 283 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union
Source։ European Central Bank, Reuters
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African RelationsCaribbeanHuman RightsInternational RightUnited NationsBritainCrime against HumanityEuropean UnionGhanaGlobal SouthTransatlantic TraffickingUN resolution

Ghana’s Slavery Resolution And Global South Challenge Europe

Ghana’s UN success on slavery reparations has exposed European resistance, while Britain’s openness to an apology creates space for dialogue with African and Caribbean partners.
Ghana’s success: On 25 March, 123 states backed Ghana’s nonbinding UN resolution declaring the transatlantic trafficking and enslavement of Africans “the gravest crime against humanity”. It calls for apologies, restitution and compensation
European resistance: EU members and Britain abstained. The EU condemned slavery but opposed ranking atrocities and applying international law retrospectively, including to reparations claims
British opening: During Charles III’s Caribbean visit, Prime Minister Andy Burnham expressed openness to discussing a formal apology. He ruled out financial reparations; a royal apology has not been announced.
Scope and partnerships: Defining responsible institutions, eligible beneficiaries and remedies remains contested. Dialogue could build trust between Europe and African and Caribbean partners through restitution, education and debt cooperation, although closer political alignment is not guaranteed
Sources: UN, EEAS, Reuters
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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African RelationsHealth PolicyDemocratic Republic of CongoEbolaEpidemicUgandaWHO

Ebola Epidemic: DRC’s deadliest ever, Conflicts make situation worse

The World Health Organisation declared the Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Uganda a global public health emergency.
Update (30.10.2026): New numbers, new infections (CDC)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Woman diagnosed with Ebola in Nigeria identified as wife of Swiss diplomat (BBC News)
Update (20.10.2026): News: Nigeria confirms first Ebola case amid regional outbreak (WHO)
Update (15.10.2026): Reportage: Bunia fights to protect families from DR Congo’s deadliest Ebola outbreak (RFI⁠)
Update (01.10.2026): News: Thousands flee Ebola-hit Congo camp, raising fears of wider disease spread (Reuters⁠)
Update (24.09.2026): News: WHO says Congo’s Ebola outbreak remains out of control amid health worker shortage (PBS NewsHour⁠)
Update (20.09.2026): News: Congo prioritizes Ebola health care workers for Ervebo vaccine effective against different virus strain (AP⁠)
Update (26.08.2023): Conflict drives DRC cholera outbreak (RFI)
Update (20.08.2026): Ebola vaccines allocated to Congo (WHO)
Update (13.08.2026): WHO chief warns of deadliest Ebola outbreak (BBC News)
Update (10.08.2026): Interview with expert: How missing international aid increasingly exacerbates the crisis (ZDFheute)
Update (05.08.2026): Expert speaks about potential future Ebola vaccine (FAZ)
Update (July 24, 2026): First person gets new experimental vaccine for Ebola (BBC)
Update (July 13, 2026): Ebola vaccine made in UK now ready for trials (BBC)
Update (July 09, 2026): Ebola rumours fuel attacks on health workers (BBC)
Update (July 03, 2026): Ebola treatments trial begins in DR Congo (BBC)
Update (June 15, 2026): Recovery of Ebola patients offers rare moments of joy (BBC)
Update (June 02, 2026): Protests against US Ebola quarantine centre plan in Kenya, two deaths (BBC)
Update (June 01, 2026): Three Ebola vaccines in development (BBC)
Update (May 31, 2026): How Ebola spreads and why it is so dangerous (BBC)
Update (May 31, 2026): Medical charity Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) has warned about Ebola in DRC: "Deeply alarming" situation (BBC)
Update (May 25, 2026): Many African countries want to cooperate to prevent the virus from further spreading (BBC); the EU and UNICEF mobilise over 100 metric tonnes of emergency supplies to DRC (UNICEF)
Update (May 24, 2026): African Centres for Disease Control warns of 10 other countries being at risk (BBC)
Update (May 22, 2026): Drastic missing information and education about the danger of Ebola within the population. Regional conflicts affect the situation. The population has high levels of mistrust of the government, corruption, and institutions like hospitals (BBC). WHO warned of very high national and regional spread, a potential epidemic and healthcare risks, but low global influence (BBC)
May 21, 2026:
WHO and the African Union declared a public health emergency over the Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak, which started in Eastern Congo (Ituri)
Bundibugyo Ebola is a rare Ebola strain with no approved specific vaccine or treatment yet; a vaccine could take 9 months
WHO reported approximately 600 suspected cases and 139 suspected deaths, but the situation is highly fluid
Sources: WHO, BBC
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Quick Briefs from previous weeks

African RelationsGeopoliticsHuman RightsRussiaWar in UkraineAfrican RecruitsAmnesty InternationalKenyaNigeriaRussian MilitarySouth AfricaWilliam Ruto

Russia Faces African Recruitment Backlash

African governments are raising concerns over deceptive recruitment into Russia’s war against Ukraine as leaders gather for the Russia-Africa summit in Moscow.
Deceptive recruitment: Recruitment agencies reportedly promise civilian jobs in Russia, but some African recruits subsequently find themselves serving in the Russian military
Diplomatic pressure: Kenyan President William Ruto has requested help repatriating Kenyan recruits. Nigerian and South African officials have also voiced concern
Human rights: Amnesty International documented deception, coercion and exploitation of economic hardship, finding that many cases amount to human trafficking
Moscow’s response: According to EUobserver, Putin had not publicly answered Ruto’s request. Amnesty urges African leaders to demand an end to these practices and investigations into those responsible
Sources: EUobserver, Amnesty International, FAZ
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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Inside EuropeBorder ControlBorder SecurityDIsinformationEUEU bordersEuropean CommissionFrontexMigrationMigration in the EU

EU to Enable Frontex to Monitor Migration Disinformation Online

The EU wants to extend Frontex's responsibilities by enabling it to identify and flag disinformation about migration and border control on social media.
Update (28.10.2026): News: Frontex set to gain 17,000 additional deportation officers amid concerns over weakened human rights monitoring (EUObserver)
Update (28.10.2026): News: EU lawmakers criticise proposed new Frontex powers to monitor social media (POLITICO)
Quick Brief:
The European Commission proposes extending Frontex's mandate to identify and report disinformation on social media
Frontex is the EU agency responsible for supporting member states in managing the EU external borders
It will especially deal with information concerning migration and border security
The agency won't have the power to remove online content, but instead flag it to national authorities
Sources: POLITICO, Rapporteur
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GeopoliticsInside EuropeWestern BalkansBallot ScannersBosniaElectionsEU IntegrationEuropean UnionMilorad DodikRepublika SrpskaRussiaSerbiaSNSD

Bosnia Election Fractures Country: but what now?

Bosnia and Herzegovina’s general election on 4 October tested the country’s democratic resilience as new voting technology met persistent ethnic divisions, separatist politics and competing European and Russian influence.
Update (28.10.2026): Official Report: Bosnia and Herzegovina risks gradual disintegration as Republika Srpska undermines state institutions, warns the Office of the High Representative (OHR)
Update (12.10.2026): Interview: Ex-Bosnia envoy sees no risk of renewed violence, but fractured country’s EU dream is “rotting away” (EUobserver⁠)
Update (05.10.2026): Analysis: Putin and Vučić dominate Bosnia election as EU influence fades (EUobserver⁠)
Update (04.10.2026): News: Bosniaks, Serbs and Croats vote for rival leaderships as Bosnia’s election tests political stability and EU accession (Reuters⁠)
Quick Brief:
More than 3.4 million voters will elect the three-member Presidency, state parliament and institutions of the country’s two entities
Biometric voter identification and ballot scanners will be used nationwide for the first time, aiming to reduce electoral manipulation
Milorad Dodik cannot hold public office but remains influential as leader of the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD), the dominant Bosnian Serb party in Republika Srpska
The election also has a geopolitical dimension: the EU’s integration agenda competes with growing Russian influence, while neighbouring Serbia retains close political ties with Republika Srpska
Sources: CEC BiH⁠, OSCE⁠, EU Delegation⁠, Associated Press⁠
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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ChinaEconomic PolicySecurity & DefenceCompetivenessDeficitEuropean CommissionTrade

China’s Economic Power and China 2.0: Relaxation or Trade War?

The EU trade deficit with China grows higher every day. As Germany and France take harder stance toward China, how will China react?
Update (28.10.2026): Commentary: China’s technological rise offers lessons for Europe’s pursuit of digital sovereignty (Rapporteur)
Update (28.10.2026): News: EU business chief cautions against focusing solely on China’s trade surplus (Rapporteur)
Update (26.10.2026): News: German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier prepares China visit amid growing trade tensions and calls for fair competition (South China Morning Post, Pollar News)
Update (20.10.2026): Analysis: How economic chokepoints risk trapping the US in geopolitical confrontation (Foreign Affairs)
Update (20.10.2026): News: China threatens retaliation if UK follows EU tariffs (POLITICO)
Update (19.10.2026): Commentary: Europe’s new trade instrument cannot come soon enough (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): Analysis: Beijing seeks to reduce European influence over Chinese systems (ECFR⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: Von der Leyen considers new restrictions on Chinese chemicals and machinery (POLITICO⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): Interview: China expert Noah Barkin sees growing EU unity on tougher China trade policy after Germany’s shift (Euronews⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: UK signals possible alignment with EU tariffs on Chinese EVs (POLITICO⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): Interview: MEP Bernd Lange calls EU-China talks a ‘good starting point’ (YouTube⁠)
Update (14.10.2026): Analysis: Šefčovič’s China trade breakthrough (POLITICO⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): News: EU says hybrid car deal with China will not prevent further trade measures against Beijing (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): News: China gives more details about trade talk with EU trade chief Maroš Šefčovič (Reuters)
Update (11.10.2026): News: Macron calls for EU preference in the automotive industry amid growing Chinese competition at Paris Motor Show (Euronews⁠)
Update (10.10.2026): Analysis: EU faces mounting pressure from China amid escalating trade tensions (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (09.10.2026): News: EU trade chief hails crucial first step as talks with Beijing help avert a trade war (EUobserver⁠)
Update (09.10.2026): News: EU and China reach understanding to curb Chinese hybrid car exports to Europe (POLITICO⁠)
Update (08.10.2026): Analysis: EU trade chief Maroš Šefčovič faces Brussels’ limited leverage in trade negotiations (EUobserver)
Update (07.10.2026): Analysis: Europe faces three tests in reducing dependence on China and countering Chinese economic coercion (ECFR⁠)
Update (06.10.2026): News: EU trade chief heads to China with low expectations(EUobserver⁠), Rapporteur)
Update (05.10.2026): News: Merz and Macron push tougher EU trade response to China (POLITICO⁠)
Update (04.10.2026): News: Britain expected to impose tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles (Reuters⁠)
Update (01.10.2026): Commentary: EU unity and leverage will determine whether it can stand up to China on trade (Carnegie Europe⁠)
Update (30.09.2026): News: China vows response if EU introduces measures targeting Chinese trade (Reuters⁠)
Update (29.09.2026): News: EU eyes tariffs on Chinese goods with new trade weapon (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (28.09.2026): Analysis: EU-China trade showdown increasingly appears inevitable (Internationale Politik Quarterly⁠) 
Update (18.09.2026): News: Beijing urges EU to weaken ‘Made in Europe’ industrial bill (EUobserver⁠)
Update (17.09.2026): Analysis: EU firms redesign supply chains amid geopolitical risks (EIB⁠)
Update (17.09.2026): News: EU asks China to voluntarily limit hybrid car exports (Financial Times⁠)
Update (16.09.2026): News: Von der Leyen warns EU-China trade deficit has hit ‘tipping point’ (POLITICO⁠)
Update (15.09.2026): Analysis: European businesses caught between US-China trade and tech war (POLITICO⁠)
Update (11.09.2026): News from China: Chinese experts warn EU protectionism cannot fix industrial woes (Global Times⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): News: EU spirits exports squeezed by US-China trade tensions (Euractiv⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): News: EU warns China to buy more European goods or risk trade war (Euractiv⁠)
Update (08.09.2026): News: China’s exports accelerate on autos and high-tech goods (Euronews⁠)
Update (07.09.2026): News: Commission proposes anti-China EU procurement rules (Euractiv⁠)
Update (02.09.2026): Interview: Šefčovič warns China of harsher measures by October (YouTube)
Update (02.09.2026): News: Think tank urges UK-EU cooperation against China (POLITICO)
Update (01.09.2026): Analysis: EU split over courting Chinese factories (EUobserver)
Update (31.08.2026): News: EU seeks to curb Chinese exports (POLITICO)
Update (31.08.2026): Commentary from China: Europe risks miscalculating a trade war with China (Global Times⁠) 
Update (31.08.2026): News: Hoekstra says Beijing weaponised clean-tech dominance (Euractiv)
Update (31.08.2026): Interview: Hoekstra says China isn’t playing by trade rules (YouTube)
Update (27.08.2026): Dutch think tank urges tougher China tariffs (EUobserver)
Update (27.08.2026): Von der Leyen warns China on trade (Euractiv)
Quick Brief:
The EU recorded a €21.8 billion goods deficit in Q2 (April–June) 2026, after a €6.7 billion surplus in Q1 (January–March)
The main driver was energy: the deficit in energy products widened to €101.1 billion
Imports rose by €63.4 billion, considerably more than the €34.9 billion increase in exports
The EU’s trade deficit with China reached €103.3 billion in Q2, adding to concerns over European industrial competitiveness
Sources: Eurostat, Euractiv
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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Climate PolicyEnvironmental PolicyHealth PolicyDroughtsEuropean CommissionHeatwavesResilienceRisk ManagementSecurityWater SupplyWildfiresWopke Hoekstra

EU climate policy: EU Warns on Climate Costs

Brussels is urging Europe to invest more in climate adaptation now, warning that delaying action will leave governments facing much higher costs from increasingly severe extreme weather.
Update (27.10.2026): News: European Commission calls for Europe to prepare for a potential four-degree rise in global temperatures (Rapporteur)
Update (21.10.2026): Analysis: Rising emissions and temperatures reveal the cost of Trump’s climate retreat (DW)
Update (21.10.2026): News: Global emissions must fall 18% within four years to limit worst climate impacts (Euronews)
Update (19.10.2026): News: Conservatives push to delay EU climate levy on fuels (Rapporteur⁠)
Update (19.10.2026): Analysis: EU climate policy towards 2040 shifts towards greater flexibility and effort-sharing (SWP⁠)
Update (12.10.2026): Commentary: Made-in-Europe wind, solar and nuclear power can protect us from future energy shocks (EUobserver⁠)
Update (21.09.2026): Analysis: Planetary Health Check finds mounting pressure on Earth’s life-support systems (PIK⁠)
Update (16.09.2026): Analysis: Climate rises on von der Leyen’s agenda despite key omissions (EUobserver⁠)
Update (11.09.2026): News: Von der Leyen weighs new EU water law after drought (Euractiv⁠)
Update (10.09.2026): News: UN climate chief says Europe’s extreme heat is fuelling inflation (Reuters⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): News: August declared hottest month ever recorded (POLITICO⁠)
Update (04.09.2026): News: Spain urges EU climate adaptation fund and binding targets (Reuters⁠)
Update (02.09.2026): News: Ribera proposes oil tax to climate-proof Europe (POLITICO)
Update (02.09.2026): Analysis: Renewables boom fails to deliver emissions decline (Euronews)
Update (02.09.2026): News: UN warns 1.5°C warming risks irreversible damage (EUobserver)
Update (01.09.2026): Analysis: Climate change threatens Europe’s nuclear renaissance (POLITICO)
Update (01.09.2026): Analysis: Wildfires expose cost of climate inaction (EUobserver)
Update (01.09.2026): News: Over half of EU misses nature restoration deadline (Euractiv)
Update (31.08.2026): Interview: Hoekstra links Europe’s climate and security challenges (Euronews)
Update (31.08.2026): Analysis: Extreme heat reshapes Europe’s national budgets (Euronews)
Quick Brief:
EU Climate Commissioner Wopke Hoekstra is pushing for greater investment in adaptation as heatwaves, drought and wildfires intensify across Europe
By 5 August, 505,683 hectares had burned in the EU in 2026, already exceeding the same point in 2025
Climate adaptation includes protecting water supplies, infrastructure, agriculture and public health, rather than focusing only on cutting emissions
The Commission is preparing a new European climate resilience framework, expected in autumn 2026, aimed at strengthening preparedness and risk management
Sources: Politico Europe, European Commission JRC, European Commission
Transparency Note: Use of AI
Further Sources:
Analysis: Global action too slow to prevent 1.5°C warming (UNEP - Overshoot Spotlight Report)
Analysis: Climate change could nearly triple Europe’s annual wildfire area by century’s end (Global Change Biology⁠)
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Inside EuropeMedia and JournalismAndrej BabišCzechiaEditorial IndependenceEuropean UnionState-Budget Financing

Prague Protests Public Broadcasting Overhaul

Thousands protested in Prague on 25 October against plans to replace broadcasting licence fees with state funding, amid concerns over editorial independence
Update (26.10.2026): News: Czech government advances plans to abolish public broadcasting licence fees, triggering protests over media independence (EUObserver)
Quick Brief:
Prime Minister Andrej Babiš’s coalition advanced the bill in an overnight vote on 24 October. Further parliamentary approval is required
The proposal would move Czech Television and Czech Radio to state-budget financing and cut their combined funding by roughly 15%
Critics warn of political pressure and reduced services. The government says the changes would lower household costs without undermining independence
European media organisations demand stronger safeguards, citing EU requirements for adequate, predictable funding that protects editorial independence
Sources: Reuters, European Broadcasting Union, European Commission
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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GeopoliticsInside EuropeRule of LawEEAFundingHungaryIcelandLiechtensteinNorwayPéter Magyar

Norway Restarts Hungary Grants After Decade

Norway and its partners have agreed to restore grant payments to Hungary following a decade-long dispute under Viktor Orbán’s government.
Update (26.10.2026): Official Statement: Norway resumes cooperation with Hungary through the EEA and Norway Grants (Norwegian Government)
Quick Brief:
Norway, Iceland and Liechtenstein plan to sign a €254.1 million funding agreement with Hungary in Budapest on 26 October
Péter Magyar’s government agreed on financial safeguards, resolving a dispute over independent fund management that blocked previous payments
The grants support democracy, press freedom, anti-corruption and the green transition. Norway supplies 97% of the funding
The agreement strengthens cooperation through the European Economic Area framework and follows the unlocking of EU funding after Hungarian reforms
Sources: Reuters, EEA and Norway Grants
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.
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National PoliticsSecurity & DefenceElectionsLiberalsMagdalena AnderssonSwedenUlf Kristersson

Sweden: After Slight Win of Andersson, Ringqvist Fails too to Form Government, Coalition Deadlock Continues

Sweden votes on 13 September in an increasingly close contest between the centre-left opposition and Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s governing bloc, amid concerns over foreign disinformation.
Update (26.10.2026): News: Sweden’s Centre Party leader returns mandate to form a government to parliamentary speaker amid coalition deadlock (Reuters)
Update (19.10.2026): News: Sweden’s Centre Party leader Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist tasked with exploring government formation (Reuters⁠)
Update (15.10.2026): News: Swedish parliament rejects Magdalena Andersson as prime minister (Swedish Parliament⁠)
Update (28.09.2026): News: Andersson fails to form Swedish government despite centre-left majority (Euronews⁠)
Update (25.09.2026): News: Sweden receives record number of challenges to election result amid vote-tampering allegations (Euractiv⁠)
Update (23.09.2026): Interview: Magdalena Andersson calls for stronger Swedish role in EU foreign policy (POLITICO⁠)
Update (21.09.2026): Analysis: 11 lessons for Europe from the far right’s failure in Sweden (POLITICO⁠)
Update (17.09.2026): Analysis: How Sweden’s far right stopped winning (Reuters⁠)
Update (17.09.2026): News: Sweden’s left wins razor-thin election victory (POLITICO⁠)
Update (15.09.2026): Analysis: Sweden Democrats’ ‘era of deportations’ leaves lasting mark across Europe (EUobserver⁠)
Update (15.09.2026): Analysis: Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist emerges as Sweden’s most powerful woman (POLITICO⁠)
Update (14.09.2026): Interview: Expert warns Sweden faces ‘very messy’ political situation after election (YouTube⁠)
Update (14.09.2026): News: Preliminary results give Swedish opposition three-seat majority (AP⁠)
Update (14.09.2026): Analysis: Sweden’s election remains very close (Euractiv⁠)
Update (13.09.2026): News: Early poll suggests Swedes reject far-right party in election (EUobserver⁠)
Update (11.09.2026): Analysis: Sweden’s fractured left holds narrow lead ahead of election (Reuters⁠)
Update (10.09.2026): Analysis: Sweden’s election could bring far right into heart of government (Reuters⁠)
Update (10.09.2026): News: Sweden warns Russia is targeting elections in France and Germany with disinformation (POLITICO⁠)
Update (09.09.2026): Analysis: Swedish Voter Barometer (Novus⁠)
Quick Brief:
Swedes will elect the Riksdag as well as regional and municipal councils on 13 September, with Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson seeking another term
The centre-left led by Social Democrat Magdalena Andersson remains ahead, but the governing right-wing bloc has narrowed the gap significantly in recent polls
The Liberals could be decisive: a recent Novus poll puts them at 4.3%, just above the 4% threshold needed to remain in parliament - potentially improving Kristersson’s chances of retaining power
The election also takes place under heightened security concerns. Swedish authorities say Russia is not prioritising the vote, but pro-Russian networks have already spread fabricated claims about electoral fraud
Sources: EUobserver⁠, Reuters⁠, Swedish Election Authority⁠
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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Energy PolicyEuropean GovernanceForeign PolicyInside EuropeSecurity & DefenceUkraineEuropean UnionJuraj BlanárRussiaSlovakia

Orbán Is Gone: Slovakia Is Now Putin’s Trojan Horse within the EU

Slovakia is emerging as Moscow’s principal EU partner after Orbán’s election defeat, reviving bilateral cooperation while raising questions about European unity over Russia.
Update (26.10.2026): News: Slovakia’s Foreign Minister Juraj Blanár meets Sergei Lavrov in Moscow to revive economic cooperation, particularly in energy, and offers Bratislava as a venue for Ukraine peace talks (Reuters, TASR)
Quick Brief:
Fico says the Slovak-Russian cooperation commission will meet in Moscow on 25 November, its first session since 2021
A Russian note lists energy, culture and Russian athletes among the topics. POLITICO could not independently authenticate it
Foreign Minister Juraj Blanár defends pragmatic dialogue, while Bratislava argues that abandoning Russian energy would be costly
Closer ties could weaken EU unity over Ukraine and energy policy, though restarting the forum does not change sanctions
Sources: POLITICO⁠, Slovak Foreign Ministry⁠, Reuters⁠
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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Europe in the worldGeopoliticsSecurity & DefenceHouthisMakkah Joint Defense AgreementMeccaPakistanSaudi ArabiaSunni NATOTurkeyYemen

“Sunni NATO” Moves Into Action

Saudi Arabia, Türkiye and Pakistan activated their new Makkah defense alliance, agreeing on 5 October to rapidly deploy military forces and capabilities to Saudi Arabia.
Update (26.10.2026): News: Senior officials from Mecca Pact countries meet Iranian representatives in Tehran (Reuters)
Quick Brief:
The Makkah Joint Defense Agreement treats an attack on one member as an attack on all, prompting comparisons to a “Sunni NATO”
Following attacks on Saudi Arabia, the alliance agreed to deploy agreed forces and military capabilities to the kingdom rapidly
Türkiye and Pakistan are providing military support, but direct combat deployments inside Yemen have not been confirmed
The alliance links Saudi Arabia, NATO member Türkiye and nuclear-armed Pakistan, potentially reshaping regional security and deterrence
Sources: Saudi Press Agency⁠, Pakistan Ministry of Foreign Affairs⁠, Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs⁠, Reuters⁠
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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European LawSports and PoliticsEuropean CommissionFIFAUEFA

Infantino Under Fire, but Support for Him Grows Before Reelection

The European Commission has warned that FIFA's planned sale of commercial rights linked to the FIFA World Cup could violate EU competition law.
Update (24.10.2026): News: FIFA President Gianni Infantino says he has the backing of the “vast majority” (BBC Sport)
Update (23.10.2026): News: Asian Football Confederation pledges support for FIFA president (Reuters)
Update (15.10.2026): News: European football officials challenge Infantino’s FIFA leadership (The Guardian⁠)
Update (21.09.2026): News: Infantino says he is open to talks over FIFA reform (BBC⁠)
Update (06.09.2026): News: Infantino wants another term as FIFA president (BBC Sport⁠)
Update (27.08.2026): UEFA prepares case against Infantino (Sky Sports)
Update (10.08.2026): Infantino faces growing opposition (ZEIT)
Update (03.08.2026): Infantino under scrutiny on investment deal (ZEIT)
Update (01.08.2026): Gianni Infantino ‘has lost UEFA’s confidence’ (The Guardian)
Update (01.08.2026): FIFA chief Infantino abandons World Cup sell-off plans after threat of future World Championship boycott by UEFA (DW)
Update (July 30, 2026): UEFA to hold emergency meeting today over FIFA plan to sell $4bn stake (Sky News UK)
Quick Brief:
The Commission raised concerns over FIFA's planned commercial rights sale
EU officials warned the process may restrict competition and market access
FIFA could face regulatory scrutiny if the sale breaches EU antitrust rules
The case highlights the EU's willingness to apply competition law to major global sporting organisations
Source: Euractiv
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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Media and JournalismRule of LawTurkeyBroadcastingCafer MahiroğluHalk TVIstanbulOppositionPolice

Press Concerns in Turkey Intensify

Turkish authorities have taken control of opposition-friendly broadcaster Halk TV, prompting press freedom concerns and calls from a European lawmaker for EU action.
Update (25.10.2026): Report: Turkey ranks 163rd out of 180 countries in their 2026 Press Freedom Index (RSF)
Update (25.10.2026): Report: 90% of Türkiye’s national media outlets are under government control, according to Reporters Without Borders (RSF)
Update (24.10.2026): News: Thousands protest in Turkey against journalists’ arrests and media shutdowns (France 24)
Quick Brief:
Police raided Halk TV’s Istanbul headquarters on 14 October. A government-appointed trustee took control, interrupting live broadcasts
Prosecutors cited alleged bribery, tender-rigging and money laundering involving chairman Cafer Mahiroğlu. Eleven people were detained following orders targeting 17
Mahiroğlu denied the allegations and called the takeover politically motivated. Halk TV is a prominent critic of Erdoğan’s government
On 15 October, MEP Özlem Alev Demirel condemned the takeover and urged the European Commission to act. Her statement does not represent a collective EU position
Sources: BBC News⁠, Halk TV⁠, Özlem Alev Demirel⁠
Transparency Note: Use of AI
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From Digital Readiness to Economic Results in Hungary

Policy Paper

This analysis discovers Hungary’s digital ecosystem, revealing its strengths and weaknesses. By connecting quantitative data about the country’s digital economy sectors with the broader geopolitical context, the analysis describes how a well-strategized improvement in Hungary’s digital economy could lead to geopolitical leverage, not only in the Danube region but also in the European Union. By connecting Western capital with the Eastern growth market, the state could overcome the main challenge most countries face in the case of the digital economy and evolve from an agenda-taker to an agenda-setter actor, with increased leverage within the European Union.

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Venezuela: The country at the intersection of the Monroe Doctrine and energy dominance

Policy Paper

The United States’ action in Venezuela in early January sparked lively debate around the world, focusing primarily on the country’s oil reserves and their future. Our analysis also fits into this narrative, examining the events in Venezuela and the possible chain reactions of US intervention in light of Washington’s pursuit of energy dominance. We hypothesize that, for Washington, Venezuela’s oil reserves could bring more than just influence over the global price of crude oil. At the regional level, the US could increase its influence over Cuba, while also appearing to defuse the territorial conflict between Venezuela and Guyana, which has become increasingly heated in recent years. At the global level, bringing Venezuela’s oil wealth under US control could be part of a strategy to strengthen the US position vis-à-vis both OPEC and China, the world’s largest oil importer. Moreover, developments could even have an impact on Russia. America’s push for energy dominance of this kind, as well as the occurrence and impact of its possible chain reactions, depends on several factors, starting with the resolution of security, economic, and oil sector issues in Venezuela, as well as the level of control America may be able to gain over other OPEC members, such as Iraq or Iran.

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No Autonomy Without Access: Europe’s Maritime Dependence and the Limits of Strategic Autonomy

Policy Paper

Strategic autonomy has become the EU’s shorthand for greater agency, but at sea autonomy depends first on access. Europe’s economy and security rely on sea-borne trade, maritime chokepoints, and seabed infrastructure that carries energy and data; these arteries can be disrupted cheaply and ambiguously below the threshold of open conflict. The paper asks to what extent EU maritime strategic autonomy relies on security provisions outside EU control and what institutional and operational steps can reduce this vulnerability. It develops a conceptual framework linking strategic autonomy to sea-power thinking and weaponized interdependence, treating chokepoints and seabed systems as leverage sites where disruption quickly generates economic risk and political urgency. The analysis finds that EU maritime governance tools and mission-based operations can mitigate crises but does not yet provide a durable, multi-theatre access guarantee. High-end enablers (ISR, logistics, command integration, surge) remain largely U.S.-enabled through NATO. The paper proposes recalibrating autonomy as layered access management: Sense (domain awareness and attribution), Shield (resilience, redundancy, rapid repair and legal clarity), and Surge (readiness and pre-agreed force packages), increasing Europe’s contribution while staying NATO-compatible. Key words: strategic autonomy; maritime security; seabed infrastructure, interdependence

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The (im)possible mission of holding Frontex accountable – An analysis of the different direct fundamental rights accountability mechanisms.

Bachelor Thesis

Border protection and control is a human rights sensitive field and Frontex, the European Border and Coast Guard Agency, is working in it. Thus, there is a need to give a possibility to hold Frontex accountability if it breaches fundamental rights. After all, as stated by Article 47 of the Charter, “[everyone] whose rights and freedoms guaranteed by the law of the Union are violated has the right to an effective remedy before a tribunal”. Although the importance of accountability is undisputable, holding Frontex accountable is easier said than done. This is due to the Agency only coordinating and organising with Member States and supporting them. Besides the option to hold the Agency directly accountable before the Court of Justice, there is only one internal mechanism allowing victims to complain directly to the Agency, but all of these possibilities have one thing in common, namely that their effectiveness is disputed. This includes criticisms on the access to the mechanisms, them not considering the vulnerable position of the refugees and their impartiality, which makes it relevant to raise the question: How can the external and internal direct accountability mechanisms of the European Border and Coast Guard Agency be evaluated in light of the way they operate and the challenges they face in ensuring accountability for fundamental rights violations? In order to answer this question, the essay will first have a closer look at the external accountability through CJEU Actions and then discuss internal accountability through the Individual Complaint Mechanism. In their respective chapters, the accountability mechanisms will be described, analysed and tested against the research question. The analysis will make it possible to conclude on the question posed and to offer recommendations for the improvement of the mechanisms.

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Die Konstruktion von Öffentlichkeit in der digitalen EU-Bürgerbeteiligungsplattform

Term Paper

Wie verändert sich Öffentlichkeit, wenn politische Diskussionen auf staatlich geschaffene digitale Plattformen verlagert werden? Am Beispiel der EU-Bürgerbeteiligungsplattform analysiert diese Arbeit, ob hier tatsächlich neue Räume für öffentliche Aushandlung entstehen – oder ob die Vorgaben und Moderation eher eine gelenkte Form von Öffentlichkeit schaffen. Im Fokus stehen die Chancen, Grenzen und der konkrete Nutzen solcher Plattformen für die politische Teilhabe. Ziel ist es, neue Perspektiven für die Analyse und Gestaltung digitaler Öffentlichkeiten zu eröffnen. How does the concept of the public sphere change when political discussions are shifted to state-created digital platforms? Using the example of the EU citizen participation platform, this paper analyses whether truly new spaces for public deliberation are emerging, – or whether official guidelines and moderation are instead creating a steered form of publicness. The focus is on opportunities, limitations, and tangible benefits of such platforms for political participation. The aim is to open up new perspectives for analyzing and shaping digital public spheres

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Krieg in Europa: Russlands „Militärische Spezialoperation“

Bachelor Thesis

The Russian attack on Ukraine on 24 February 2022 marks a serious turning point in the European security order and raises fundamental questions about the causes of international conflicts. This thesis examines the motives behind Russia’s so-called ‘special military operation’ on the basis of two central theories of international relations: neorealism and constructivism. With the help of a theory-led congruence analysis, the extent to which these theories can contribute to explaining Russia’s behaviour is analysed. (German Original) Der russische Angriff auf die Ukraine am 24. Februar 2022 markiert eine gravierende Zäsur in der europäischen Sicherheitsordnung und wirft fundamentale Fragen über die Ursachen internationaler Konflikte auf. Diese Arbeit untersucht die Beweggründe für die sogenannte „militärische Spezialoperation“ Russlands auf Grundlage zweier zentraler Theorien der Internationalen Beziehungen: dem Neorealismus und dem Konstruktivismus. Mithilfe einer theoriegeleiteten Kongruenzanalyse wird analysiert, inwiefern diese Theorien zur Erklärung des russischen Verhaltens beitragen können.

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The Colonized Connection and International Irishness

Master Thesis

Throughout the summer of 2023, Ireland’s citizens and political leaders alike were largely in agreement on the issue of Israel and Palestine, and specifically, that Ireland needed to do more to assist in reaching a solution to the conflict. As a traditionally isolationist, neutral state on Europe’s periphery, Ireland has traditionally not concerned itself with the actions of other states so far away from its borders – fearful of appearing partial. Yet upon closer inspection, this recent round of debate (on this occasion sparked by Israel’s incursion into Jenin Refugee Camp in July) represents simply the latest development of Ireland’s historic sympathies and moral support with the people of Palestine. What makes this occasion unique, however, is that Ireland’s political leaders are in agreement that the Emerald Isle must do more. As other European neutrals abandon their neutrality for NATO membership, Ireland’s leaders may be correct. The current thesis aimed to explore how the Republic of Ireland’s national identity is undergoing a transformation through foreign policy discourses. It is believed that Ireland’s political leadership are utilising the Israel- Palestine conflict, one with which Ireland can identify with, to change its national identity away from a passive neutral state on Europe’s periphery to an international moral superpower – that can truly demonstrate the power of active neutrality. The current thesis adopts a historicist-social constructivist lens and utilises Ruth Wodak’s DHA variant of CDA to analyse the discourse of Ireland’s top politicians surrounding two case study events roughly two decades apart. These events were the 2002 ‘Battle for Jenin’ and the 2023 ‘Jenin Incursion.’ It was believed that by examining the discourse surrounding these two events, one may understand how Ireland’s political leadership is changing Ireland’s neutral foreign policy, and thus national identity, from passive to active – and from isolated to moral superpower. To examine the extent that Ireland may be positioning itself to be the EU’s moral superpower, a brief illustrative case study comparison with Austria is adopted. The adoption of this case study provided the author with the opportunity to discuss how Ireland’s political leadership is contributing to this transformation. Though Ireland may be some time away from fully realising this identity, a difference was observed in the discourse of both sets of Irish politicians, twenty years apart. Ireland now realises its ability to influence the world on such matters, and has confidence in its ability to lead on foreign policy issues.

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Your Academic Submission

Term Paper

The abstract is one of the most important components of your article. It provides readers with a concise and accurate summary of your work and helps them quickly understand the purpose, scope, and results of your research. A strong abstract should clearly present the central research question or problem your article addresses, outline the methodology you used, summarize your key findings, and highlight the broader implications or relevance of your study within the field of European or international affairs. When writing your abstract, use clear and precise academic language. Aim to make it understandable as a stand-alone text, without requiring the reader to consult the full article for context or clarification. Do not include any references, footnotes, or citations. Avoid using abbreviations, unless they are widely recognized and absolutely necessary, and always write them out in full the first time they appear. The ideal length of an abstract submitted to European Relations is between 150 and 250 words. Submissions exceeding or falling short of this range may be returned for revision. Authors are welcome to write their abstract in either English, German or French, the primary publication languages of our platform. In addition to the abstract text, please include 5 keywords listed directly below the abstract. These keywords should reflect the core themes, regions, and topics covered in your article. They are essential for proper indexing and help increase the visibility of your work in academic databases and search engines. By following these guidelines, authors ensure that their work is accessible to a broader academic and policy-oriented audience, increasing its impact and reach within the European Relations community.

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Viability & Implementation of European Strategic Autonomy in Defence

Policy Paper

Recent remarks and long-held positions by former and current US officials have underscored the urgency of European nations meeting their defense spending commitments within NATO . Such statements have reignited debates regarding Europe’s capacity to guarantee its security independently, against the backdrop of the two year anniversary and the decade long struggle for peace in the War in Ukraine, taking place in a political climate of election outcome uncertainty within the Alliance in 2024. European States have committed themselves to boost defense capabilities, increase defense budgets and further cooperation , which has in fact led to a „unprecedented rise“ of 11% in defense spending in 2023 alone. The internal sovereignty of the EU’s member states and their vastly different capabilities and policies on security however, together with the integration of NATO, of most EU Member states, have formed a vague and ambiguous system that guarantees strategic and territorial security within the mutual defense clauses of the NATO Framework, but doesn’t for see or stipulate a joint European force or alternative, despite the long term objectives found in the EUGS . Cooperation in a collective 5 defense strategy still remains contentious and efforts to ensure efficiency and interoperability remain limited. This policy paper examines the viability of establishing a joint EU coordinating force based on existing structures to integrate member states’ militaries more effectively. While advocating for this approach as the primary recommendation, alternative policy options will also be explored.

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