On 8 October, Burnham met Chancellor Friedrich Merz in Berlin. They completed ratification of the Kensington Treaty, signed in July 2025
The new partnership will strengthen information sharing and coordinated responses to hybrid threats, particularly from Russia, while protecting critical infrastructure
Burnham expressed solidarity following the attempted Russian drone attack at Leipzig airport. Both leaders reaffirmed support for Ukraine and continued pressure on Moscow
Cooperation also covers technology, space and industry. Burnham called for a stronger UK-EU partnership ahead of this year’s summit, without announcing an agreement on EU membership
Sources: BBC News, UK Government, German Federal Government
Transparency Note: Use of AI
More Quick Briefs:
·Inside Europe·National Politics·AfD·Berlin·CDU·Friedrich Merz·Germany·Left Party·Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania
·Inside Europe·National Politics·AfD·Berlin·CDU·Friedrich Merz·Germany·Left Party·Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania
German State Elections: CDU out of state parliament; left-wing mayor in Berlin incoming? ↗︎
Voters in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania head to the polls on 20 September, putting Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s CDU under renewed pressure two weeks after the AfD’s breakthrough in Saxony-Anhalt.
→Update (08.10.2026): Berlin's Left Party, SPD and Greens agree exploratory coalition talks (Reuters)
→Update (22.09.2026): Analysis: Merz faces dilemma over whether to redraft or defend Germany’s economic reforms (POLITICO)
→Update (22.09.2026): Commentary: Germany’s political crisis raises a new question for Europe (Euractiv)
→Update (21.09.2026): News: Merz vows to keep coalition together for Germany’s ‘democratic future’ (BBC)
→Update (21.09.2026): Analysis: Germany’s political centre under pressure (European Relations)
→Update (20.09.2026): News: Merz vows to keep fighting AfD after far-right victory in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, CDU falls out of state parliament in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania (POLITICO)
→Update (20.09.2026): News: Merz calls CDU’s worst postwar state election result a ‘disaster’ but vows to continue reforms (Reuters)
→Update (20.09.2026): News: AfD edges SPD in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania as Berlin swings left and CDU suffers losses in both states (Euractiv)
→Quick Brief:
→Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania vote on the same day, electing new state parliaments in the latest major tests of Germany’s shifting political landscape
→In Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the AfD is leading while Merz’s CDU is polling around 6%, putting it at risk of a historically weak result and potentially even missing the 5% threshold
→In Berlin, the Left Party leads the race, while the AfD has also gained support. Housing shortages and high rents have emerged as major issues for voters
→The elections come after the AfD won 43.8% in Saxony-Anhalt on 6 September, intensifying pressure on Merz and the established parties’ refusal to form coalitions with the AfD
→Sources: Reuters, Federal Returning Officer, Euractiv
→Transparency Note: Use of AI
·Education Policy·Inside Europe·Arrests·Belgium·Gathering Restrictions·Liège·Protests·Wallonia
·Education Policy·Inside Europe·Arrests·Belgium·Gathering Restrictions·Liège·Protests·Wallonia
Wallonia’s Education Protests Trigger Restrictions ↗︎
Students and school pupils across Wallonia are protesting rising education costs and reforms, while unrest in Liège has prompted sweeping restrictions on public gatherings.
→Hundreds have demonstrated in Liège and other cities in Wallonia. Protesters demand affordable education, better learning conditions and sufficient teachers
→Standard higher-education fees have risen from €835 to €1,194 this academic year, with income-based reductions and exemptions
→Police reported 107 arrests in Liège since 1 October, including 80 administrative detentions. Following violence and property damage, gatherings exceeding three people are restricted until 16 October, with exceptions
→French protests have encouraged the movement, but Belgian grievances predate them. Demonstrations in Mons remained peaceful, contrasting with unrest in Liège
→Sources: Reuters, Fédération Wallonie-Bruxelles, Qu4tre, Télé MB
→Transparency Note: Use of AI
·Education Policy·Inside Europe·Édouard Geffray·Fires·France·Property Damage·Riot Police·Schools·Student Protests·Unrest
·Education Policy·Inside Europe·Édouard Geffray·Fires·France·Property Damage·Riot Police·Schools·Student Protests·Unrest
French Student Protests Escalate Nationwide ↗︎
High school protests that began near Paris in late September have spread across France, as demands for better education conditions increasingly collide with violence and a tougher government response.
→Update (08.10.2026): News: French school blockades continue despite PM Sébastien Lecornu’s vague promises to address student demands (Reuters)
→Update (08.10.2026): News: French PM Sébastien Lecornu denies ordering police to confront student protesters (Rapporteur)
→Update (07.10.2026): Podcast: French government holds crisis talks over student protests (BBC)
→Update (06.10.2026): News: French PM Sébastien Lecornu condemns violence at student protests and promises a ‘timeout for democracy’ (RFI)
→Update (06.10.2026): News: France braces for nationwide school blockades and street protests (Reuters)
→Update (06.10.2026): News: Mélenchon doubles down on support for French student protests despite violent clashes (POLITICO)
→Update (05.10.2026): News: French Human Rights League warns police response to school protests reflects broader erosion of rule of law (RFI)
→Update (05.10.2026): News: Teenager loses hand during confrontation between French school protesters and police (BBC)
→Update (03.10.2026): News: French students call for ‘act three’ as school protests seek to maintain momentum (RFI)
→Update (03.10.2026): News: Protests disrupt more than 730 French schools as students call for new rallies (RFI)
→Update (02.10.2026): Interview: Student leader defends France’s school protests against claims of political manipulation (RadioFrance)
→Quick Brief:
→Students are demanding more teachers and funding, smaller classes and better school buildings, while also raising concerns about the university admissions system Parcoursup
→More than 1,000 of France’s roughly 3,700 high schools were affected by actions on 1 October, while around 400 were closed the following day
→Clashes, fires and property damage have accompanied parts of the movement, prompting the government to deploy specialist riot police
→The government says the protests have partly shifted into “urban violence.” Education Minister Édouard Geffray is meeting student and parent representatives, while authorities seek to contain the unrest
→Sources: Le Monde, BBC News
→Transparency Note: Use of AI
·Economic Policy·Inside Europe·Housing Crisis·Maricarmen Abascal·Matrid·Pedro Sánchez·Protests·Spain
·Economic Policy·Inside Europe·Housing Crisis·Maricarmen Abascal·Matrid·Pedro Sánchez·Protests·Spain
Spanish PM Sánchez Calls for Snap Elections for 29 November, Maricarmen is dead ↗︎
An 87-year-old Madrid pensioner whose eviction triggered protests can return to her longtime home, as her case adds pressure on Spain’s government to address the country’s wider housing crisis.
→Update (08.10.2026): News: Maricarmen, the 87-year-old woman whose eviction sparked major protests in Spain, dies in hospital (Euronews)
→Update (08.10.2026): News: Spain’s far-right Vox, led by Santiago Abascal, gains ground in election polls (POLITICO)
→Update (07.10.2026): News: Spanish unions call general strike for November 11, weeks before snap parliamentary election (Reuters)
→Update (06.10.2026): Analysis: Spanish election threatens political balance in Brussels as Sánchez’s Socialists face potential losses (POLITICO)
→Update (05.10.2026): Analysis: Sánchez bets on housing agenda to keep far right out of government in Spain’s snap election (EUobserver)
→Update (05.10.2026): News: Sánchez calls snap Spanish election for November 29 (POLITICO)
→Update (03.10.2026): News: Tens of thousands protest across Spain over deepening housing crisis (The Guardian)
→Update (02.10.2026): News: Sánchez loses key housing crisis vote after eviction of 87-year-old woman (BBC)
→Update (30.09.2026): Podcast: Did Spain’s government address protesters’ demands on housing? (EUobserver)
→Update (29.09.2026): News: Spain moves to stem housing protests (Rapporteur)
→Quick Brief:
→Maricarmen Abascal was evicted on 23 September from the Madrid apartment where she had lived for more than 70 years, turning her case into a symbol of Spain’s housing crisis
→The eviction prompted protests in Madrid, amid wider concerns over rising rents and access to affordable housing
→The property owner has agreed to let Abascal return under a new eight-year rental contract, with rent capped at 30% of her net income. She still has to approve the agreement formally
→Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez explicitly referred to Maricarmen’s case while calling for parliamentary support for new housing measures aimed at strengthening tenant protection and addressing Spain’s housing crisis
→Sources: BBC, Reuters, El País
→Transparency Note: Use of AI
·European Law·Human Rights·Migration·Asylum·European Commission·European Parliament·Return Hubs
·European Law·Human Rights·Migration·Asylum·European Commission·European Parliament·Return Hubs
EU Agrees on ‘Return Hubs’ for Rejected Asylum Seekers ↗︎
The EU reached a provisional agreement (01.06.2026) allowing member states to transfer rejected asylum seekers to return centres in third countries outside the bloc, marking a significant tightening of European migration policy.
→Update (08.10.2026): Analysis: EU return hubs raise concerns over human rights protections and compliance with international law (Euronews)
→Update (02.10.2026): News: EU ministers back return hubs and explore tougher measures against irregular migration (DW)
→Update (28.09.2026): News: EU ministers advance return-hub plans despite falling irregular border arrivals (EUobserver)
→Update (26.09.2026): News: European ministers discuss stronger border controls and fast-track migrant returns (AP)
→Update (June 24, 2026): EU countries eye setting up migrant ‘return hubs’ in Rwanda and Uzbekistan (Politico)
→June 03, 2026:
→Agreement permits creation of “return hubs” in non-EU countries for rejected asylum seekers
→Migrants could be transferred to countries with which they have no personal connection, provided agreements exist with host states
→New rules aim to increase deportation rates, as only about 20% of people ordered to leave the EU currently do so
→Human rights groups have warned that offshore return centres could create serious legal and humanitarian risks and weaken protections for migrants
→Sources: DW, Reuters
·Economic Policy·Monetary Policy·Security·Budget·Council of the EU·EU Borrowing·European Commission·General Affairs Council·Multiannual Financial Framework
·Economic Policy·Monetary Policy·Security·Budget·Council of the EU·EU Borrowing·European Commission·General Affairs Council·Multiannual Financial Framework
EU Budget Battle Intensifies ↗︎
Six fiscally conservative EU countries are demanding major cuts to Brussels’ proposed €2 trillion budget for 2028–2034, setting up a difficult fight over Europe’s future spending priorities. The 27 member states want to have a decision by the end of the year.
→Update (08.10.2026): Analysis: EU’s 2028-2034 budget proposal creates new conflicts over spending priorities and financial burden-sharing (SWP)
→Update (08.10.2026): News: EU auditors warn of major budget shortfall unless the EU introduces new sources of revenue (Rapporteur)
→Update (07.10.2026): News: Iran war shock expected to shrink next EU budget (Rapporteur)
→Update (06.10.2026): News: Von der Leyen rebukes EU budget frugals over demands for deeper spending cuts (Rapporteur)
→Update (29.09.2026): News: EU governments brace for €100 billion cut to long-term budget proposal (POLITICO)
→Update (29.09.2026): News: EU cuts funding for women’s rights groups amid wider budget reductions (EUobserver)
→Update (29.09.2026): News: MEPs back €47 billion in new Erasmus funding as frugal states seek EU budget cuts (EUobserver)
→Update (29.09.2026): Commentary: EU budget cuts risk hurting member states’ own regions (EUobserver)
→Update (29.09.2026): News: EU leaders battle over budget as Parliament prepares resistance (Rapporteur)
→Update (25.09.2026): News: 12 countries oppose French push for EU defence preference (Euractiv)
→Update (23.09.2026): News: EU governments consider cutting development aid by up to 40 percent (EUobserver)
→Update (23.09.2026): News: Greece proposes EU-wide telecoms levy to fund budget and high-tech investment (Euractiv)
→Update (22.09.2026): News: France opposes cuts to foreign aid in next EU budget (POLITICO)
→Update (22.09.2026): News: Results of the General Affairs Council (Irish EU Presidency)
→Update (22.09.2026): News: France opposes cuts to foreign aid in next EU budget (POLITICO)
→Update (22.09.2026): News: Germany rejects Costa’s push for new EU budget taxes (POLITICO)
→Update (22.09.2026): News: EU ministers meet in Brussels for General Affairs Council (Council of the EU)
→Update (21.09.2026): Analysis: EU budget could strengthen rule of law safeguards but member states may blunt reforms (CER)
→Update (21.09.2026): News: Costa says EU budget needs new taxes governments are not already raising (POLITICO)
→Update (18.09.2026): News: Germany and Spain go head-to-head in EU budget fight (POLITICO)
→Update (17.09.2026): News: MEPs deadlocked over CAP’s place in next EU budget (Euractiv)
→Update (15.09.2026): News: Metsola urges Europe’s political centre to hold against extremes (Euractiv)
→Update (14.09.2026): News: EU plans cuts to staff and salaries in next long-term budget (POLITICO)
→Update (14.09.2026): News: EU countries split over scale of long-term budget cuts (Euractiv)
→Update (09.09.2026): News: Germany calls for hundreds of billions in EU budget cuts (Reuters)
→Update (09.09.2026): News: Costa says new EU taxes would reduce national contributions (POLITICO)
→Update (08.09.2026): News: France backs business tax to fund EU budget (Euractiv)
→Update (07.09.2026): News: Le Pen backs tobacco retailers against EU tax hikes (Euractiv)
→Update (07.09.2026): News: Ireland secures EU tax deal on carbon imports and e-waste (POLITICO)
→Update (04.09.2026): News: Spain urges EU climate adaptation fund and binding targets (Reuters)
→Update (04.09.2026): Commentary: EU budget could loosen China’s grip on critical raw materials (Euronews)
→Update (03.09.2026): News: EU budget negotiators criticise frugal states over cuts (EUobserver)
→Update (03.09.2026): Interview: Lithuania says eastern flank needs must shape EU budget (Euractiv)
→Update (02.09.2026): News: Spain worried by EU budget debate (Euractiv)
→Update (02.09.2026): News: EU budget camps remain deadlocked (EUobserver)
→Update (31.08.2026): News: Ireland seeks to break EU budget deadlock (POLITICO)
→Update (27.08.2026): Europe’s defence promise meets budget reality (ECFR)
→Quick Brief:
→Germany, Denmark, the Netherlands, Austria, Finland and Sweden want cuts of several hundred billion euros
→The European Commission has proposed a nearly €2 trillion seven-year budget for 2028–2034
→The six still want priority spending on defence, competitiveness, migration and European sovereignty
→They reject new joint EU borrowing and demand cuts across spending areas as national budgets face consolidation
→Sources: Euractiv, Reuters, Council of the EU
→Transparency Note: Use of AI
·International Right·National Politics·Security·Ukraine·War in Ukraine·24 February 2022·Diplomacy·Hard Winter·Russia·USA
·International Right·National Politics·Security·Ukraine·War in Ukraine·24 February 2022·Diplomacy·Hard Winter·Russia·USA
Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine ↗︎
More than four years after Russia launched its full-scale invasion, Ukraine continues to resist as the war has evolved from Moscow’s failed attempt at a rapid victory into a prolonged conflict with no political settlement in sight.
→Update (08.10.2026): Analysis: Europe’s far-right surge threatens NATO defence spending commitments and continued military aid to Ukraine (POLITICO)
→Update (07.10.2026): Analysis: Russian mass drone and missile strikes across Ukraine kill or injure at least 135 civilians, including four children (ISW)
→Update (06.10.2026): Analysis: Ukraine deploys AI-controlled machine-gun turrets against Russian jet-powered drones over Kyiv (EUobserver)
→Update (05.10.2026): Analysis: Russian drone strike injures Moldovan citizen for first time at Ukraine-Moldova border crossing (ISW)
→Update (04.10.2026): News: Kyiv bridge hit during German Chancellor’s snap visit (Rapporteur)
→Update (04.10.2026): Interview: EU envoy in Kyiv urges stronger air defences and hybrid war response, saying Putin ‘understands only strength’ (EUobserver)
→Update (03.10.2026): Analysis: Russia strikes Kyiv bridge to disrupt transport, economy and civilian life (ISW)
→Update (02.10.2026): Analysis: Ukraine deploys domestically produced FP-7 ballistic missile for first time (EUobserver)
→Update (02.10.2026): Analysis: Putin portrays European responses to Russian threats as aggression (ISW)
→Update (02.10.2026): Analysis: Russia governs occupied Oleshky through humanitarian decline (ISW)
→Update (30.09.2026): Analysis: Russia begins winter campaign targeting Ukraine’s energy security (ISW)
→Update (30.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s war chest is running low at a critical moment (POLITICO)
→Update (30.09.2026): News: Russian air strikes kill three and injure seven in and around Kyiv (Reuters, MarketScreener)
→Update (29.09.2026): Analysis: Russian drone strikes Kyiv research institute and explodes near EU embassy (EUobserver)
→Update (29.09.2026): News: Zelenskyy says North Korea prepares to deploy another 10,000 troops to Russia (Reuters)
→Update (28.09.2026): News: Ukraine regains territory and captures POWs in frontline push (POLITICO)
→Update (28.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi uses deception to liberate five settlements north of Lyman (ISW)
→Update (28.09.2026): News: Kremlin says Ukraine is ‘paying the price’ for attacks on Russia (Reuters)
→Update (26.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s new counteroffensive tactics could help break positional warfare and restore tactical maneuver (ISW)
→Update (25.09.2026): Analysis: Russia intensifies strikes on Ukraine’s data centres and telecommunications infrastructure (ISW)
→Update (24.09.2026): News: Russian missile attack on Kyiv kills civilians and damages residential areas (Reuters)
→Update (23.09.2026): Analysis: Russian tank survives 40 drone strikes, suggesting mechanised warfare could make comeback (EUobserver)
→Update (23.09.2026): Analysis: Kremlin rejects proposed energy ceasefire and reiterates maximalist war demands (ISW)
→Update (23.09.2026): Analysis: Kremlin uses sham elections to manufacture legitimacy in occupied Ukraine (ISW)
→Update (22.09.2026): News: Ukraine races to counter new jet-powered Russian drones (BBC)
→Update (22.09.2026): Analysis: Russian Ministry of Defense falsely claims encirclement of Dobropillya as part of cognitive warfare campaign (ISW)
→Update (22.09.2026): Analysis: Western tech helps funnel foreign recruits into Russia’s war (POLITICO)
→Update (21.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s largest Moscow air raid overwhelms defences and hits key oil refinery (EUobserver)
→Update (20.09.2026): Analysis: Russia secretly plans to massively expand kamikaze drone production (POLITICO)
→Update (20.09.2026): News: Ukrainian drones hit Moscow oil refinery, killing two (Reuters)
→Update (19.09.2026): Analysis: Russian Ministry of Defense exaggerates battlefield gains ahead of UN General Assembly (ISW)
→Update (18.09.2026): Analysis: Tusk reveals classified estimates of Ukrainian battlefield casualties (EUobserver)
→Update (18.09.2026): Analysis: Kremlin denies post-election mobilization amid fears of public backlash (ISW)
→Update (18.09.2026): Podcast: Ukraine faces mounting pressure ahead of wartime winter (ECFR)
→Update (17.09.2026): Analysis: Russia pushes to capture Dobropillia before autumn conditions worsen (EUobserver)
→Update (17.09.2026): Analysis: Russia continues deporting Ukrainian female political prisoners to distant penal colonies (ISW)
→Update (17.09.2026): News: Russia targets passenger trains to undermine Ukraine’s economy and morale (POLITICO)
→Update (16.09.2026): Analysis: Ukrainian forces reportedly advance beyond Zherebets River (EUobserver)
→Update (16.09.2026): Analysis: Putin frames Duma elections as referendum on Ukraine war (ISW)
→Update (15.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine hits record number of Russian refineries as Trump pushes energy ceasefire (EUobserver)
→Update (15.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi disrupts Russia’s Fortress Belt encirclement (ISW)
→Update (14.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine races to counter Russia’s jet-powered drones (POLITICO)
→Update (14.09.2026): Analysis: Zelensky reiterates readiness for mutual energy strikes moratorium (ISW)
→Update (13.09.2026): Analysis: Russian strikes near Polish border signal growing escalation (ISW)
→Update (12.09.2026): Analysis: Ukraine disrupts Russia’s Donbas offensive plans (ISW)
→Update (13.09.2026): Analysis: Anthropic AI joins Ukraine war after Russian exploitation (EUobserver)
→Update (11.09.2026): Analysis: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment (ISW)
→Update (10.09.2026): Analysis: Russia spent over €110bn on Ukraine war so far in 2026 (EUobserver)
→Update (10.09.2026): Analysis: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment (ISW)
→Update (10.09.2026): Analysis: Russian Occupation Update (ISW)
→Update (10.09.2026): Analysis: Zelenskyy gambles on pressure to force Putin into peace talks (POLITICO)
→Update (09.09.2026): Analysis: Russia’s claimed Kharkiv encirclement lacks evidence (EUobserver)
→Update (09.09.2026): News: Zelenskyy’s plane nearly hit by drone en route to Oslo (Euronews)
→Quick Brief:
→Russia launched its full-scale invasion on 24 February 2022, expecting rapid military gains, but its attempt to seize Kyiv failed as Ukrainian forces resisted
→The failed initial offensive developed into a long war of attrition, with Russia occupying Ukrainian territory while Ukraine continues to defend itself and strike Russian military and economic targets
→Winter has repeatedly intensified pressure on civilians: Russia has systematically targeted Ukraine’s electricity and heating infrastructure, causing widespread outages and disruption
→Diplomacy has not ended the war: renewed US-led efforts have so far failed to bridge fundamental differences between Moscow and Kyiv, while Russian military operations continue
→Sources: UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine, Reuters, Associated Press
→Transparency Note: Use of AI
·National Politics·AfD·Firewall·Saxony-Anhalt·State Elections
·National Politics·AfD·Firewall·Saxony-Anhalt·State Elections
AfD Wins Historic State Victory ↗︎
The AfD has won a historic victory in Saxony-Anhalt, dramatically shifting the political balance in eastern Germany while falling short of the majority needed to govern alone.
→Update (07.10.2026): News: AfD’s Tobias Rausch elected Saxony-Anhalt parliament president with four additional votes beyond AfD and BSW, raising suspicions of CDU support and fuelling concerns over a possible split within the CDU parliamentary group (Tagesschau, Reuters)
→Update (06.10.2026): News: Germany’s governing SPD stages protest march to Berlin’s Bebelplatz, site of the 1933 Nazi book burnings, after AfD’s election victory in Saxony-Anhalt; Defence Minister Pistorius leads singing of national anthem (SPD)
→Update (06.10.2026): News: AfD seeks Saxony-Anhalt parliament presidency as BSW support could secure majority (Euronews)
→Update (10.09.2026): Commentary: Saxony-Anhalt election strengthens Russia and East German nostalgia (Euractiv)
→Update (10.09.2026): Commentary: AfD victory could amplify Euroscepticism in France (Le Monde)
→Update (09.09.2026): News: Merz goes on offensive against AfD after Saxony-Anhalt defeat (Euractiv)
→Update (09.09.2026): News: Merz calls AfD’s anti-migration policy “ethnic cleansing” (Reuters)
→Update (09.09.2026): Analysis: SPD rebels against Merz after far-right rout (POLITICO)
→Update (08.09.2026): Analysis: Merz’s political crisis threatens Germany’s leadership in Europe (ECFR)
→Update (08.09.2026): Analysis: AfD victory raises concerns in Poland over German military rearming (POLITICO)
→Update (08.09.2026): Analysis: Germany debates whether to ban the AfD (EUobserver)
→Update (08.09.2026): Analysis: Merz appears to have no plan against AfD (POLITICO)
→Update (07.09.2026): Interview: Roma rights defender warns AfD victory normalises hatred of minorities (EUobserver)
→Update (07.09.2026): Analysis: AfD explores paths to govern Saxony-Anhalt (Deutsche Welle)
→Update (07.09.2026): Commentary: AfD landslide reshapes German politics (La Vanguardia)
→Update (06.09.2026): Analysis: AfD victory sends a warning to Europe (Svenska Dagbladet)
→Update (06.09.2026): Commentary: AfD rule could put Germany’s economy to the test (Deutsche Welle)
→Update (06.09.2026): Analysis: Will AfD remain this radical after its victory? (Ilta-Sanomat)
→Update (06.09.2026): Analysis: AfD victory raises doubts over Merz as chancellor (DER SPIEGEL)
→Update (06.09.2026): Analysis: Saxony-Anhalt could end Germany’s firewall against AfD (G4Media)
→Update (06.09.2026): Commentary: AfD surge is a victory for Russia (The Telegraph)
→Quick Brief:
→The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) won 43.8%, its strongest result in any German state election and more than double its 2021 share
→Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s CDU fell to 17.2%, losing more than half its previous support after governing Saxony-Anhalt since 2002
→Despite its victory, the AfD secured 39 of 83 seats, three short of an absolute majority. Other established parties have ruled out governing with it
→The result puts Germany’s political “firewall” against cooperation with the AfD under new pressure, as the remaining parties face a difficult path to forming a government without it
→Sources: Euractiv, Reuters, ZDF
→Transparency Note: Use of AI
·EU Enlargement·Geopolitics·Inside Europe·EU Council·European Union·Hungary·Minority rights·Moldova·Ukraine
·EU Enlargement·Geopolitics·Inside Europe·EU Council·European Union·Hungary·Minority rights·Moldova·Ukraine
Hungary Eases Block on Ukraine Talks ↗︎
Hungary has cleared a procedural hurdle in Ukraine’s EU accession talks, while further progress remains conditional on stronger minority education rights.
→On 7 October, Hungary allowed preparations to advance for two negotiating clusters covering the internal market and competitiveness
→EU ambassadors agreed to invite Ukraine and Moldova to submit their negotiating positions, a step towards formally opening these clusters
→Budapest’s backing for their opening depends on Ukraine passing legislation strengthening minority-language education, with a parliamentary vote expected on 12 October
→Under Prime Minister Péter Magyar, Hungary has adopted a more cooperative approach towards Kyiv. EU membership still requires reforms and unanimous approval by member states
→Sources: European Pravda, Euronews, EU Council
→Transparency Note: Use of AI
·Europe in the world·Geopolitics·Security·Houthis·Makkah Joint Defense Agreement·Pakistan·Saudi Arabia·Sunni NATO·Turkey·Yemen
·Europe in the world·Geopolitics·Security·Houthis·Makkah Joint Defense Agreement·Pakistan·Saudi Arabia·Sunni NATO·Turkey·Yemen
“Sunni NATO” Moves Into Action ↗︎
Saudi Arabia, Türkiye and Pakistan activated their new Makkah defense alliance, agreeing on 5 October to rapidly deploy military forces and capabilities to Saudi Arabia.
→The Makkah Joint Defense Agreement treats an attack on one member as an attack on all, prompting comparisons to a “Sunni NATO”
→Following attacks on Saudi Arabia, the alliance agreed to deploy agreed forces and military capabilities to the kingdom rapidly
→Türkiye and Pakistan are providing military support, but direct combat deployments inside Yemen have not been confirmed
→The alliance links Saudi Arabia, NATO member Türkiye and nuclear-armed Pakistan, potentially reshaping regional security and deterrence
→Sources: Saudi Press Agency, Pakistan Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Reuters
→Transparency Note: Use of AI
·Cyber Security·National Politics·Security·BND·Espionage·Germany·Hybrid Threats·Intelligence·Sabotage
·Cyber Security·National Politics·Security·BND·Espionage·Germany·Hybrid Threats·Intelligence·Sabotage
Germany wants to Expand Intelligence Powers, but Scandal Shocks Plans ↗︎
Germany wants its intelligence services to move beyond observation and gain powers to actively disrupt threats, a major shift in the country’s post-war security architecture.
→Update (07.10.2026): News: Former BND chief August Hanning detained over suspected espionage and attempted treason, in a scandal that could undermine Germany’s push to strengthen its intelligence services (Reuters)
→Update (05.10.2026): News: BND chief Martin Jäger warns Russia poses Germany’s most direct security threat and calls for a stronger, more resilient intelligence service (Bundestag)
→Quick Brief:
→The cabinet approved the reform on 12 August, covering both the foreign intelligence service BND and the domestic BfV; parliament must still approve it
→Intelligence services could take active countermeasures, such as turning off a foreign server used for an imminent cyberattack
→New rules would expand digital surveillance and permit AI-assisted analysis; the BND could retain certain telecommunications data for up to 12 months
→The government cites growing espionage, sabotage and hybrid threats, while critics warn that expanded domestic intelligence powers require strong rule-of-law safeguards
→Sources: German Federal Government, Reuters
→Transparency Note: Use of AI
·Europe in the world·National Politics·European Union·Judicial Reforms·KLA·Kosovo·Kosovo Liberation Army·Kosovo Specialist Chambers·PDK·Political Instability
·Europe in the world·National Politics·European Union·Judicial Reforms·KLA·Kosovo·Kosovo Liberation Army·Kosovo Specialist Chambers·PDK·Political Instability
Kosovo’s Political Crisis Worsened After Conviction of Former Leaders ↗︎
Kosovo's prime minister Albin Kurti is under pressure to reach an agreement on the country's new election amid political unrest and potentially weakening EU support.
→Kosovo's political crisis deepened as the conviction of the KLA and PDK leaders triggered protests led by KLA veterans.
→The ruling party and the opposition reached a deal to link the election of a new president with weakening the Kosovo Specialist Chambers
→The EU opposes weakening the court and warns that changes should maintain its judicial independence and mandate
→The ongoing political instability risks Kosovo losing significant EU funding
→Source: Rapporteur
