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Russian Statistics Hack Exposes the War’s Uneven Toll

Belarusian Cyber Partisans and the pro-Ukrainian group Silent Crow say they obtained Russian death records that point to a disproportionate toll in poorer regions during Russia’s war against Ukraine.

The attack: Rosstat confirmed cyberattacks, said it found no evidence of a database breach and extended some reporting deadlines to 13 November.

The death toll: The groups estimate 394,000 to 450,000 war-related deaths using different criteria. The Moscow Times verified a sample, and the full dataset remains unverified.

Regional losses: Through mid-2024, the war accounted for about one in three deaths among men aged 18 to 49 in Buryatia, Tuva and Zabaykalsky Krai, versus one in ten in Moscow and St. Petersburg.

Recruitment: Military pay and signing bonuses helped draw recruits from poorer regions. How many of those killed were called up remains unclear.

Sources: The Guardian, The Moscow Times, German Institute for International and Security Affairs

Transparency Note: AI-assisted. Reviewed by the Briefing Team.

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