Published on 1 October, the study draws on 14 Levada-Center focus groups held in four Russian cities between April and August 2026, as well as opinion surveys. The groups are not nationally representative
Participants generally expect Russia to prevail but struggle to define victory. Economic anxiety and war fatigue have not translated into readiness to challenge the Kremlin
Europe increasingly replaces the US as the main perceived adversary. Participants rarely connect European opposition to Russia’s invasion, yet many expect relations with Europe eventually to improve
The authors urge Europe to combine security measures with support for independent Russian-language media, civil society and carefully safeguarded contacts, avoiding blanket condemnation of all Russians
Sources: ECFR – Bewitched sleep: Russians’ views on Ukraine and the world
Transparency Note: Use of AI