Update (22.10.2026): Commentary: Trump’s proposed deals with Russia raise questions over Europe’s role and Ukraine’s sovereignty (ECFR)
Quick Brief:
Congressional powers: The 3 November elections determine control of Congress. New majorities could strengthen oversight, while the president retains substantial foreign-policy authority
Ukraine and defence: Delays or withholding of approved US funding complicate European planning for Ukraine, security and development assistance
Trade relations: US tariffs remain a source of transatlantic tension, with Russian energy imports creating additional exposure to American pressure
European preparedness: The report identifies contingency funding, reduced Russian energy dependence and coordinated trade responses as ways to manage continued uncertainty
Sources: ECFR, US Government Accountability Office, USAGov
Transparency Note: Prepared with AI assistance.