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German State Elections: CDU out of state parliament; left-wing mayor in Berlin incoming?

Voters in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania head to the polls on 20 September, putting Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s CDU under renewed pressure two weeks after the AfD’s breakthrough in Saxony-Anhalt.
© Photo by Mark König/Unsplash/ (Flag of Germany.)


Update (08.10.2026): Berlin’s Left Party, SPD and Greens agree exploratory coalition talks (Reuters)

Update (22.09.2026): Analysis: Merz faces dilemma over whether to redraft or defend Germany’s economic reforms (POLITICO⁠)

Update (22.09.2026): Commentary: Germany’s political crisis raises a new question for Europe (Euractiv⁠)

Update (21.09.2026): News: Merz vows to keep coalition together for Germany’s ‘democratic future’ (BBC⁠)

Update (21.09.2026): Analysis: Germany’s political centre under pressure (European Relations⁠)

Update (20.09.2026): News: Merz vows to keep fighting AfD after far-right victory in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, CDU falls out of state parliament in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania (POLITICO⁠)

Update (20.09.2026): News: Merz calls CDU’s worst postwar state election result a ‘disaster’ but vows to continue reforms (Reuters⁠)

Update (20.09.2026): News: AfD edges SPD in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania as Berlin swings left and CDU suffers losses in both states (Euractiv⁠)

Quick Brief:

Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania vote on the same day, electing new state parliaments in the latest major tests of Germany’s shifting political landscape

In Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the AfD is leading while Merz’s CDU is polling around 6%, putting it at risk of a historically weak result and potentially even missing the 5% threshold

In Berlin, the Left Party leads the race, while the AfD has also gained support. Housing shortages and high rents have emerged as major issues for voters

The elections come after the AfD won 43.8% in Saxony-Anhalt on 6 September, intensifying pressure on Merz and the established parties’ refusal to form coalitions with the AfD

Sources: Reuters⁠, Federal Returning Officer⁠, Euractiv

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